New: The U.S. intelligence community is warning in its Annual Threat Assessment of a “diverse array” of global threats that could further destabilize a world shaken by the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, technological change and interstate competition:

dni.gov/files/ODNI/doc…
The 27pg document contains the collective view of the country’s 18 intel agencies; it said “the potential for cascading events in an increasingly interconnected & mobile world” would create new challenges, as adversaries jockey for influence & climate change heightens instability
It said China, Russia, Iran and North Korea would seek to challenge U.S. interests in different arenas and on multiple levels, and that transnational crime, cyber attacks and terrorist plots posed continued threats. Domestic violent extremists will pose an “elevated threat.”
And COVID-19, the assessment said, would “continue to strain governments and societies, fueling humanitarian and economic crises, political unrest, and geopolitical competition” – even after the broad administration of vaccines.
“Economic fallout from the pandemic is likely to create or worsen instability in at least a few—& perhaps many—countries, as people grow more desperate in the face of interlocking pressures that include sustained economic downturns, job losses & disrupted supply chains,” it said
In a statement accompanying the report, Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines said the U.S. public “should know as much as possible about the threats facing our nation and what their intelligence agencies are doing to protect them.”
Haines and the leaders of key U.S intelligence and national security agencies are expected to testify on the assessment and other threats before two congressional committees tomorrow and Thursday – marking the first such public appearance in more than two years.
A quick sketch of the assessment and the week's congressional hearings here - cbsnews.com/news/us-intell…

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More from @Olivia_Gazis

13 Apr
A senior administration official said this is not a conditions-based approach, telling @margbrennan POTUS has deemed that to be "a recipe for staying in Afghanistan forever." United States will remove its forces from Afghanistan "before September 11," SAO said.
The official said the decision is also reflective of the need to address a "global threat picture as it exists today, not as it was two decades ago."
SAO: "This is not 2001; it is 2021. And in 2021, the terrorist threat that we face is real and it emanates from a number of countries, indeed a number of continents....And we have to focus on those aspects of a dispersed and distributed terrorist threat"
Read 4 tweets
7 Apr
Deputy National Security Advisor for Cyber & Emerging Tech Anne Neuberger said at @CFR_org that the Biden administration will launch an effort to secure control systems across the country "because of the significant consequences if they fail, or if they're degraded"
Neuberger: "We picked control systems because those are the systems that control water systems, power systems, chemical systems across the US, and we're seeking to have visibility on those networks to detect anomalous cyber behavior and block anomalous cyber behavior." (cont'd)
Neuberger: "Today we cannot trust those systems, because we don't have visibility into those systems, and we need the visibility of those systems because of the significant consequences if they fail, or if they're degraded."
Read 5 tweets
5 Apr
.@SecBlinken said the Biden-Harris administration was "exploring options" to share more resources - including vaccines - to combat COVID-19 in other countries, and that he was appointing a new official to oversee the global effort.
Blinken said the administration has had as its "main focus" getting vaccines to Americans, but "soon the US will need to step up our work and rise to the occasion worldwide."
"This pandemic won’t end at home until it ends worldwide," he said.

Blinken said the U.S. had received requests from other countries -- some with "growing desperation" -- for help. "We hear you, and I promise we're moving as fast as possible," he said.
Read 5 tweets
17 Mar
Declassified US intel assessment of 2020 election shows Russia's foreign influence playbook a) was only marginally changed; b) was adopted selectively by other adversaries & challengers; c) will continue being used unless the cost/benefit calculus changes

dni.gov/files/ODNI/doc…
A few things:

The classified version of this assessment was completed and given to USG stakeholders on January 7, 2021; it draws from information made available to the IC during the Trump administration
It includes guidance on election "influence" versus "interference," two terms that had been used interchangeably and to at times confusing effect:
Read 15 tweets
29 Aug 20
ODNI has informed the House & Senate Intel committees it will cease providing in-person briefings on election security and that future updates will be offered in writing, per two officials familiar with the matter. Comes at the direction of DNI Ratcliffe.

Confirming @jaketapper
An ODNI official says the move to providing “primarily” written briefings is “in the interest of clarity and protecting sensitive intelligence from unauthorized disclosures,” which ODNI said occurred “following recent briefings to Congress.”
“DNI Ratcliffe is committed to ensuring Congress is fully and currently informed and that classified information is protected,” the official said.
Read 9 tweets
18 Aug 20
The Senate Intel Committee has released the long-awaited, final volume of its investigation into Russia’s 2016 election interference, marking the conclusion of what was held up as the last/only bipartisan congressional investigation into the matter:

intelligence.senate.gov/sites/default/…
Statement from Acting Chairman Marco Rubio: “We can say, without any hesitation, that the Fommittee found absolutely no evidence that then-candidate Trump or his campaign colluded with the Russian government to meddle in the 2016 election”
Vice Chairman Warner’s statement notes “a breathtaking level of contacts between Trump officials and Russian government operatives that is a very real counterintelligence threat to our elections.”
Read 6 tweets

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