So in light of the good news on Honda site's sale, a niche thread:
On employment land, the eternal balance between manufacturing vs shopping and what it means for local UK economic strategy..
1/
First up - the good news.
Panattoni are a big global logistics firm and they secure the future of the site. Great news.
Reading through the releases, appears will either maintain or increase no of jobs on the site. V +ve for Swindon employment.
2/
Logistics is a massively booming industry at the moment, but many traditionalists will regret that the site isn't being used for advanced manufacturing of some sort.
Why? 3/
Well view is:
Advanced manufacturing more likely to have deeper local supply chain / spill over effects.
Jobs may be higher value.
Gives clearer local sectoral 'niche' - all the world has warehousing not everyone has x manuf sector... 4/
Logistics seen as providing less added value, and based on fulfilling retail demands - where economic beneficiaries are often global.
I won"t comment on the above - we have to wait and see what new buyers will do.
However there is a clear employment land supply issue: 5/
Logistics is hovering up loads of available employment at the mo:
✅Big Amazon warehousing being built in Swindon
✅Jn 17 of M4 has big logistics site in the offing.
✅Lots of other major regional site in Avonmouth is going to warehousing
✅And now Honda Swindon site.. 6/
I dont think local authorities or Gov have got their head round this scale of demand.
I also dont think they understand implications for attracting non logistics investment to new UK sites (the whole point of global Britain is to try and do this). 7/
Our region has basically given up on providing big strategic employment sites for new manufacturing/ other sectors.
These new sites were key to growth in 1980s and 90s - look at north fringe of Bristol / Aztec West / aerospace clusters plus Honda itself. Swindon grew this way
8/
Apart from Gravity sites in Bridgwater & Filton, I cant think of single big site left in our patch.
Councils want land for new houses. Even pro growth Conservative authorities appetite for employment limited
E.g. Swindon has no new employment allocations in current plan. 9/
But what do we offer big global investors to locate in the UK?
Especially given sky high demand from logistics?
Without protected new strategic employment sites, risk triumph of online shopping over manufacturing. A new e version of an old UK economic story
10/
Previously, UK's Industrial Strategy was inching in this direction - looking at cutting edge sectors & providing land to support this.
But LIS has been kicked in bin. Treasury now in charge of growth policy.
But they need to think fast - cause facts on ground changing fast
Am just going through our most recent business survey, & clear is causing, not just widespread despair, but also lost business, fraying relationships with European customers & investment held or cancelled.
Some quotes below:
“Many European customers are saying they don’t want to buy British made goods. In situations where we are the only manufacturer, the clients have asked if we can consider to relocate production from UK to an EU country”
Chemicals Company
“I’m very worried about increased admin and feel there is no help available. We are a small team and don’t have the finance to employ someone to deal with [European] exports”
The news on Honda is devastating - a major employer and contributor to Swindon.
With any decision like this, multiple factors at play.
One of them is Brexit, as presentation slide Honda gave to MPs in 2017 shows. Honda been saying these messages to MPs & government for 2 years
Trump thrown additional level of uncertainty into Honda planning.
Honda Swindon exports approx 40% of its cars to the US. The threat of tariffs of between 10-25% on Civic would make it completely uncompetitive in US market.
Another big strategic headache for Honda Japan
The complete lack of clarity from UK government on future of EU Free Trade Agreements - vital if Honda could rebalance from US risk.
Honda given v little clarity on what happening - will they even exist for UK in April 2019? - and rules of origin tied to these.