$TRMR
Issues notice for EGM on 30 Apr. Shareholders asked to

- amend Articles of Association to allow for and adopt new director to enable $TRMR to comply with SEC requirements, and

- allow $TRMR to issue 15% of share capital and asking shareholders to waive pre-emption rights
2/
Also includes no. of ExCo renumeration amendments including "entitlement to a special IPO bonus" of $500k each to CEO, CFO and CCO on successful completion of US Dual Listing.
3/
Resolution no 11 - ala waiver of pre-emption rights - $TRMR states

"there may be occasions, however, when the directors need the flexibility to finance business opportunities by the issue of shares for cash without a pre-emptive offer to existing shareholders, such as in..
4/

..the case of the proposed US Dual Listing"

The 15% additional share capital issue - represents c£142m ( based on yesterday GBp 708p close) or c$181m. In addition, my calcs show that $TRMR is sitting on c 5.56m of shares in treasury (all shares bought back to date)
5/
New shares + potential sale of shares held in treasury could raise c£181m (based on GBP 7.08 closing price yesterday) or c$250m. Thats a v decent float in US.

Questions:
1. Will they issue the ADS at a premium?
2. What will they use this additional $250m for?
6/
Sounds like $TRMR is looking at an acquisition coming. No reason to just raise cash otherwise.

Question then is - what are $TRMR planning to buy? $250m is not much for a pure cash funded acquisition so assume any acquisition will be part-cash part-stock?
7/
Fun times! My high exposure to $TRMR has helped at least partially weather the recent mkt declines

I expect the dual listing to materialise around May - assuming a 4-8 week turnaround for SEC and considering $TRMR are probably roadshowing US investors already

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More from @Yield_Fanatic

25 Mar
1/
A nice little write up on $SKLZ. I couldn't have put it in a better way.

We cant compare $SKLZ's fin statements to monetization dynamics in pre deal preso.

(contd)
2/

A lot more goes into generating top line growth. For the foreseeable future at least, I expect $SKLZ's growth spend to quite clearly overshadow immediate revenue growth.

This needs to be factored into any analysis.
3/
In other words, we are not going to see immediate substantial revenue growth here - rev growth is more likely to be lumpy than big qoq growth in most other SaaS biz. $SKLZ is not one of those.

Yes $SKLZ is reliant on a few too games - as is $SE and they have milked it so far.
Read 8 tweets
25 Mar
$HIMX - bought a chunk of $15 May'21 calls at 60c

Short-ish dated calls are quite aggressive given my fundamental these here, but to me, $HIMX at these levels is a no brainer.

Either my wife gets v happy come May or I end up in the streets. Seems like an asymmetric payoff :D
Call expiry is 21st May. Q1 results expectation is 7 May.

So a couple of weeks in between for the stock price to reflect the expected outperformance for this year.

RV wise I have $HIMX at $20-$24 based on LTM rev, but with +30% rev growth exp, shld reprice to $25-$30 NTM
This is now my 2nd largest position at 8.9%. Overtook $TWTR calls given recent decline (but holding steady).

My original $HIMX thesis here:
Read 4 tweets
4 Mar
1/THREAD

I strongly feel that we need a mkt correction but I do not believe this is the time when such a correction will materialise.

In other words, I expect a broad market rally in the near term, once the mkt digests what both politicians & central banks want to do, globally.
2/
Powell's speech today was v interesting.

A. The short term rise in inflation we will see, will just be that - short term, not sustainable.

B. US economy is not even close to being in full employment which is what the Fed wants to see

I.e. no rate rises this yr at least.
3/
Even more interesting was Powell mentioning the Fed had not met its own condition for rate rises, even before the pandemic!

So, employment figures will have to be much higher than pre pandemic levels.

Now we understand what he meant by 'nowhere close to' rate rises.
Read 21 tweets
3 Mar
If $HZON is to acquire Sportradar, this is going to the moon.

I'd always liked $DMYD (Genius Sports) and found $DKNG to be an interesting biz too

Long $HZON warrants

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
2/
From Fitch's Oct'20 report:
- 40% mkt share in largest segment (sports data & content-related services)
- Well placed as largest player to outpace mkt growth, with 29% avg org rev growth between 2014-19
3/
- Positive sector trends (eg online betting growth with 24hr betting options, e-sports and simulation sports gambling) = more data points for Sportradar to sell on the pre-game and live data markets.
Read 8 tweets
19 Feb
@BabyYodaCapital's thread on $CRTO is v interesting. This one really got me thinking. There is certainly an argument for RV here - meaning $CRTO has lot of upside on pure fundamentals alone Vs the likes of $MGNI and $TTD

But I believe there is a bigger picture here. Bear with me
First things first.

Let's face it. $CRTO's shift away from retargeting into the 'New Solutions' segment is driven by a need to survive due to the 3rd party cookie issue....
..but I agree that $CRTO's strong relationship with its retail clients has helped it gain access to a potential goldmine - i.e. client 1st party data esp. ecomm.

As a standalone entity, if management are able to execute on this transformation, $CRTO will do amazingly well.
Read 11 tweets
7 Feb
1/ $TRMR vs $MGNI

Have had a few people reach out on $TRMR esp vs $MGNI – they arent quite similar.

But, $TRMR looks more attractive on relative valuation vs $MGNI – signifying 5-10x upside from here.

$TRMR should be trading at £25-£56/share vs £5.48 today

MEGA Thread!
2/
$TRMR is an “integrated” platform i.e. it has both a SSP (supply-side) and a DSP (demand-side)

SSP: works with “sell side”– publishers who have ad space to sell (eg. $MGNI is a SSP)

DSP: works with buyside or the advertisers (eg. $TTD is a DSP)
3/
However, unlike a $MGNI or a $TTD, $TRMR is only focussed on video – that is their expertise.

Both $MGNI and $TTD are multi-channel based, although $MGNI is also focussing on video as that is where the growth is

Both $MGNI and $TRMR are ultra-focussed on CTV at present
Read 51 tweets

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