40-odd hours later, I'm still trying to fully process Friday's government COVID statement that warns about "myriad misinformation" on social media that "fuels our apprehension and anxiety."
I dunno man. The thing that fuels my anxiety is not having fully explained what's being done to stop cases from continuing to spike in BC. Among the issues: are many ACTUALLY anxious about spiking case counts? It would appear not! That's the friggin' problem!
Like, if you know real people, you know they're *less* anxious now than before restrictions are eased. They're seeing *more* people. And case counts are going way up. What's the plan? That's what makes me anxious.
But what also makes me anxious is an apparent lack of insight into the ways anxiousness can be helpful. When you're in danger, and you're anxious, that's good! When you're a leader who wants people to take action, adding a touch of anxiety can help. It's not always bad.
Telling people everything will soon be normal and not to worry is at *direct* odds with the other goal of telling people to persevere and take things seriously. When my kids go to cross a busy road, I'd rather them be a tad anxious than not.
And OK. Anxiety also has downsides. But everything does. If you are going to *not* play the anxiety card, you need to play *some* other card at some point.
Anyways, that screenshot is from the email. The statement doesn't appear to be on the main government news release site, presumably because our emergency comms efforts grinds to a halt on the weekend.
But actually, also, let's go to the BC CDC info and its website.
First, much of the info is a week or more old.
Second, it's ugly as hell.
Third, the graphs aren't reassuring!

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More from @ty_olsen

26 Mar
When you tell people they can gather, they will gather. They may not read the fine print. This should surprise no one.
When exponential growth takes place for three months, as it has for variants and little is done to halt it, it will continue. This should surprise no one.
The question I would have asked today, if I could, would be:
You've said people need to do more, but what is the government doing to signal the seriousness of this to the majority of people, who don't pay attention to these briefings & have seen restrictions ease recently?
👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀
Read 5 tweets
26 Mar
THREAD: The first week of the @currentfv newsletter is drawing to a close, so let's figure out what we learned.
1. The province wants to complete the widening of 24 kilometres of highway in barely five years. Is this realistic? @BowinnMa said it's 'tight' overstory.activehosted.com/index.php?acti… Image
2. That same edition, we talked with family members of an Abbotsford hiker who took his life this year. Brook Morrison was a prominent local hiker who once quit his job to hike the PCT. Now his family is working to help connect more people to mental health supports.
Link 👆 Image
3. That talk, as it happened, led us to a very interesting new way of delivering mental health support to people. That story's coming in next week's fvcurrent.com
Read 16 tweets
24 Mar
1. In 2019, @BowinnMa rose in the legislature to give a lesson on induced demand. Widening highways, she said, does not solve congestion problems.
2. In 2020, John Horgan told Ma: Widen Highway 1 to Abbotsford!
So we asked her about that: bit.ly/2Punelu
@currentfv
3. Ma's brief lecture is worth watching. (This isn't a gotcha, it's on her Facebook page: facebook.com/watch/?ref=ext…)
4. @pricetags also provided some interesting context on Ma's appointment: pricetags.ca/2020/12/08/the…
5. I'm not sure a satisfactory answer is possible on an issue that is stacked politically in a certain direction, as Highway 1 in the Fraser Valley is. It's to have politicians willing to engage in these discussions.
Read 5 tweets
22 Feb
1. Was reminded of this, and I can talk about this now, so a short thread on why media monopolies are bad, a shortage of journalists is problematic, and why Twitter can be good.
*This is about structures, not people. One episode
of journalism says nothing about individuals.
2. @robyndoolittle's great 2017 unfounded series prompted Statistics Canada to begin reporting data on the rates at which sex assault complaints (and other crimes) were deemed "unfounded" by police departments. Those statistics began to be included in annual crime stats releases.
3. They show the rate at which a police department deems a report of sex assault to be "unfounded." They vary incredibly from one region to the other, suggesting one's likelihood of being believed is highly dependent on the police officer, and the agency they belong to.
Read 19 tweets
17 Feb
1. Let's look for a quick second at how decreasing "normal COVID" cases can obscure how much of a problem contagious variants can be until it's too late.
This is a thought exercise to illustrate the numerical illusion. Don't take specific numbers too seriously.
2. Let's give, for the purpose only of this exercise, the variants a weekly new-case increase of 50% and "normal COVID" a weekly case decrease of 5%.
Again, these are chosen just to illustrate the concept.
Anyways, we start and new case numbers look to get better for weeeeks. Image
3. (The numbers are conceived of as daily new cases, FWIW) Anyways, look how small that green chunk is! The number of total cases keeps going down. Things seem under control. They are not at all.
Read 8 tweets
5 Sep 20
The BC CDC's school guidance website says singing in groups "can be a safe activity."
Other experts say it's "extremely dangerous and irresponsible."

npr.org/2020/08/10/888…

bccdc.ca/health-info/di…
Italy is banning singing in schools:
thelocal.it/20200904/the-r…

'Italian virologist Andrea Crisanti said 'the risk of spreading the virus rises sharply," citing a recent study which found "if there is one positive case in a choir they can infect 50.“'
Northern Ireland has banned singing in schools:
theguardian.com/uk-news/2020/a…
Read 14 tweets

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