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Dr Musa Mohd Nordin Profile picture
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30 Mar, 5 tweets, 4 min read
Philippines riding a new wave. Testing short (15%)
Indonesia declining cases related to better testing (still >10%) & vaccine roll out.
Msia plunging cases contributed by wider testing (2.8%) and vaccine rollout
Spore, Viet & Thai doing well to contain cases with good testing.
Sgor declining Infection Rate(IR) aka Incidence
Sgor case will remain high d/t socio-eco context, mass testing @stfc_selangor
Despite high covid burden, good Case Fatality Rate(CFR)
Rising IR in Swak
Worrying since High CFR
Flat IR in PP. Good CFR. Sporadic high-nidus 4 clusters
MITI Safe@Work SOPs inspired by POIS needs to be operational & enforced
Sgor POIS (Prevention of Outbreak @ Ignition Sites) applicable to community/construction sites/edu
Only then case declines can be maintained + ramped vaccine rollout
Lose guard-3rd wave looms like in Europe
Oct-Nov 2020, Slovakia used RTK-Ag mass testing to identify infectious cases & rapidly reduced transmission!
@stfc_selangor targeted mass testing even smarter and bearing fruits
These are perimeter spill-overs, sites not addressed by MOH @imaret_my
science.sciencemag.org/content/early/…
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Dr Musa Mohd Nordin Profile picture
23 Mar
Skeptik diInstagram kata:

“Dalil yg salah digunakan untuk meyakini Vaksin”

Jawapan saya:
Makna Al-Maidah Ayat 32:
“Jika kamu selamatkan satu nyawa seakan kamu menyelamat satu umat manusia”

Risiko dapat COVID diM’sia: 1% ie 334,157/32,700,000 [1]

Populasi M’sia: 32.7 Jut
Risiko COVID: 1%=327 ribu

COVID tanpa gejala/mild: 80%= 262 ribu. Maka risiko LONG COVID=26.2 ribu

COVID teruk: 15%=49 ribu.
Risiko LONG COVID=4.9 ribu

COVID masuk ICU: 4.6%=15 ribu.
Risiko LONG COVOD=1.5 ribu outbreak.my
COVID yang mati: 0.4%=1,308

Ayat Quran kata cegah 1 jiwa manusia drp kematian

Vaksin berupaya cegah 1,308 kematian INSHALLAH!

Semua Vaksin boleh cegah COVID TERUK (Kategori 3,4,5)
Iaiti mencegah masuk Hospital, masuk ICU dan yang mati!

Rujukan
[1] outbreak.my/world
Read 4 tweets
Dr Musa Mohd Nordin Profile picture
5 Mar
There's a world of difference bet privatization of vax program ie leave to market forces VS utilizing APHM/GPs to vax target pop specified by NIP
None calling for the former! Pls resist straw-man argument
U may not know but Covid vax are available on the private market globally
If APHM can purchase additional supply, BEYOND national stockpile, WHY should Gomen or You object?
Last I heard we were still a democracy or EO subverted that right too?
I doubt it’s market failure!
It’s really a gomen failure-Msia’s perennial problem

google.com/amp/s/www.hind…
Private hospitals in India, a/c 74% of vaccines given on Day 2 in India.
Charged up to ₹250 (RM14)/shot
Connected Black-Market guys in M’sia demanding RM300-400/shot
JKJAV not seriously addressing this threat to our Vaccine Rollout!
Turning a blind eye to this national threat
Read 5 tweets
Dr Musa Mohd Nordin Profile picture
3 Mar
Don’t fall into same trap as MOH and quote absolute nos ONLY
Epidemiology101 calculates RATES.
S’gor has SECOND highest incidence rate
S’gor has THIRD highest prevalence rate in the country.
Despite her VERY HIGH workload, Case Fatality Rate is the 4th LOWEST in the country ImageImage
S’gor should be TARGET for INTENSIVE Vaccine Rollout!
Yet S’gor has the LOWEST VACCINE COVERAGE in the country!
JKJAV has FAILED to address BASIC yet PIVOTAL vaccine rollout issues
Is it any wonder that the front-liners in S’gor in public & private healthcare are VERY FURIOUS! Image
Absolute TRAVESTY of vaccine access, equity & distributive justice
We’ve had enough of sweet talk!
Roll up your sleeves, get down to REAL Vaccine Actions & guarantee deliverables.
@Khairykj JKJAV MUST deliver vaccines to priority FRONTLINERS & STATES
STOP playing politics!
Read 7 tweets
Dr Musa Mohd Nordin Profile picture
27 Feb
Ada kawan dlm grup tanya
Only 0.4 % mati
Lagi 99.6% recover
So why need vaccine?
Camna nak jawab soalan tu?🤭
Camni!
Risiko kena covid diMsia 1%
You nak ke?
I tak nak.
So I ambil Vaksin mRNA Pfizer/Moderna
-95% tak kena
-kalau kena pun-MILD covid-tak masuk Spital
-Tak MATI !
You tak vaksin
-ZERO protection
-20% kena COVID teruk
-masuk Spital
-pakai oxygen
-masuk ICU
-masuk tiub utk nagas
-diSpital 2-3 bulan.
-Silap-silap 0.4% GOL!
NAK ke?
Katakan Tak GOL!
-1/10 kena pulak LONG COVID
-berbulan2 sakit lepas kena COVID
-sakit dada
-rasa lemah selalu-fatigue
-sesak nafas-takleh hiking mcm dulu2
-pening kepala
-brain fog
-hilang memori
-sakit lutut
-sakit perut
-nak kerja pun susah
-nak tidur pun susah
-depress aje
Read 5 tweets
Dr Musa Mohd Nordin Profile picture
13 Feb
Pfizer vaccine authorised in 61 countries.
First given EUA by @WHO
NPRA must quickly license Moderna/AZ/Sputnik V
All 3 published in @NEJM
@TheLancet
J&J only require one dose
FDA will meet on 26 Feb to review J&J EUA application
Novavax 89.3% Efficacy
JV with Serum Institute to produce 2 Billion doses/yr
Certain quarters are quietly administering Chinese vaccines to select members of the public!
These have NOT been licensed by NPRA
This clandestine marketing of unlicensed vaccines must be investigated by MOH & JK Khas Jaminan Akses Vaksin COVID-19 (JKJAV)
Read 7 tweets
Dr Musa Mohd Nordin Profile picture
7 Feb
No daily tests=1643 per million =1643 x 32=52576 tests
No daily cases=136.57 per million =136.57 x 32=4370 cases
Positive Rate=8.9%
Still above WHO 5%=Uncontrolled Epidemic
malaymail.com/news/malaysia/…
200,000 tests/day
Expect to see at 5% =5/100 x 200,000 =10,000 cases daily
Don’t burden labs who r burnt out
Use RTK-Ag-Surveillance tool of choice
PCR testing backlog is “absolutely horrendously useless as a system for public-health surveillance”
harvardmagazine.com/2020/08/covid-…
68 lab tepu @ 76K ujian/day Uni/Army/Private lab dikerah tingkat kapasiti!

PCR: Mahal-Lambat-Test diMakmal-Org Lab burnt out-Backlog-FTTIS lembab-COVID merebak!

RTK-Ag: Murah—Laju-1 jam dpt result-Buat dilapangan-Takde Backlog-FTTIS laju-Upload SIMKA-Rantaian COVID stop!
Read 5 tweets

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