Do patient groups perceive drug price controls (HR3) will end progress in treatment of many diseases? Cancer, Alzheimer’s, Parkinson’s... done. HR3 not benign. Price controls always kill investment in risky R&D. No “alternative” economics on that point. timmermanreport.com/2021/03/a-glim…
Some patient advocacy groups I’ve spoken with say “we don’t want to be seen defending drug industry”. And yet, as w/COVID, that’s who develops the treatments- that’s where hope comes from. What’s the point of having standing and pathos if you won’t use it to defend what’s right?
Some say “no, NIH invents drugs.”. They misunderstand. NIH builds foundation but not the product. It makes prototypes at best. But it’s takes the $160B of R&D each year to bring ~50 drugs/year to market... to patients. nopatientleftbehind.docsend.com/view/mxht62ee3…
We are or will all be patients. So patient advocates represent all of us even if we don’t yet have cancer or Alzheimer’s. If the young and healthy knew what was coming for them & understood the economics of innovation, they would not fall for the anti-drug rhetoric.
Rising costs of long term care for Alzheimer’s are like climate change... growing in intensity. Who profits? The long term care facilities. But if we incentivize new medicines which eventually go generic, we can reduce misery & costs. Nursing homes don’t go generic.
So why are so many patient groups not standing up to lawmakers who pretend drugs are THE problem (when drug spending is one of the slowest growing segments of healthcare) & the main source of progress?
And to be clear, all is not kosher in drug industry. Some old drugs are expensive for too long. But proper solution is to ensure all drugs go generic, not cut rewards for new ones.
For example, rational reform of drug pricing would be to tax old drugs w/o generic competitors, but don’t price control new ones. That might not win as many votes in near term, but it would save lives, preserve hope, and actually benefit people our leaders are sworn to serve.
But HR3 may as well be translated into “we would rather just pay more to live with Alzheimer’s & cancer than pay less to invent treatments for them”. Patients should be outraged by that- are they? As for affordability of current medicines, that’s a function of insurance design.
We are all outraged by rising out of pocket costs. Patient advocates would hopefully see this is function of insurance. Net drug prices growing below inflation; Net prices of insulins have fallen in last decade. Yet plans are jacking up OOP costs. See more here on absurdity.
I’m sure there are patient advocates out there fighting hard against the misguided policies of HR3 (as we head into the reconciliation process Dems relying on) b/c they understand how toxic price controls would be to innovation. Who are they? @NPLB_org is looking for allies.

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More from @PeterKolchinsky

28 Mar
Everything wrong w/ healthcare & drug pricing debate is evident in these slide. Healthcare costs in Massachusetts grew at 4.3% (slide 32). On 33, they report drug spending grew 7.2% gross of rebates. On 34, they show it’s only 3% growth net of rebates. mass.gov/doc/presentati…
Conclusion on slide 55 blames drug prices for Medicare spending growth, yet in footnote acknowledge its “not net of rebates”. Well why not? They clear know net drug spending growth is lower than almost every other aspect of healthcare. It’s clearly hospitals driving growth.
They talk about hospitals, but highlighting drugs is willful misdirection. As for patients’ costs, slide 42 & 47 shows shift towards higher out of pocket costs. So even as drug spending shrinks as a fraction of healthcare spending, Americans afford less & blaming drug costs.
Read 8 tweets
3 Mar
Last Call! Apply by Thu March 4th for Spring 2021 “Business of Biotech” discussion sessions (Wed, 3-5pm ET, March 10/17/24). If can’t make it, our virtual Thinkific materials (listed below) are available indefinitely & more discussions to come. Register at racap.com/courses
RA Capital hosts course b/c we are inspired by all that we've seen the biotech industry accomplish for human health, have learned a lot of the past couple of decades, and want to share lessons learned so that biotech can be even better than it has been.
And now more than ever, we think it's important for everyone in biotech to understand and unite around Biotech Social Contract that governs what the public expects of innovators and insurance.
Read 25 tweets
21 Feb
Summary of Clubhouse chat (thanks @BiotechCH)... 5 injustices in a drug NPV model... 1) <100% of patients getting drug they need due to inability to afford out of pocket costs is injustice we mustn’t accept and therefore must push for insurance reforms that lower OOP costs....
2) assumptions of continued high profitability into out-years (eg >15 years) due a drug being hard or impossible to genericize (eg biologics, esp gene therapies) have a far greater cost to society than their contribution to the NPV.
That’s b/c society’s costs are net revenues discounted at 1.5-2%/year but NPV only counts out-year profits discounted at a much higher rate (~8%). So public & Congress is right to challenge drug prices but it’s not that they are too high... it’s that they are high for too long.
Read 25 tweets
10 Feb
This one might tweak your brain. There would be MORE interest in developing new antibiotics if NO ONE needed them today. Huh? Yep... let’s think about it. Today, no one needs drugs for smallpox nor pandemic flu. But those have been developed precisely because... 1/18
...we KNOW that we MIGHT need them in the future. The US contracts through BARDA w/ companies to develop drugs & vaccines (commit to buying a certain number of doses/year at a guaranteed price) b/c it’s buying an insurance policy. Members of Congress understand that. 2/
Media seems to understand that. Academics understand that. Presumably the public understands that. Drugs we don’t need AT ALL today are still worth buying to have in our back pocket JUST IN CASE. Logical. It’s insurance! 3/
Read 19 tweets
4 Feb
Some people think we overpay for only incrementally better medicines. That only home runs deserve high prices. But as in baseball- most are trying as hard as they can & job is to at least get on base. Sometimes, biology allows for a home run, but it’s not the strategy.
However you reward progress, it just takes a certain level of revenues to support industry of certain size, baseball or biopharma. Not paying for singles means paying more for home runs. It means less certain employment since not every disease lends itself to big breakthroughs.
But if you offer little reward for just getting on base in, let’s say, pancreatic cancer or lupus, which are tough pitchers, then no one will bother to step up to the plates against them. Those players will only want to go up against diseases where bigger advances seem possible.
Read 25 tweets
2 Feb
Fascinated by biotech & good it can do? Interested in how industry works & innovators get funding for their ideas? RA Capital opened registration for its virtual Business of Biotech discussion Spring session. Open to students/professionals... lawmakers. racap.com/courses/the-bu…
This is part of ongoing flipped course that RA Capital hosts with lectures, slide decks, & other materials available for anyone to study online anytime... & periodically we host Zooms w/ small breakouts, case studies, & in this case an optional funding pitch competition.
Note: Lots of reading, including of thegreatamericandrugdeal.com, since we’ll be talking about insurance, drug pricing, & how innovators & investors would be impacted by price controls.
Read 4 tweets

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