We at @PunchbowlNews have a lot of reporting and thoughts about the parliamentarian/reconciliation stuff.
@PunchbowlNews We have heard Schumer describe the parl's ruling. Everyone is now waiting to see what the ruling says.

There will be a lot of discussion on what it means and how it would work. Schumer’s office even nods to this in its statement: “some parameters still need to be worked out.”
@PunchbowlNews Republicans, for their part, are withholding official comment on this until they work through it as well. Privately, senior GOP officials are telling us the ruling doesn’t say exactly what Democrats are saying it does. So there will be a lot on this in the coming days.
@PunchbowlNews Schumer is saying this ruling gives him flexibility. And it does.

→ American Jobs Plan will get done using reconciliation. That was always going to be the case, no matter what WH says. But that just requires one reconciliation package -- not the two that Schumer asked for.
→ What could Democrats do with another reconciliation bill? A lot, potentially. For instance, could they try to pass @SenSanders proposal to lower the qualifying age for Medicare to 55 or 60? Gives proponents of expanding social safety net a BIG opportunity.
@SenSanders What’s important here is Democrats don’t get bogged down on just passing an infrastructure bill. Schumer now has options to pass other legislative items -- or at least try.
@SenSanders → Appropriations: Congress’s annual 12-bill process to fund the government will likely come to a stop for now. If Democrats amend the FY 2021 budget, then that will impact FY 2022 and all this will impact appropriations. Will the WH even release a “skinny budget?” Possibly not.
@SenSanders Also, it’s hard to see Rs agreeing to any kind of spending deal if Democrats do another big reconciliation package. It was hard to see that happening after the American Rescue Plan anyway. So CR this fall. No earmarks.
But also, this isn’t a silver bullet. This doesnt mean @Sen_JoeManchin is going to agree with every priority. You still need 50 votes under reconciliation. This isn’t a magic wand to get HR1 or gun control thru the chamber.

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More from @JakeSherman

5 Apr
In @PunchbowlNews AM:

We make the case today that the Dem opposition to the infrastructure bill is weak.

Criticism 1: from @AOC -- the money isnt enough for an 8-year horizon

Criticism 2: Northeastern Dems want SALT caps repealed.
@PunchbowlNews @AOC SALT opposition is weakening.

The push started out as “No Salt, No deal.”

Now it’s:

"We could not vote for a bill that has a meaningful tax impact on our constituents unless it restores SALT deduction relief to our middle-class families.” Letter here bit.ly/3fHzxFW
“Meaningful tax impact” isn’t “No SALT, no deal.” How do you define meaningful? Is raising the corporate rate from 21% to 25% meaningful?
Read 4 tweets
2 Apr
If you all will allow, I have a few quick observations after another deadly day in the Capitol.

— Todays the 92nd day of 2021, and 2 of those days have been deadly in the Capitol Horrible.

I work in the Capitol pretty much every day. Sometimes, i’ll be walking through the Ohio Clock Corridor — right outside the Senate — or Stat Hall and i’ll remember that that was where the insurrectionists marched through on Jan. 6 when the Capitol was attacked
That barricade where today’s attack happened is a pretty well-traveled entrance to the complex. People walk by foot from Union Station to the Capitol all the time and walk in that way. I did pre covid every day. Another place we’ll associate with a horrible attack
Read 5 tweets
2 Apr
🚨🚨Capitol staff just got this text message

I’m in the Capitol and will keep everyone posted here.
Read 4 tweets
2 Apr
In @PunchbowlNews this AM — Let Pelosi be Pelosi

We’re 2 days into @JoeBiden push for a multi-trillion $ infrastructure bill. We don’t have anything even close to resembling legislative language. Yet so much has become clear about the politics and legislative climate in DC.
@PunchbowlNews @JoeBiden 1) Biden, who ran on the idea that the “fever” plaguing Republicans during the Trump era would break once he took office, is yet again facing unyielding opposition from the GOP on this infrastructure plan.
@PunchbowlNews @JoeBiden This will likely be the second major legislative package that Biden will have to pass without a scintilla of Republican support.
Read 13 tweets
31 Mar
We at @punchbowlnews have a lot of reporting on infrastructure. relief. Lot of fluid dynamics as we embark on this epic adventure to pass yet *another* several trillion $ bill.

1) @SpeakerPelosi said on a caucus call this wk she wants the bill through the House by July 4.
That is going to be really hard. there are 92 days and just six legislative weeks between now and then. And this isnt like the American Rescue Package, for which they had a framework. This is a brand new bill, contentious policies, regionalism etc. Doable, but tricky
2) The bill that Biden proposed is a proposal. Congress isn't going to take it as is. They have their own ideas -- many of them will track closely with Biden, some of them may not. But ya gotta remember what Biden says isn't gospel. @RonaldKlain and co presumably understand that
Read 11 tweets
30 Mar
>@PunchbowlNews this AM:

Will moderate Dems get a spine?

A pair of northeastern Democratic lawmakers say they won’t support any Biden tax proposal unless it repeals the cap on state and local taxes.
@PunchbowlNews @RepTomSuozzi put out a statement Monday and Rep. @RepJoshG told Axios he would not consider a Biden tax proposal unless it repealed the SALT caps.
@PunchbowlNews @RepTomSuozzi @RepJoshG The pathway here for Gottheimer and Suozzi is pretty clear: If they stick to this position and truly decline any and all entreaties, and they recruit three or four more members to join with them, they can have an impact because of Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s (D-Calif.) tight margin.
Read 4 tweets

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