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Peter Ungphakorn (also @coppetainpu.bsky.social) Profile picture
@CoppetainPU
Apr 3, 2021 • 10 tweets • 9 min read • Read on X
Scrolly
COVID-19 in Switzerland. Week to 03.04.2021—numbers still rise except deaths

Easing delayed

Per 100K pop, total & last 2 weeks
● cases—6851 & 278
● in hospital—287 & 8
● deaths—111 & 1.2

R(e): down—1.12
Vaccinations: 1.5m (577K 2nd doses)

FOPH covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…

1/10 Screenshot of box on lab-confirmed cases with data and chartScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed hospitalisations with datScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed deaths with data and charScreenshot of box on reproductive number Re (lag in calculat
And for the past fortnight, R(e) since Sep28

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview

Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna mRNA vaccinations ongoing. Supply picking up. Still waiting for approval: AstraZeneca, Curevac and Novavax. Switzerland has ordered over 30m doses for 8m people

2/10 Screenshot of box on lab-confirmed cases (past fortnight) wiScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed hospitalisations (past foScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed deaths (past fortnight) wScreenshot of Reproductive number since 28.09.2020
Vaccinations and virus variants

“Fully” = second dose
Steady growth, deliveries up
Delivered: 2.1m=23.9% (from 1.7m)
Administered: 1.4m=17.8% (from 1.2m)
Fully: 577K=6.7% (from 507K)

UK variant ~80%

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…
covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…
covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

3/10 Screenshot of vaccinations data and graphics, past 28 daysChart of development over time of delivered and administeredScreenshot of list of variants and numbers identifiedScreenshot of graph of estimated proportion of relevant vari
By canton: lab-confirmed cases in the past fortnight per 100K population—Similar pattern to a week ago clearly worst in Uri. Dark end of scale up from 403 to 605.

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

4/10 Screenshot of map showing different rates by canton: lab-con
By canton: lab-confirmed hospitalisation in the past fortnight per 100K population—Similar pattern to last week, worst in Uri and Ticino. Numbers up slightly. Dark end of scale up from 13.37 to 19.07.

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

5/10 Screenshot of map showing different rates by canton: lab-con
By canton: deaths (which lag case numbers) tell yet another story—Numbers down slightly overall, perhaps influenced by vaccination rate among elderly. Similar pattern to last week. Dark end of scale up from 3.5 to 3.6.

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

6/10 Screenshot of map showing different rates by canton: lab-con
Hospital capacity and occupancy: all patients and COVID-19 in ICU

Over 150 hospitals/clinics (Glarus, Appenzell Innerrhoden have no IC units)

All: Overall down slightly

COVID-19: down slightly, by canton patchy

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/hosp-capaci…

7/10 Map of occupancy rates: all patientsMap of occupancy rates: COVID-19 patientsChart of COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 occupancy since March 202
R(e) estimates: national over time, cantons latest.

Worsening in east. Better: Neuchâtel, Fribourg. Most cantons >1

Estimate: 1.12 nationally (from 1.13)

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/repro/val

Note: Swiss schools have stayed open during lockdown

8/10 Chart of reproductive number over timeMap of reproductive number by canton
Vaccination

Improving
Delivered: 2.1m (24% from 20%)
Administered: 1.5m (18% from 16%)
Fully vaccinated: 577K (6.7% from 5.9%)

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…
Fully vaccinated people: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

9/10 Map of administered vaccines per 100 population by cantonMap of fully vaccinated people per 100 population by canton
Latest: Situation “uncertain”. On Mar 19 the government postponed from Mar 22 plans to further relax Covid-19 restrictions. A partial shutdown remains in place. Vaccinations starting to pick up

Current situation : swissinfo.ch/eng/covid-19_c…

10/10

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More from @CoppetainPU

Peter Ungphakorn (also @coppetainpu.bsky.social) Profile picture
Jun 9, 2022
🧵 On Sunday, the much-postponed 12th WTO Ministerial Conference #MC12 starts.

Here is another curtain-raiser, with @BobWolfeSPS

@wto Director-General @NOIweala believes it will be a success.

But what does “success” mean?

1/11 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2022/06/09/tou…
“Many gaps remain but we are making progress,” @NOIweala told members on Tuesday Jun 7

“The success of this whole endeavour is in our hands. Let us deliver. The people outside are waiting for us and, believe it or not, I really think we will do it.”

