What is the Indo-Pacific you ask. Well there comes a time when the concepts of geography stop being adequate for geopolitics. The crucial ocean link of our timr goes from Japan to Suez. It’s the Indo-Pacific. Both the Pacific and the Atlantic matter a lot less
Japan, China, SE Asia, India, Middle East and Europe is what 70-75% of global GDP? All tightly connected in one single arc
This arc in 30 years will be one continuous area of economic development, like the arc from Milan to Amsterdam in its day but on a scale 20 times larger
Do not discount the Middle East. Dubai, Tel Aviv and Istanbul already massive economic centers. We could have three more in next few decades
I just had a podcast with Robert Kaplan and defended this vision for the Middle East. Quoted @cmschroed whom you should read if you’re a sceptic

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More from @MacaesBruno

1 Apr
I really wish I could buy the idea defended by aviation people that there is no Covid risk inside a plane because the air moves upwards and is constantly filtrated and blah blah. 90% of the colds I ever got were in a plane...
Now if airlines had at least stopped serving their horrible food during a pandemic so people would keep their masks on. But no luck. I believe they would bring those trolleys over even after both wings broke off
There is of course a study showing like 7 people got Covid on a Singapore-London flight a year ago. Business seats too
Read 4 tweets
18 Feb
Not quite sure how this is compatible with the classification as genocide
The way I read it Biden is saying China has a justification for doing what it is doing in Xinjiang but Biden cannot afford politically not to criticise it, which Xi understood and accepted
The worst in a way is that Biden seems to say China needs to be united in order not to be victimised - and united means HK, Xinjiang ... and Taiwan
Read 7 tweets
17 Feb
French minister warns of 'Islamo-leftism' in universities news.yahoo.com/french-ministe…
"I think that Islamo-leftism is eating away at our society as a whole, and universities are not immune and are part of our society," Minister for Higher Education Frederique Vidal told CNews television on Sunday.
Further proof that that for the government the problem is not Islamism
Read 6 tweets
16 Feb
Portugal is really an interesting country: percentage of those 65-79 that have been vaccinated is equal to those 18-24
You may well ask why. The answer would involve a little digression into political philosophy
You have to understand the country is organised around the rule of corporations: corporatism. So the police will get vaccinated, the firemen, the Nazare fishermen, the supermarket cashiers, the bus drivers, the volleyball players, the politicians...
Read 4 tweets
12 Feb
Marine Le Pen defends Islam. French Interior Minister says she is not tough enough
French Interior Minister accuses Le Pen of saying that Islam is not a problem (she had said, plausibly, that only Islamism is a problem): “vous dites que l’islam n’est même pas un problème”
Her expression is just everything you need to know
Read 6 tweets
8 Feb
The US and the international order. Two approaches in recent years. First, Trump consistently dismantling or ignoring it in belief American power is greater outside its limits
Problem was without the guidance of the existing order, policy became lost and erratic. What was the goal in confronting China? Either a random one like the trade deficit or no goal at all
Now Biden: recover the international order as created by the US. American power greater in that framework and it also provides stable guidance, north star and compass. But...
Read 4 tweets

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