Theresa May’s former Brexit advisor @RaoulRuparel has some ideas on how to tackle the Irish Sea border agrifood (SPS) issues. It’s these which have caused most of the practical problems politico.eu/article/brexit…
To recap: NI is still in EU single market for goods. GB is not. This means food products GB-NI face a range of onerous EU certifications & checks. These processes are not yet fully implemented due to grace periods & govt support.
Two broad solutions have thus far been suggested: ‘Swiss’ or ‘New Zealand’. Raoul says neither of these is really a runner.
Swiss means UK follows EU SPS rules in perpetuity. Lord Frost says that’s unthinkable for UK. NZ means reduced frequency of checks but doesn’t eliminate the admin. NZ-EU trade (wholesale) is v different to GB-NI trade (retail).
So Raoul has a whole-of-UK idea which is basically a non-regression/ managed divergence SPS deal along the lines of what’s in the TCA for other stuff. In practice it’s a sovereignty-friendly Swiss-ish deal.
Alternatively he suggests an NI-only plan which is based around the ‘dead end host’ stuff the supermarkets have been pushing ie. guaranteeing food entering NI is going no further. This would also draw on the ‘at risk’ concept currently in place for customs.
As the piece explains both these ideas are probably a stretch for the EU but are at least worth consideration.

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More from @JP_Biz

25 Mar
UK Brexit Minister Lord Frost says the Specialised Committee will meet tomorrow. This is the technical/ official committee which sits below the Joint Committee.
Frost also took two questions on SPS. Not budging on Swiss style alignment as UK would have to accept EU laws.
He says they proposed an equivalence deal in the TCA but the EU were not open to that. (There is a world of difference between equivalence & dynamic alignment.)
Read 5 tweets
25 Mar
Nat West’s business in the Republic of Ireland has been fined 38m euro for regulatory breaches in its handling of some mortgage customers.  The fine on Ulster Bank is the largest ever imposed by Ireland’s Central Bank.
The Central Bank uncovered what it described as "serious failings" in treatment of 5,940 customers over a 16 year period. Earlier this year Nat West announced it was closing the Ulster Bank business in the Republic but staying in Northern Ireland.
The investigation was all about tracker mortgages. These were very popular in the Republic of Ireland during the economic boom years - the interest rate was fixed at a certain level above the European Central Bank (ECB) base rate, often for the lifetime of the mortgage.
Read 5 tweets
25 Mar
There was an improvement in living standards in NI in the year before the pandemic, official figures suggest. Most indicators of poverty fell with significant decline in poverty among working age adults. Typical weekly wages also grew by 4% during 2019, well above inflation.
In 2019/20 13% of individuals were in absolute poverty, a fall from 16% the year before. The fall was bigger among working age adults, down from 16% to 11%. There was also a statistically significant decline in relative poverty among working age adults, from 18% to 14%.
This probably reflects the historically strong labour market in NI pre-pandemic where on some measures it looked close to technical full employment.
Read 4 tweets
9 Feb
NI’s Alliance Party has written to the EU & the UK govt suggesting a veterinary agreement as a way to tackle the most acute issues on the Irish Sea border - the trade in food products.
They have asked the EU to extend the current grace periods, and then use the Trade Specialised Committee provided for with the Trade and Co-operation Agreement to agree the necessary measures.
They suggest three outcomes:
1) A comprehensive UK-EU veterinary agreement. With the Protocol, this would in effect apply to GB to EU trade. This is the Swiss option & not v attractive to sovereignty maximisers.
Read 7 tweets
8 Feb
Michael Gove criticises what he calls the EU’s ‘integrationist theology’ while taking questions on the NI Protocol at the European Scrutiny Ctte.
He also singles out the trade in horticultural products GB-NI where there can be further ‘pragmatic & practical’ steps.
Mr Gove acknowledges that has demand in last week’s letter to the EU that Protocol issues should be sorted within the week has not been met & they are ‘v far from resolving all the problems.’
Read 6 tweets
6 Feb
Some things we now know about the Larne Harbour story:
▪️Threatening graffiti appeared 20/21 Jan
▪️MEA Council withdrew staff on Monday (1 Feb)
▪️The Dept of Ag did the same soon after with the Min telling his Perm Sec the PSNI didn’t fully grasp the risk bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northe…
▪️Tues 2 Feb PSNI said there was nothing to indicate loyalist paramilitary involvement or that car regs had been taken.
▪️On receipt of the PSNI risk assessment on Friday 5 Feb MEA sent their staff back to work bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northe…
Sat 6 Feb three trades unions distance themselves from MEA council's account of the alleged threats bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northe…
Read 4 tweets

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