The big news from last week was the blow-up of a leveraged hedge fund Archegos & how it caused $billions in losses to its bank/broker. A primer to what it means to be a brokerage for such trades, the risk to reward, and more. 1/9
Being a broker is almost like running an insurance business, you keep earning brokerage income (like premium) & are always one black swan or mega volatile day away from giving it all back and more if one large client or many small clients default at the same time. 2/9
For all those who don’t understand, when customers trade with leverage or trade by keeping a portion of the value of trade as margin, if the customer loses more money than the margin, that is on the broker. 3/9
Unlike equity delivery trades where the customer would have given full money before the trade and brings no risk, with intraday and F&O every trade brings a little bit of risk to the broker. 4/9
The risk of such blow-ups causing brokers to lose large amounts of money is lesser if the customers are retail where the risk from individual customers is much lesser as compared to HNIs/Institutions who take large positions. 5/9
The broker has to make sure that the earnings compensate for the risk being taken. Very similar to insurance businesses taking a premium every time they cover a risk. Higher the risk, the higher the premium/brokerage. 6/9
For the same reason, like you can’t get an insurance policy without paying a premium, I don’t think you will be able to trade speculative positions (intraday, F&O) without brokerage, unless of course if some VC/PE decides to bankroll this in the future. :) 7/9
Btw, the chances of an Archegos happening in India are much lesser than in the US because our regulations ensure that all types of derivatives can trade only on the exchange and there is a restriction on how much leverage can be taken/offered. 8/9
If you aren’t aware of the Archegos episode, check this from @finshots 9/9
finshots.in/archive/archeg…

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More from @Nithin0dha

1 Apr
This is a more systemic issue, not with one bank but across the board, banks to ed-tech to fintech. As long as you give revenue targets & push employees to get there, products that generate more revenue for the business over what is right for the customer will be mis-sold 1/4
Easier for employees of banks, brokerages, wealth management firms to mis-sell as relationships are already established & there is trust with the brand, which is why the customer has allowed them to be custodians of their assets. 2/4
A potential fix is to mandate every sale of a product to be digital, even if this is being done in person. Mis-selling a product digitally leaves a trail and makes the company also responsible unlike physically where there isn’t a trail & blame can be passed to the employee 3/4
Read 4 tweets
27 Feb
A lot has been said about what we should have done on 24th Feb 2021 when NSE halted trading. Of course, with hindsight, it is easy now to suggest. But at 3 PM on the 24th Feb, the best option was to square off all NSE intraday positions on BSE.

Here’s why 1/n
If you aren’t aware of what happened on the 24th, check this post
zerodha.com/z-connect/zero… 2/n
Intraday (MIS/CO) trades are taken with margin, as low as 5% of value. Pre-Condition: positions will be force closed before close as they carry higher risk. Until 3.20 pm, we didn't know timings would be extended. So sticking to, normal square-off timing was right thing to do 2/n
Read 14 tweets
10 Feb
In the Gamestop saga, the media has loved telling the story of how Retail made a lot of money from Hedge funds. The reality is entirely different, almost everyone apart from retail has probably made money or benefited from this. 1/8
Firstly, yes, a couple of Hedge funds were sitting on large losses on Gamestop shorts. Now that stock is at $50, the losses also would be a fraction, if the shorts still held. What no one is talking about are other hedge funds who made billions in the retail frenzy. 2/8
Almost everyone and their parents seem to have wanted to participate in some form. Not only the brokerage firms who added a record number of accounts benefited, but News/TV/Social media itself must have gained a lot of views and hence earned handsomely. 3/8
Read 8 tweets
9 Feb
Financial awareness about the importance of saving and investing in India is increasing at the fastest rate ever, especially among millennials. Of course, stock markets doing well and lower bank FD rates are helping. But there are also a few structural changes afoot here. 1/4
Historically financial products have been sold hard & mostly in person. Products mostly sold based on promises of high returns (sales pitches in person leave no audit trail). Chances of sale higher if customer is less aware of what is being sold, so no incentive to educate 2/4
New age online financial services firms can't sell greed to acquire customers because it leaves a trail (SMS, emails, notifications). So businesses are forced to turn financial products into a "pull-product" to acquire clients. Which means having to educate customers. 3/4
Read 4 tweets
29 Jan
We have a habit of looking west and thinking what they do must be right. With all the craziness going on in the US capital markets, I thought it will be a good time to share some of the reasons why India is way better in terms of capital market regulations. 1/n
In US, hedge funds can leverage unlimited & run positions worth hundreds of $billions bringing in systemic risk. In India, no one can hold overnight positions more than ~5 times leverage (SPAN+Exposure for F&O, VAR+ELM for stocks). Even intraday leverages are now capped 2/n
In US your stock holdings are held by the brokers (held in book or street name, also the reason for the large stock lending market). If a broker goes down, your securities is at risk as well. In India, they sit in your Demat with NSDL/CDSL, ring-fenced from any broker risk 3/n
Read 8 tweets
10 Nov 20
Almost unreal that we could represent Zerodha on the cover of Forbes. Some personal lessons from the many highs & many lows in this 20-year journey working, trading, trying to build different types of businesses, & more. 1/10
tradingqna.com/t/personal-les…
Businesses can be built in multiple ways. Don't try to cut-copy-paste what others are doing - it mostly won’t work. Do what feels right to you. Your instincts on what is right will work better when you build a business/career around what you love. 2/10
The odds of finding what you love is higher when you take a shot at as many new things as possible. Most of us will not be lucky to find this love amongst the books in schools and colleges. 3/10
Read 10 tweets

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