I'm mildly obsessed with the question of whether the decline of organized religion has ironically pushed religious thinking into every other nook and cranny of "secular" life
No surprise that @DouthatNYT has smart things to say on it
To the extent that there's a sort of god gene that must do *some* work for secular ppl, I buy the case that organized religion has partly dissolved into:
2. quasi-religious political movements (you know the type)
(Don't take "god gene" literally. That's I'm-running-out-of-Twitter-characters shorthand for "assuming without evidence that even religiously unaffiliated groups have a sort of baseline level of non-rational spirituality, and that energy has to flow somewhere, where does it go?")
FWIW: I'm a secular reform Jew who meditates inconsistently, despises wellness gurus, and tries to avoid cultish politics. My god-gene energies flow exclusively into obsessing over which socks are the lucky ones. It's a private religion devoted exclusively to animist sock gods.
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Evidence for surface transmission of COVID-19 is truly pathetic. But unlike the actual coronavirus, performative cleaning rituals are very much alive on surfaces across America.
The surface-transmission theory of COVID-19 is basically dead. But hygiene theater lives:
- on subways
- in schools
- in stores
- in offices
- and ... sigh ... at The Atlantic
I want to directly address this point because I think it represents a plausible-sounding but probably wrong objection to my hygiene theater critiques.
The objection is basically: Hey but isn't hygiene theater actually, you know, pretty hygienic?
1. How the failures of HIV-vaccine efforts ironically accelerated the development of the Moderna, Pfizer-BioNTech, and J&J vaccines.
When HIV-vax researchers realized that established methods weren't working, they pushed into wacky areas like … synthetic mRNA.
2. How BioNTech, Pfizer's partner, plans to use what it learned from the COVID vaccines to accelerate its efforts to design individualized cancer therapies by targeting the proteins associated with specific tumors
2. One answer to the Florida mystery—how did it have only avg mortality in an "open"ish economy with so many old people?—is that the public, and seniors in particular, used masks and distancing far more than DeSantis insisted.
Florida is being held up, by some, as proof that masks and distancing don't work, or are dramatically overrated.
One reason I think that's wrong is their impression of Florida's mask/distancing protocols is a caricature of the state's actual behavior.
It's not just the mass shootings. 2020 had the most gun deaths of any year in US history and was, on a per capita basis, the most violent year of this century. Why?
If you have a deep need for single-cause answers to complicated questions, definitely don't read this story, or any other story, about why crime rises and falls. There are things we know for sure about this surge of violence—and then there's a tug-of-war over interpretation
So, what we know. Violent crime surged by its highest rate in many decades to its highest level in many decades. Fatal shootings rose more than 40% in several cities, including
1. Liberals and a lot of public health experts were wrong:
They predicted COVID would specially ravage FL, given its YOLO policies and elderly population. But the state is still officially reporting fewer deaths-per-million than the national average and nearby states.
2. Conservatives are wrong:
There is a lot of chest-beating about how the Florida economy is kicking ass. But as far as I can tell, its economic performance is—kind of like its pandemic performance—much more *average* than the national narrative would make you think.