2/11 wto.org/english/news_e…
Fingers crossed, there might even be a deal on fisheries subsidies, she and the talks’ chair @WillsSantiago said.

But despite “cautious optimism” WTO spokesperson Dan Pruzin warned journalists to expect ministers to meet late into the night at #MC12

3/11 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2022/06/09/tou…
Read 12 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn (also @coppetainpu.bsky.social) Profile picture
May 29, 2022
Was it worth the time looking at the UK’s big deal with Indiana? The one the government hails as a “milestone” and the minister calls a “US trade deal”?

They wants us to take it seriously. So I did. Let’s say I did it so you don’t have to.

1/8 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2022/05/29/mil…
TL:DR it's not a trade agreement.

It's a memorandum of understanding, a non-binding statement of intent.

The only trade barrier that might get tackled is govt procurement.

Indiana's state-level entities have no commitments on procurement in the WTO

2/8 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2022/05/29/mil…
Indiana “will actively work towards” (not a commitment) treating UK suppliers the same as suppliers from other US states except those neighbouring Indiana.

“That’s the weirdest MFN clause I’ve ever seen,”—@Lorand_Bartels

3/8 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2022/05/29/mil…
Read 10 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn (also @coppetainpu.bsky.social) Profile picture
May 27, 2022
“Agreement with Indiana marks milestone in UK’s trade with the US”—the UK government proclaims

Read on

It's a memorandum of understanding on what the UK and Indiana want to develop in their trade and economic relations. That stretches the meaning of “agreement” quite a lot

1/9
Good question⬇️. Short answer: no

So, all we know is what the UK government press release says.

2/9
This is what it says:

“The MoU creates a framework to remove barriers to trade and investment, paving the way for UK and Indianan businesses to invest, export, expand and create jobs.”

Remember: all major trade barriers are handled in Washington

3/9 gov.uk/government/new…
Read 10 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn (also @coppetainpu.bsky.social) Profile picture
May 22, 2022
It’s been clear for some time that WTO members are unlikely to agree on anything substantial on agriculture—despite declaring it a priority—when their ministers meet in Geneva Jun 12–15

Information from trade sources on a meeting last Thu May 19 reinforce that assessment🧵

1/11
The focus has changed in recent months—the Ukraine war has increased concerns about food security.

But the best binding decision that can be expected is to exempt the World Food Programme’s humanitarian purchases from export restrictions—still opposed by India & Tanzania.

2/11
Expect some non-binding/“best-endeavour” statement on food security, eg, the UK-led proposal⬇️, which draws on familiar themes of keeping supplies flowing, increasing transparency, minimising market disruption.

Even transparency is a problem…

3/11 docs.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages/S…
Read 11 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn (also @coppetainpu.bsky.social) Profile picture
May 20, 2022
Another day, another WTO topic where members find themselves under pressure to reach agreement within days.

Today: fisheries subsidies, at the end of a “Fish Week” of talks in various formats on curbing harmful subsidies that encourage overfishing.

1/8 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/wto-fish-talks…
Chair @WillsSantiago briefed the media after a stock-taking meeting of the membership.

Sandwiched between plenaries Mon and Fri, were sessions in various formats. Wills said 30-40 delegations were involved in each of those sessions, total about 50.

2/8 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/wto-fish-talks…
@WillsSantiago said the talks were constructive with good signals that need to be turned into agreement.

He announced a “Fish Decision” week from May 30, giving members a fortnight to resolve their differences.

3/8 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/wto-fish-talks…
Read 8 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn (also @coppetainpu.bsky.social) Profile picture
May 19, 2022
WTO members on all sides were urged today to sort out their reservations over the proposed compromise, so that a deal on waiving some intellectual property protection for COVID-19 can be struck by the Jun 12-15 Ministerial Conference, trade sources say.

1/14 #TRIPSwaiver
In an informal meeting of the WTO intellectual property (TRIPS) council, Director-General @NOIweala said WTO members have no option but to produce a result for the #MC12 Ministerial Conference, even if that means negotiating round the clock, the sources said.

2/14
Today's meeting was held to take stock of the first two days of real negotiations on the compromise text⬇️, on Mon&Wed, May 16&18. During those sessions, @NOIweala urged delegates to be prepared to compromise: "the perfect is the enemy of the good"

3/14 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/text-g4-trips-…
Read 15 tweets

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