In the interests of being fair, let's do a thought experiment.
What might an SNP defence for their failure to tackle poverty in Scotland be?
They could claim savings and dividends are controlled by Westminster, that income tax isn't fully devolved...that might count as a factor in failing to tackle poverty levels (I'm thinking, presumably the SNP want a 'more progressive' tax system?)
But, given the primary levers that can be used to address poverty: health and social services, education, training, housing, economic development, and welfare are all devolved, I don't buy that excuse.
Note: Many new welfare powers were devolved in 2016, including (but not limited to) responsibility for disability & carers' benefits; benefits for maternity, maternity, funeral & heating expenses; powers to vary housing cost element of Universal Credit & UC payment arrangements.
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FM spoke of the importance of equality of opportunity in her 2016 priorities for Gov speech: “It will help to create not just a fairer nation, but one that is wealthier, healthier and happier”
Let’s look at food insecurity & childhood health to see if she delivered.
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📈 Food Insecurity Rising 📈
The 2019 Scottish Health Survey showed that 9% of adults experienced food insecurity in the preceding 12 months.
While this is bad, it’s actually worse than you think.
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The percentage food insecurity was 8% in 2017. It actually increased to 9% in 2018 and has stayed there through 2019. So food insecurity got worse under the SNP 2017-2019.
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Let's try explain why the SNP are being so personal in their attacks on defectors to Alba; and what is worrying them.
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1. Even before Alba launched their party, it was touch and go if the SNP would even secure the necessary extra list MSPs they craved to land a majority.
You can see, even before Alba launched, the SNP list support had been dropping significantly since August last year.
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2. Constituency polling numbers over roughly the same time period have also been dropping.
SNP's fear that Alba dog-&-pony show could further erode SNP support on constituency. Divided parties lose elections, Alba stripping SNP of strategic control of media narrative.
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The Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD) reveals Govanhill is ranked in the 10% ‘most deprived areas’ in income, education, housing and crime. Second most deprived in employment & health. (as of 2020)
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If we flip to the 2016 SIMD map, we also see huge amounts of 'most deprived 10%' deprivation, around Govanhill. Some progress has been made, but not much. Not enough for those suffering severe deprivation.
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"If the SNP is re-elected in May, we will make sure every school pupil from P1 to S6 gets a laptop, Chromebook or tablet." - Nicola Sturgeon, 28 March 2021
Why didn't she do this last April?
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'Thousands of laptops bought for vulnerable schoolchildren remain in storage', July 6th 2020
They weren't competent enough to distribute 25,000 laptops after spending £9m.
"I intend to continue doing what I and the government have done for the last give years, is making the progress, taking the decisions, making the investments to progress [closing attainment gap]" Nicola Sturgeon, FMQs, March 24th
Let's analyse some of this.
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➡️'Making the progress'
The FM talks about progress being made toward closing the attainment gap.
How accurate is it to claim progress has been made?
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While the latest Audit Scotland report does speak of 'limited progress', this disguises a wider pattern of very real failure.
For example, data shows that 93.3% of 2019-20 school leavers were in a “positive destination".
Well, Mr Salmond's talk about taking to the streets to obtain independence is precisely the sort of thing I had in mind; hurting Nicola Sturgeon & the SNP. [2/4]