This is the story of this week (WIT) trade.
09/04/2021 - Friday
As per rule book I started the weekly #IM3 model on Last Friday. This model is versatile enough and works on most of the IV environments. It comes with 50% hedge of all the Sells involved.
09/04/2021 - Friday
09/04(Friday) movement was within the 1SD boundaries and didn’t require any adjustments. Capital used ~12L
12/04/2021 - Monday
Big Gap down and its almost -900 points or so. That is about to threaten the Put side wing thus initiated the adjustment. And made the profile centre and covered 1SD. Capital used ~20L
12/04/2021 – Monday (later part)
After gap down, BankNifty was down another -1100 points or so. Hence, adjusted the option profile. Capital Used ~25L
13/04/2021 – Tuesday
Banknifty opened normal and no gaps, this was the big relief though. However, BN moved +600 points in morning session itself and it is about to threaten the Call side wing.I had adjusted the profile progressively. This was the profile by end of the morning.
Strategy gained enough juice (theta) and it is more than +2% of ROI. Exited the whole and booked profit. All the trades are shared and discussed in our Weekly Income Trade groups.
Price chart for your ref
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How 1 Standard deviation (1SD) will help Non-directional option trade as an edge?
We all know 1SD on the normal distribution it covers 68% probability. This is well known fact and it will remain same. Of course, once the distribution is changed based on movement, time duration or volatility it will increase or decrease the 1SD level.
So, 1SD is not constant and it will expand or shrink based on the above scenario. As a non-directional trader, one must have constant eye on 1SD level to match up the strikes with the current market condition.
I had few questions about the Calendar spread and its robustness.
By default, The design of Calendar or Diagonal are not robust enough to trade all months. Because of few factors…
1/n
Cons. 1. Too much Vega positive. 2. Option Modelling software will not plot Calendar profile properly. 3. Gamma effect.
2/n
Let me address, how I fixed those Cons to make it work as All-rounder profile.
1.Too much Vega positive.
This is really good on falling market but not certainly for Raising market. The Positive Vega calendar spread will blead on bullish market.
3/n