John Hayward Profile picture
29 Mar, 17 tweets, 3 min read
When Dems wish to deny a hugely popular policy like voter-ID, they use their media to trick supporters of the policy into feeling weird, alone, and isolated. It's a preference cascade in reverse, engineered with massive support from biased media.
A preference cascade happens when people realize they aren't alone and isolated, that huge numbers of fellow citizens - maybe even a vast "silent majority" - hold positions that have been portrayed as unpopular or even criminal by the dominant powers in society.
Someone speaks up, stating the forbidden truths no one is supposed to utter, and suddenly the silent majority comes out of hiding and finds its voice. Until that moment, people were afraid to speak, fearful they were completely surrounded by regime supporters and informers.
Preference cascades can happen under any dominant system - from violent dictatorships to societies where centrally-directed social pressure makes people treat certain positions as "conventional wisdom" or the "will of the people" without (much) physical violence.
After decades of study, the dominant political and cultural powers in the Western world have realized that preference cascades can be reverse-engineered. The process can be reversed, with huge amounts of control over information and culture, to make the majority feel isolated.
Voter-ID is a fantastic example of this. It's hugely popular, including with the minority groups that supposedly can't vote unless they're treated like helpless infants and given the most fraud-prone voting rules possible. Damn near EVERYONE understands why voter-ID is needed.
Most see the requirements of a tight, fraud-resistant balloting system as modest and reasonable. They know from what the Left likes to call "lived experience" that protecting identity requires a little effort. They routinely put more effort into things less important than voting.
So the Dems and their media went to work years ago, not trying to PERSUADE anyone to change their minds, but rather to make everyone feel as if "everyone else" thinks voter-ID is some kind of racist conspiracy. If you think it's no big deal, there's something "wrong with you."
The effort isn't really moving public opinion polls much - support for smart voting rules remains stubbornly high, across all demographics - but that's not the point of the effort. The point is to defuse populist energy and give Dems room to posture as crusaders against "racism."
The goal is to keep people who support voter-ID from organizing to transform the ideas they support into law. The Dems are tricking people into thinking there's some big, helpless minority quietly seething in fear and frustration, and only Dems have the courage to speak for them.
It's a preference cascade in reverse: creating a phantom "silent constituency" so the rest of us begin feeling guilty and SILENCE OURSELVES for supporting voter-ID. We stop talking about it, stop demanding it. We begin fearing everyone we might discuss it with could turn on us.
That's the key factor in subduing a majority: Fear of the Informer. In brutal dictatorships, it's the fear anyone you talk to might rat you out to the secret police, even your family members. In the increasingly totalitarian West, it's fear of social media swarms.
Once you make everyone afraid to express a widespread opinion - once you create Fear of the Informer - you've neutralized populist energy and made it almost impossible to translate the forbidden idea into policy and law. A lot of people still hold the idea, but won't ACT on it.
You've also destroyed populist RESISTANCE to the contrary view. Dems are free to conduct tub-thumbing populist crusades against voter-ID even though they only have 20-30% actual support for their position AT BEST, because the 70-80% majority won't organize resistance.
You don't need overwhelming majority support to get things done in a degraded "democracy" like modern America. Ambitious politicians just need to short-circuit overwhelming resistance to their demands. It's not hard to do with control of social and legacy media.
In the real world, if you sit on a bus with 10 people, odds are good 8 of them would cheerfully support voter-ID and say its requirements are no big deal. In the virtual world, you sit alone in a sea of informers, with an unfair, unreasonable position nobody holds in good faith.
That's why you're about to find yourself in an America where "virus passports" are needed for travel, but asking someone to show their ID when voting to influence our titanic mega-government is outrageous "racism." Preference cascade in reverse. /end

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More from @Doc_0

31 Mar
"Universal basic income," under any label, means you work for the State and the State owns you. Politicians have no reason to fear voters who depend on them for food.
The idealistic model for universal income is a small, homogenous country with a very modest government and a small political class. In THEORY, such a state could implement UBI as the ONLY government welfare program. It would still be dangerous, but the danger would be limited.
Why is a homogenous population important? Because the lack of serious internal conflicts means the State would be less inclined to use UBI as political weapon. Why is a small population important? Because big governments are INEVITABLY more corrupt.
Read 16 tweets
30 Mar
WHO's report makes laboratory origin seem like the MOST likely explanation, not the least. There is more hard evidence to disprove all of the other theories. Labs are "ruled out" solely because China says so.

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The WHO report is an amazing read. 120 pages, and basically one page that says "lab origin is very unlikely because China told us all of its labs are super safe and none of them were researching coronaviruses." The recommended follow-up is to hassle every OTHER lab in the world.
Everything firm - i.e. not because the Chinese Communists say so - in the WHO report argues against the OTHER theories of Covid-19 origin. They can't find any animals to back up the zoonotic theories. Nothing really lines up with the "human ate a pangolin who ate a bat" ideas.
Read 5 tweets
26 Mar
While doddering Joe Biden rambles about using his super diplomacy skills to write a strongly worded letter about human rights to Beijing, China is using economic blackmail to force foreign companies to recant their objections to slave labor.

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There is never any real thought given to translating these Strongly Worded Letters into effective action against aggressive and brutal regimes. The summit photo op is the end of the story. Whatever happens in the real world is not the Democrat's fault.
Read 19 tweets
25 Mar
The flexibility of its alleged principles - i.e. sexual harassment is the worst of sins but Clinton, Cuomo, etc. get free passes - is a vital feature of totalitarianism. It's about power, not principle. Totalitarian elites are never held to their own ostensible standards.
Absolute principles, enforced vigorously and without regard to political privilege, tend to limit power. Laws that apply to everyone equally tend to be less oppressive because the elite, their allies, and their favored constituencies don't want to live under them.
As every corner of life is politicized, mobilized, and weaponized under totalitarian ideologies, the elite always reserve free passes and exemptions for themselves and their friends. Exemptions are among the most valuable commodities politicians sell to top financial supporters.
Read 15 tweets
24 Mar
Guns are the opposite of masks: a symbol of individuality, responsibility, and the limits of state power vs. a symbol of submission, obedience, and blind faith in "the experts."

You're not supposed to think of yourself the way lawful gun owners are taught to.
As long as we're letting the government rack up insane levels of debt and spend money like water, we could do a lot worse than subsidizing concealed-carry classes for everyone. Even if attendees decide not to apply for the permits, they would benefit from the reality check.
Those who obtain guns to defend their families and properties are acknowledging realities that cannot be erased by all the political posturing in the world: there will always be people willing to harm you, and the State cannot protect you from all of them, all the time.
Read 13 tweets
22 Mar
The Snyder Cut is so much better that watching the theatrical release of Justice League would be downright painful now. Whedon's version plays almost like a satire of Snyder's version. Ray Fisher's restraint is remarkable in retrospect - he was vandalized in the original cut.
Snyder gave the DC characters something that really set them apart from Marvel's hugely successful and highly entertaining movies: a sense of awe and grandeur, wonder and terror. There aren't a lot of important "normal folks" in his movies because that's us - the audience.
Snyder was driven by that sense of how incredible, overwhelming, and terrifying it would be to see these superhuman titans and their astounding feats - his cut of JL clearly positions the superheroes as successors to the "gods of old." A daunting but exhilarating perspective.
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