Thread by @ChadPergram

26) The Senate can establish a new “precedent” and upend current filibuster provisions with just 51 votes. So far, filibuster reform advocates lack the necessary votes for a new precedent. That could change. Think of the Senate as a political hothouse over the next few months.

27) Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) says he’ll put various bills which pass the House – even if they fail. This accomplishes two goals. First, these various bills will face s filibusters, stunting their passage.

28) That very well could bolster support to end the filibuster. Liberals hope such legislative cul-de-sacs will apply pressure on senators otherwise unwilling to upend the filibuster.

29) Second, if Schumer ever does intend to unwind the filibuster, he needs “failed roll call votes” in his procedural toolkit. This is fathoms into the procedural weeds.

30) But Schumer can wield such “failed roll call votes” as a the political instrument necessary to kill the filibuster.

So keep an eye out for those.

31) The Senate resurrected failed votes to end filibusters in 2013 and again 2017 to implement what’s called “Nuclear Option I” and “Nuclear Option II.” The former reduced the threshold to end filibusters for executive branch nominees to a simple majority.

32) The latter lowered the bar to end a filibuster on a Supreme Court nominee to a majority as well.

No one quite knows what Democrats may have up their sleeve procedurally. They could use a failed cloture vote on one of these policy issues to unleash “Nuclear Option III.”

33) Such a gambit would drop the requirement to end a filibuster on legislation to 51 yeas. Or maybe, just maybe, Democrats could try to preserve the speaking filibuster and make changes to filibusters for individual types of issues – such as voting rights.

34) It’s conceivable such a maneuver could establish a new precedent for those sorts of bills. It all hinges on how creative Democrats can be…should they decide to detonate the filibuster.