I think where @fmkaplan and @NarangVipin I are getting our wires crossed on nuclear strategy is that Fred is thinking of the SIOP Kennedy was briefed on where we hit China just to be sure, to which USMC commandant Shoup viscerally objected. Fred is right, we had that plan. /1
@fmkaplan@NarangVipin But "counterforce," the idea that we could strike military targets *first* and hope for some sort of cease-fire and "intra-war deterrence" was built in to our strategy. This was not a Reagan innovation. It was aspirational but limited by bomber slowness and missile accuracy. /2
What looks like a "counterforce revolution" later is just better technology that lets us decrease the megatonnage we're throwing at the same targets, but the idea was still to hit military targets first, limit the damage, and then melt everything else if there's no letup. /3x
PS: The real problem is that SAC targeting was so robotic and relentless that the net effect was to destroy everything anyway, because SAC didn't listen to annoying guys like "Presidents" which is why GHWB disestablished it.
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Okay, so, I'm back and I'm going to tell you guys why you're probably wrong about the end of the Cold War, and putting "/1" on this tweet means I'm not done so hold your water until you see an "/x" in a tweet.
/1
For one thing, it is bad reasoning to be mono-maniacal about "it was Reagan" or "it was Gorby!" History is more complex than that.
Also, you're all starting way too late. You have to back to about 1975, the U.S. low point in the Cold War. Vietnam, stagflation, NATO crumbling. /2
This is the time the Soviets think that the world is turning in their favor. They make some mistakes: They refuse to think about economic reform, and they begin a process of imperial over-extension and binging on arms buildups that even they later admit was crazy. /3
I always liked "Have You Ever Seen The Rain," so now you all have to endure a story. I was a kid staying with my relatives and my grandma in Greece with my two U.S. cousins in 1971.
/1
We were all 10 and we were stuck in what was then a small town in Greece (now a bigger city, Patras) and pretty much nothing to do but get yelled at for playing outside and chasing chickens around while Greeks were having their siesta, and we were so homesick and bored. /2
And we pulled up the AM radio one day, and somehow we caught a lucky bounce off the ionosphere and picked up US Armed Forces radio in Crete, and it was "Have You Ever Seen the Rain." And we were the happiest kids for three minutes. /3
Some of you have noted my willingness now to use "traitorous" to describe FOX hosts plumping for Russia. I use this word to be distinct from "treason" which has a specific meaning in the Constitution. /1
I think - and as always, I speak for no one but myself - when you root for an avowed enemy of the United States and prefer their leaders to your own, you are a traitor to your country. You are supporting those who seek the destruction of your country's system of government. /2
I see no reason to pussyfoot around with "un-American." Lots of things are "un-American" but we can disagree about what they are. But when you are gleefully contemplating Putin kicking Biden's ass in a public debate, you've gone past un-American. /3
So I have some work to do, but I have one more cool teacher story, since you've all been sharing such nice stories.
I had a spot in my schedule I had to fill in my senior. So I signed up for Geology, which was, in our school, "rocks for jocks" back then. /1
And the Geology teacher, a gruff phys ed teacher, took me aside and said:
"Yeah. Okay. You're probably too smart for this class. It would be an easy A. So I'm gonna make it less easy.
You're gonna help teach it."
And I thought, okay, cool, I can do a presentation.
/2
This was not at all hostile. The teacher was trying to think of a way to challenge me.
So he said: "You do this lecture in a few weeks."
I said: Yeah, can do, sure.
Then he says: "And the *class* is gonna grade you."
/3
So, today I told the story of one of the worst teachers I ever had, a high school math teacher who made my life miserable for a while. But I think I should balance that with a description of the two teachers who kept me sane in high school, because gratitude and all. /1
One (who I know reads Twitter now and then) was my high school English teacher, a leftist who didn't take an ounce of shit from me and made me defend every stupid right-wing thing I ever said. We had a blast as we read, really *read*, books like 1984 and More's Utopia. /2
He was a nonconformist and we were both, erm, irascible, and we became friends and still are, and I love him as family. He's a wonderful artist and gave me refuge at his apartment many times during the crapstorm of HS. /3
So, during this #AT40 flashback, I'll tell the story of what it was like to go to my high school in 1978.
I was a science nerd because as a working class kid I figured the only real jobs were in STEM, and I did love chemistry. But I hated math. /1
My trig teacher was the head of the Math dept, a 347 year old spinster who hated all living things and, I think, ate kittens for breakfast. Anyway, she looked at my PSAT and decided that I should be an A+ student in trig, not realizing that I was just good at taking exams. /2
And I was struggling with trig and she decided to call my parents and suggest that I was lying about my bad grades because she hadn't heard from them and assumed the silence was because I had burned my report cards or something. She was, uh, not a warm person. /3