These are potential lines of attack for a Russian offensive against Ukraine. This is based on Russian preparations over the past few weeks and on my analysis of Russia's invasion over the past seven years. Putin will attempt to exploit a breakthrough anywhere he can get it. 
Beyond the immediate battlefront (Russian-occupied Crimea and Donbas), Putin may widen the war by attacking Kharkiv and Sumy oblasts from Belgorod and Kursk, and by attacking Chernihiv and Kyiv oblasts from Russia's client state Belarus.
Ukraine has taken delivery of the first batch of Neptune anti-ship systems equipped with cruise missiles. Produced by Luch Design Bureau, the 300km range Neptune has proven devastatingly effective in tests. Russian aviation will attempt to destroy Neptune shore batteries first.
Ukraine only has two, modern Gyurza-M gunboats on the Sea of Azov. The Ukrainian Navy tried to station two more but Russian forces attacked the vessels in the Black Sea on 25 November 2018. Russia turned pirate and has enforced a partial blockade of the Kerch Strait since.
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