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Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
@jukka235
Apr 1, 2021 • 12 tweets • 7 min read • Read on X
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Tässäkin Helsingin Sanomien artikkelissa ovat luvut väärin. THL:n mukaan 0-9 -vuotiaiden tartuntojen määrät HUS:n alueella ovat todellisuudessa noin 2.5-3 -kertaiset.
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@hsfi @KaiusNiemi @EsaMakinen @minjarantavaara

#FactCheck

hs.fi/kaupunki/art-2…
Tämän kuvan pitäisi auttaa Helsingin Sanomia saamaan suuruusluokat oikein. HUS:n alueella oli pahimmillaan 441 tartuntaa päivässä, eli 3087 tartuntaa viikossa. Siitä 14 prosenttia on noin 432 tartuntaa viikossa. Nyt (31.3.) määrä on noin 2500 tartuntaa viikossa.
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#FactCheck Image
Helsingin Sanomien mukaan tammikuun alussa todettiin HUS:n alueella keskimäärin noin 10-30-tartuntaa viikossa. Se on väärin.
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THL:n mukaan 0-9 -vuotiaiden tartuntoja todettiin aikavälillä 1.-15.1. keskimäärin 60 viikossa (vaihteluväli 52-72). Vuoden alussa (1.1.) luku oli 72 viikossa. Luvut ovat THL:n mukaan todellisuudessa keskimäärin 60/20 = kolminkertaiset HS:n lukuihin verrattuna.
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#FactCheck Image
Maaliskuun lopussa 0-9 -vuotiaiden tartuntojen määrä viikossa oli Helsingin Sanomien mukaan 137. Sekin on väärin. THL:n mukaan määrä on lähes kolminkertainen.
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hs.fi/kaupunki/art-2… Image
THL:n mukaan artikkelin ilmestymispäivänä 0-9 -vuotiaiden tartuntoja oli keskimäärin 52.7 per päivä eli 369 per viikko. Päivää aikaisemmin tartuntoja oli 54.4 per päivä eli 381 per viikko (eli 2.8 niin paljon kuin HS:n esittämä luku 137).
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#FactCheck Image
Maaliskuun puolivälissä 0-9 -vuotiaiden tartuntoja oli HS:n mukaan 154 viikossa. Sekin on väärin. THL:n mukaan todellinen luku on noin 2.5 -kertainen.
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#FactCheck

hs.fi/kaupunki/art-2… Image
Maaliskuun puolivälissä (15.3.) tartuntoja oli HUS:n alueella THL:n mukaan 55 päivässä eli 7*55=385 viikossa. Tämä on 2.5 kertaa niin paljon kuin HS:n ilmoittama luku (154). Käytetty 7 päivän keskiarvoja.
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Helsingin Sanomien mukaan 0-9 -vuotiaiden osuus kaikista tartunnoista on tällä hetkellä 14 prosenttia. Sekin heittää (mutta ei ihan niin paljon kuin muut luvut).
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hs.fi/kaupunki/art-2… Image
THL:n mukaan 0-9 -vuotiaiden osuus HUS:n alueen kaikista tartunnoista oli julkaisua edeltävänä päivänä 14.9 prosenttia ja julkaisupäivänä 15.0 prosenttia (jos lasketaan 7 päivän keskiarvoilla).
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#FactCheck Image
Jos käytetään 14 päivän keskiarvoja, niin 0-9 -vuotiaiden osuus HUS:n alueen kaikista tartunnoista oli sekä 30.3. että 31.3. (julkaisupäivä) 14.8 prosenttia.
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#FactCheck Image
HS julkaisi korjauksen artikkeliin. Case closed.
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More from @jukka235

Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
Jan 14
This is an important moment.

After more than five years of silence, mainstream media has begun to acknowledge that C19 can harm T cells, and to discuss the consequences that follow. @fitterhappierAJ was one of the first, if not the first, to talk about this.
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Dr. Leonardi has provided a significant amount of direction for me. In particular, he has been interviewed in some excellent articles that have withstood the test of time. Here is one of them.
2/x
thetyee.ca/Analysis/2022/…
We have seen it all.
- in 2020, they said that our health systems are so robust that this disease wouldn't come here
- then they wanted them infected. C19 was de facto allowed to spread in schools. Only a small fraction of <12 year olds received ...
3/x
koronatilastot.fi/fi/rokotukset/Image
Read 8 tweets
Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
Jan 9
Something is causing injuries among young children.
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Something changed in 2022. Before that, the numbers were generally falling. Wonder what it could be.
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After 2022, 1-6 year olds have overtaken a total of three other age groups (50-64, 15-24 and 65-74 year olds), and are now clearly above the total population average. All injuries (S00-S99).
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Read 6 tweets
Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
Jan 9
Developmental delays and disorders (F80-F89).
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Between 2020 and 2025e, the number of patients with developmental delay or disorder diagnoses grew at an average annual rate of 21.6% (10x in 11.8 years). The fastest patient growth was seen in pervasive developmental disorders, incl. autism and Asperger syndrome (F84).
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Among total population, number of patients with developmental delay or disorder diagnoses is up 2.6 times since 2020. All disorders are showing continued significant patient growth.
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Read 11 tweets
Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
Dec 23, 2025
Finland's epidemic 23 Dec 2025: amount of virus in wastewater appears to have risen above the first Omicron wave. Post-Omicron baseline is permanently higher than pre-Omicron; repeated waves are showing no diminishing.
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Post-Omicron baseline is permanently higher than pre-Omicron
- before late 2021, levels were mostly 10³–10⁴.
- from 2022 onward, even troughs sit around 10⁵, or 10-100x higher
- C19 has become endemic
- constant background transmission, even outside waves
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Repeated large waves in 2023–2024, not diminishing. Notable peaks:
- Apr 2023
- Nov 2023 (highest for the entire pandemic)
- Dec 2024

These peaks are:
- comparable to or higher than Omicron 2022
- evidence against a simple “each wave gets smaller” narrative
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Read 21 tweets
Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
Nov 30, 2025
Congenital malformations, deformations and chromosomal abnormalities. For 1-6 year olds,
- the condition showing largest increase since 2022 is Down's syndrome (Q90)
- the condition showing fastest growth since 2022 is Congenital malformations of great arteries (Q25)
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1-6 year olds / chromosomal abnormalities (Q90-Q99).
- Down's syndrome (Q90): average patient growth (2022-2025e) 14% per year = 10x in 18 years)
- fastest growing condition: other sex chromosome abnormalities, male phenotype (Q98), up 150% in 2025e
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<1 year olds / chromosomal abnormalities (Q90-Q99):
- Down's syndrome (Q90) is the most frequent diagnosis
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Read 9 tweets
Ilkka Rauvola Profile picture
Nov 11, 2025
Intellectual disabilities (F70-F79): <1 year olds are leading in terms of y/y growth. Ten percent of <1 year olds will have an intellectual disability diagnosis in 14 year's time (2039), if current growth rates continue.
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The rise in intellectual disability among <1 year olds also shows in number of diagnoses: up roughly 11 times in 4 years. Also note the rise among 1-6 year olds.
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7-14 and 15-24 year olds are showing the highest levels of intellectual disability. If current growth rates continue, 5 percent of 7-14 and 15-24 year olds will have an intellectual disability diagnosis by 2048 (24 years from now).
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Read 6 tweets

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