tyro Profile picture
1 Apr, 12 tweets, 2 min read
My lukewarm take on the government’s race report is that cultural pessimism is probably underrated the discourse around disparate outcomes among ethnic minorities.
The disparities highlighted between black Caribbean and black Africans really makes me wonder - I know it’s true now but what happens with my kids? And their kids? Britain is not a racist country (don’t bother trying to convince me otherwise, I’m not interested) but....
For all that I really like this country, I’ve made a decision to inoculate myself against the one part of British culture I absolutely cannot abide - the relentless pessimism of British people. (That and potatoes). If I spend the rest of my life here, I’m never buying into that
I’ve never met people who are so down on their country like British. It can be relentless and suffocating. I cannot count the number of times I’ve had to ask a white British person ‘why are you so pessimistic and down on your country?’ I find it baffling
I have an Indian friend whose family has been in Nigeria for decades. One thing we often joke about is that one of the biggest problems in Nigeria is excessive optimism. Nigerians are optimistic in ways that can actually be harmful
If you’ve ever seen a Nigerian business plan, you’ll notice this immediately. In a country where the number of things that can conspire to make your business fail is infinite, a Nigerian will plan for a business where everything is all rosy and will all go to plan
But outside of Nigeria - and especially in a functional society that has order and predictability - that optimism is no longer a disadvantage. With a bit of optimism (and a few other things) you really will be ok in Britain. You may not have Rockefeller money but you’ll be okay
And I see this all the time with a number of my Nigerian friends. They will shout about racism from morning to night yet in all of their *actions* I can clearly see that they are optimistic about their future in the country. That is, even when pessimistic, they’re optimistic
I tell my friends - when British people are talking down on their country, don’t get carried away and join them. A British person will very happily tell you that Britain is more corrupt than Nigeria (Jolyon’s tweets regularly make it to Nigerian WhatsApp). Shrugs
The danger in partaking in such pessimism is that you can never quite tell how it affects different groups. Some may shrug it off, some may take it to heart and it then colours everything. Maybe this is something that migrants buy into after a while with negative effects
I don’t know what the policy choices that follow from this are. Maybe if you’re a British person try not to be so negative when you’re around migrants? Who am I kidding, knock yourself out. You’ll never catch me alive though
I honestly don’t know what the answer is. I make a conscious effort to transfer some of my optimism to my kids though. This is your country. Don’t be arrogant but if you want something put your mind to it and go for it. No one can stop you. 🤷🏽‍♂️

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More from @DoubleEph

3 Apr
This is very good by @mrianleslie. In particular, the paragraph that teases out the generational differences between the report’s authors and today’s activists ianleslie.substack.com/p/elite-wars
I’ll add that the report’s recommendations will be fairly popular with ethnic minorities themselves and if the govt implements some of them seriously, they will make a dent in some of the actual problems that prompted the commission in the first place
No one commission can solve all the problems that need solving. And yes, not all problems can be solved by the govt. But a simple test is to ask anyone who is very much opposed to the report to state which of the recommendations they don’t like and what they’d replace it with
Read 4 tweets
6 Feb
I think this will end like a situation where you ban the sale of alcohol and then armed robbery goes up because the new robbers were previously never sober enough to go out and rob people
Unlike out here where crypto is mostly a fascination or a bit of fun for most people, in Nigeria it is a very real and increasingly important part of trade. People who trade with China use it to get around fx scarcity and restrictions
It’s been quietly taking away a lot of pressure on fx demand which is why it’s a bit unusual that Nigeria did not have its usual fx crisis last year, at least not in the way it got really bad in 2016
Read 6 tweets
4 Jan
When I say Nigeria’s cement policy has been a complete failure, this is exactly what I mean. The Goverment is tweeting this out without irony
Cement is an input. You can’t eat or drink it. On its own it’s useless. So as a government, if you decide to have a cement policy, the biggest mistake you can make is to set your success benchmark simply as increasing the amount of cement produced. But this is what Nigeria did
If you’re going to have a policy supporting the production of an input, the only sensible way to measure the success of that policy is to measure the things that that input goes into.
Read 10 tweets
3 Jan
Can African countries not commit some funding to secure vaccines? What is more important to spend money? For once the media should stop playing up these sob stories that infantilise African countries. It’s not helpful
As far as I’m concerned, I’ve set the target for Nigeria at $150m and not a dollar less. After Nigeria has committed that amount of funding, then I will he happy to hear stories about rich countries not helping. Until then, spare me these stories
Again I ask, what is more important than committing some funds to vaccinate *your own* citizens in a global pandemic? What else is a higher priority than this? If Nigeria cannot shake bodi and drop $150m, please close down the government and send everyone home
Read 5 tweets
22 Nov 20
Here’s something that illustrates a depressing reality about economic policy making in Nigeria - some ideas are so pervasive across the Nigerian elite that no matter who you elect, they just won’t change
Aganga’s auto policy is a perfect example of this. A completely nonsensical policy that was doomed to failure the moment it appeared in his head. Yet he went ahead with it with so much energy and conviction
This idea that if you simply lock up Nigeria, whatever it is that was being imported will magically start being produced in Nigeria. So simple, so seductive, so stupid. That was the auto policy did
Read 13 tweets
8 Nov 20
Short rant on politics and the economy
After Biden took the lead in GA, all of my Nigerian timeline was taken over by stories of the role Stacy Abrams played in making that happen particularly with her Fair Fight PAC
But I did not see a single comment on the economic context in which she made that happen. Here it is - the GDP of the state of GA - at $540bn - is almost 40% bigger than Nigeria’s. To add insult to injury, there are less than 11 million people there
Read 8 tweets

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