The race between vaccination & the variants in NYC is in a dead heat.
Big progress on the vax: 27% of adults have had at least one shot.
But:
* 3,700 cases/day...65% from variants
* 25 zips at 10%+ positivity
* 200 hospitalizations/day
It's up to us which side wins this race.
After NYC's big surge last year, cases dropped precipitously.
Not this time. An enormous amount of virus is still spreading here. The rise of variants is undoubtedly a big factor.
25 zip codes in NYC now have positivity rates at 10% or higher.
The last time the map looked like this we were about to hit the winter wave.
This time we have vaccination on our side...and variants working against us. It adds up to a tenuous situation for a the next few weeks.
To win the race against the variants, NYC needs to:
* Do everything possible to get vulnerable people vaccinated, especially in the communities being left behind.
* Slow down the pace of reopenings--have to hold on for just a few more weeks.
* Stop the downward slide in testing.
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Health committee just unanimously voted out 4 pieces of legislation.
* Intro 2236a: Creates unified covid vax scheduling website, and a system for NYers to pre-register to be alerted when an appointment opens up.
1/
* Reso 1535 (sponsored by @IDaneekMiller): calls for State to give local health depts power to take steps to reduce inequality in vaccination, including expanding eligibility in underserved zip codes, and expanded demographic reporting.
2/
* Reso 1529a: calls for State gov't to eliminate the planned medicaid pharmacy carve-out, which would devastate community health providers serving vulnerable NYers, include those who are homeless, living w/ HIV, etc.
3/
BREAKING: Beginning 8 a.m. tomorrow, aged 60+ in NY will be eligible for vaccination.
*** Beginning March 17 in NY ***
==> Government employees, nonprofit workers & essential building service workers will all be eligible for vaccination.
(still sorting out exactly which groups this includes, but this is undoubtedly a major expansion)
Big change in vaccine distribution in NY:
==> Starting March 17, all providers will vaccination *all* eligible NYers. Only exception is pharmacies which will only do aged 60+ and education workers.
(I am assuming geographic restrictions will remain in place at some sites.)
NYers should truly be optimistic about where we’ll be on covid in a few months—there are many reasons for hope.
We should also be very concerned about the *weeks* ahead—there are some dark clouds gathering.
A thread on where we're at as NYC approaches year 2 of the pandemic. 1/
First the good news. Our supply of vaccine is increasing. We were getting 100k/week in mid-Jan. Now we’re approaching 200k/wk. This will increase further in March. By May there will likely be enough supply so that every adult in NYC who wants a vaccine will be able to get it. 2/
It bears repeating just how amazing these vaccines are: they ensure almost zero death or hospitalization from covid, and exceedingly few light or asymptomatic cases. They have very few side effects. They appear to work against the known variants. 3/