Canadian Soccer Mom Profile picture
Apr 9, 2021 7 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Apr 9th $ES thread

We talked about this 2 days ago...a high and tight band may resolve upward initially but it's hard to keep momentum up especially when so far from 20 & 50 dma

Below 50 hour ma (pink line) we back in balance and below 4072 sellers take control

Air pockets 👇 Image
This is also first loss of +2 std dev line on this entire move above it ... Big air pocket till +1 std dev line

This is one of those situations where when we do roll over, the selling will get as deep as momentum chasers / late longs are willing to puke up Image
Alright time to go short.....

In 1/3 position of $SPXS
short another 1/3 now @ 4114 $SPXS
me and Shrek cuddling right now Image
I'm only leaving 1/3 in case we get a little overshoot like back in late August (blue circle, picture on the right) $ES ImageImage
FYI this is not as big of a trade as my longs in March, this trade I'm taking for trip back to low 4000s to high 3000s..I'll reassess there

Going fully long on the account in March was a once in while scenario where I had a blueprint (Oct 2019) and technicals / sentiment aligned ImageImage

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More from @SoccerMomTrades

Sep 27, 2022
It's uncomfortable to be back down here but it's not unfamiliar

It's either gonna be a double bottom or worst case you're gonna have to eat dick for a few days and 100-200 points down to the 50 month MA on $ES
Hold thy titties
We broke the $ES 50 month MA today (3500 +- 25 pts) like in 1990

Time for some rangebound action from here over the next few months before starting a ramp back to ATH range

Read 8 tweets
Aug 23, 2021
This eventually played out and we're now well into high 40ks on $BTC but now that we've had the bounce, I wanted open up a new thread on what I think are some paths

Let me start by saying I think the most probably path on the weekly picture is⤵️at least into the low 40k area..
As you can see from quoted tweet, I was bullish in the low 30k range between May to June because we had such a notable dump that it turned sentiment very bearish with sellers piling on late and shooting for aggressive sub 30k targets, even HODLers didn't wanna DCA till lower..
However, that sentiment has been washed away by this impressive multi-week rally as well as the NFT resurgence so now I think we have both the sentiment and technical conditions to start a more prolonged weekly downtrend with reduced volatility and narrower spread candles
Read 10 tweets
Jun 5, 2021
Down here you're risking what 7-10% for potential 25%+ upside on $BTC imo #Bitcoin

I'm long term bearish and believe likely ATH is set (see quoted tweet) but sentiment is too piss poor right now...a move to low-mid 40k and tilts hard the other way, you bring in fresh🍭to take ImageImageImageImage
Watch that 8 pm EST daily candle closing print right now -1 std dev of 20bb $btc Image
here's your chance for even better r/r $btc Image
Read 28 tweets
Apr 11, 2021
I speculate in FinTwit, a community of traders, many are forced to sit at a desk for a significant portion of their day and have back pain 🤕 ...I too struggle with this

Your hip flexors are tight and weak at end range (worst combo for muscle), here are steps to fix it 👇👩‍⚕️
1. Order one of these "hip circle bands" off of Amazon, there's an amazonbasics version
2. Get a "foam balance pad" , doesn't have to be a pink and you can use towel / couch pillow if you're a cheap fuck... odds are if you buy this you're more likely to do the exercises to justify the purchase
Read 10 tweets
Apr 8, 2021
Apr 8th $ES Thread

Spike to 4090s overnight that market is trying to revisit

I am 100% out of longs and cashed up as of RTH open

Will redeploy when we get a long liquidation to space between +1 and +0.5 std dev bands (3984-4011 now, may move up) Image
The BBW (Bollinger Bandwidth) squeeze resolved upward but with very little momentum and already waning....a move back under the 50 hour MA (pink) could send us into a nice long liquidation

Image
I think RTH is trying to push into 4090 area where hourly tweezer (blue) printed overnight but everyone's eyeing that OVN high

If this hour can't crack it, might get some buyers flinch which opens up potential to the long liquidation we're looking for Image
Read 4 tweets
Feb 27, 2021
All right, took some time to reflect on bigger picture of $ES

Imo we closed in no (wo)man's land leaving both sides🤔

There is a fairly sizeable air pocket to the downside but I personally don't like "betting" big on weakness that's so "advertised" thus I'm neutral

/n
First off let's look at $ES , it was actually on its way to a pretty decent close above the +1 std dev on weekly but it's like at 3:45 someone said "fuck that"

I've mentioned before for sellers I prefer closes above as it keeps buyers comfortable and you can shock them on OVN
In fact this weekly close was very similar to the one on Jan 29th (last day of Jan 25th week), after what was supposed to be after our "black swan" event 🙄

See the second pic for how that panned out into Friday close, Sunday open and what was a big reversal into Monday's RTH
Read 13 tweets

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