A few weeks ago, we examined Florida's rising cases, especially among young people in a largely unvaccinated population. Quick thread on most recent trends:
1. Cases continue to grow in almost all of the age groups. Particularly concerning spikes are in 5-14 year olds (orange), 15-24 (yellow) and 25-34 (green). 55-64 cases are also quite high, which could be a result of slow vaccination in those age bands.
2. Cases in those 75+ now represent a small portion of total cases. 79.9% of Florida's seniors (65+) have received at least once dose.
3. Compared with 2 weeks ago, cases have continued to increase in all age groups, some more than others.
4. Where is case growth among the 15-24 year olds most present? Cases are rising among this age band on both coasts.
5. The number of sequenced B.1.1.7 cases continues to rise in Florida, above the national rate.
6. When it comes to vaccinations, Florida ranks:
- 33th in doses administered per capita
- 35th in the percentage of the population with at least 1 dose
- 36th in the percentage of the population fully vaccinated
- 20th in 65+ with at least 1 dose (most vulnerable)
Floridians need to continue to practice public health measures for a few more weeks while vaccines are rolled out. We also need to take steps to increase demand among the younger population. There are around 4.5 million doses delivered to Florida that have not been put in arms.
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In many places, America's vaccine supply problem has now morphed into a demand one. Some states now have thousands of doses and appointments and few people willing to take them, hindering the nation's progress to herd immunity. Thread/thoughts on the data: nytimes.com/2021/04/09/hea…
The key metric we are monitoring here is the gap between doses distributed and administered (the "gap") — it's easy to find in CDC data. Acknowledging there may be data lags, darker states are seeing a bigger gap, pointing to delivery issues or hesitancy.
Let's take a look at Massachusetts and Mississippi. While the gap is increasing in all states, possibly pointing to the need for states' delivery systems to catch up, Mississippi's gap continues to increase since opening eligibility.
We are seeing encouraging results from polls on vaccine enthusiasm and satisfaction with the rollout. A quick thread on the most recent data. From the Census Bureau, vaccine hesitancy has started to decline, driven broadly among Black Americans. wsj.com/articles/as-co…
As a whole, however, the country's overall hesitancy rate remains quite constant. This underscores the importance for continuing vaccine education.
From a Gallup poll, satisfaction with the vaccination process has surged to 68% among American adults. Some Americans are still waiting to see confirmation the vaccine is safe before rolling up their sleeve. news.gallup.com/poll/342431/sa…
"Our progress in vaccination is a stunning example that there's nothing this country cannot do if we put our mind to hit and do it together," @POTUS says. "Our work is far from over. The war against Covid-19 is far from won. This is deadly serious."
President Biden announces that there will be 33 million doses of vaccine made available this week — a new record. This week, the administration will achieve the milestone of 75% of Americans over the age of 65 with at least one shot.
President Biden has directed @WHCOVIDResponse to ensure there is a vaccine site within 5 miles of 90% of all Americans by April 19.
As @apoorva_nyc reports, the number of new Covid-19 cases in Florida has been steadily rising. With concerns of spring break spread, we are beginning to see in the data increased spread among the younger population. A short thread on the numbers: nytimes.com/2021/03/28/wor…
First, let's acknowledge the limitations. While many young people are traveling to Florida for spring break, many will not test positive until they return home. Regardless, evidence from @danielmangrum shows that spring break 2020 did contribute to spread.
Using epi line list data of all 2 million+ cases in the state since the pandemic began, we are beginning to see an uptick in two age bands: 15-24 (orange) and 25-34 (red). These are increasing more steeply than other age bands.
My thoughts: @drsanjaygupta excelled in dissecting every misstep of our pandemic preparedness and response in chronological order, pressing these officials on what they knew, when they knew it and the decisions they made as a result. History will remember those who were…
…complicit, those who did not speak the truth and hid behind the curtain while Americans perished. History will salute those like @RickABright, @OliviaTroye and others who spoke up and spoke truth to power. But above all, we must ensure…
…that future generations know the story of Covid-19 — the missteps, the mistakes and the lessons we learned — so that this large-scale American tragedy will never happen again. Our nation's heart grieves for the 548,828+ lives that have been lost from this pandemic…
Now on @CNN: @drsanjaygupta unpacks the U.S.' Covid-19 missteps and lessons learned with the nation's top doctors in a special documentary entitled #CovidWar. Follow along here for highlights.
Was there a moment when you thought this was the big one?
"When I saw what happened in New York City…it was like oh my goodness. That’s what it became very clear that the decision we made on January 10 to go all-out and develop a vaccine may have been the best decision."
On February 21, government officials and doctors held a simulation exercise in the Situation Room. "While containment was ideal," Dr. Robert Kadlec says, "it’s more likely than not that this virus is already in the United States and we needed to be prepared to go to mitigation."