There are a bunch of states that, if you compare the turnout rates during Presidential Elections and the GOP's margins for Presidential Elections over the last 4 to 5 elections, have an odd quirk.
They always move in the opposite directions.
In other words, in these states, the higher the turnout, the worse the GOP does. And the lower the turnout, the better the GOP does.
There are 3 states that have followed this pattern since 2004 and another 6 that have followed it since 2008.
All but one of these 9 states has a population that is at least 10% black, 10% latino or both. The one exception is the state of Montana, which also follows this pattern. The more people have voted, the worse the GOP has done during Presidential elections and visa versa.
Arizona, which has a heavily latino population, has exhibited this pattern since 2008. It finally flipped blue in 2020, as turnout reached an all-time high.
Likewise, Georgia, whose population is one third black, has followed this pattern. The higher percentage of Georgians voted, the worse the GOP did and visa versa. The state eventually flipped blue in 2020.
Kansas, which is more than 10% latino, also followed this pattern since 2008. Kansas is still a red state. But the GOP nominee did worse in Kansas in 2020 than in any Presidential election since 1992.
Massachusetts is a solidly blue state. But it is more than 10% latino and nearly 10% black and also follows this pattern, with the GOP continuing to do worse the more people participate in the election.
New Mexico is nearly half latino. And in 2000 and 2004, it was a close state during Presidential elections. But then more people started to vote. And the GOP's performance in Presidential elections in the state have been inversely related to turnout since 2008.
And the second largest state in the country, Texas, which is more than 10% black and nearly two fifths latino, has followed this pattern since 2008.
At least five of these nine states in which Republicans do worse the more people vote were considered swing states during the 2020 election.
Another observation: 6 of these 9 states in which the GOP’s margin during Presidential Elections has always moved in the opposite direction of turnout since at least 2008 are represented in the US Senate by at least one Democratic Senator.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
The reason the @GOP wants to make it harder for people to vote is because the higher the turnout, generally, the more likely it is that a state goes blue.
And the Republican Party seems to have given up on winning elections by attempting to appeal to the electorate at large. The party has won three out of the past eight Presidential elections. But two of those three came despite losing the popular vote.
That’s now their goal.
They seem to think that their only path to victory is to win the electoral vote while losing the popular vote (and thus not even trying to appeal to the masses of voters). And to do that, to win these narrow electoral victories, they need to suppress turnout.
On average, a higher percentage of the population voted in blue states than in red states. And the growth in the percentage of voters who voted in 2020 blue states was higher than the growth in 2020 red states when you compare the states against their turnout rates in 2016.
Also, 8 of the 10 states with the lowest growth in turnout rates comparing 2016 and 2020 were red states (North Dakota, Louisiana, Ohio, Missouri, Iowa, Oklahoma, Mississippi and Wyoming). Two were red states (New Hampshire and Maine).
One year ago, in February, 2020, according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, 158.7 million Americans were employed.
In February, 2021, the number of employed Americans is down to 150.2 million.
(Source: bls.gov)
And if you total all the monthly jobs reports from last March through the one that was released yesterday, even with the recent gains, America has lost 6.11 million jobs in the last 12 months.
That's a lot of money out of households.
A lot of small businesses struggling to survive. Or not surviving.
I hate debt and I hate spending. I hate incurring it myself and I hate it when the government incurs it.
But I also hate hypocrisy.
When Trump came to office, the National Debt was $19.95 trillion.
When he left, it was $27.76 trillion.
$7.81 trillion. And the GOP said NOTHING
We're in a pandemic now. America has about 2.5 million fewer jobs today than we had four years ago. That missing money has put a lot of people in financial jeopardy. The tax revenue lost by government and the toll on businesses has been staggering. Many are barely surviving.
That $7.8 trillion dollars in additional debt that America incurred during the Presidency of Donald Trump, which the GOP members of Congress had no problem with whatsoever based on their public comments, is more than four times the cost of the COVID bill. @HouseGOP@SenateGOP