Kit Yates Profile picture
Apr 16, 2021 10 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Short 🧵 on case data.
This week sees a big milestone:
All UK Local Authorities have fewer than 100 cases per 100K (7-day rolling average).
TL:DR Generally cases continue to fall in most regions and in most age-ranges, but that doesn't mean this will continue as we open up.
1/9
Cases (per 100K) continue to fall in all home nations. Bigger falls in England and Scotland, smaller in Wales and NI.
All nations are now below 40 per 100K.
Still some way to go before we get back to September levels, but good news.
Cases have fallen in al regions.
Although Yorks & Humber remains the highest cases continue to fall there.
North West nearly back to its (albeit highest of all regions) September level. Some others getting close but others still some way off.
All local authorities in England have fewer than 100 cases per 100K.
237 out of 315 English local authorities showed reductions and those that increased were from a low level.
The top 20 English LAs are given in the second figure.
Almost all Scottish, Welsh and NI LAs showed reductions in the number of cases per 100K.
In all regions of England cases per 100K for under 20s dropped week on week.
Similar drops in cases per 100K are seen in 20-59 year-olds acorss England, but the falls are less pronounced.
Cases per 100K for over 60 year-olds have stabilised for all regions at low levels except for Yorks & Humberside which has shown a small rise.
Important to remember that most schools are still out for Easter and the impact of the most recent relaxations will not appear here
But, overall it's a good picture. Cases coming down in all nations, all regions of England and across the different age groups to differing degrees
Thanks as always to Bob Hawkins for his help with preparing the data.

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More from @Kit_Yates_Maths

Mar 3
Today the Royal Society will meet to discuss “Fellows’ behaviour”. Without doubt the fellow they will primarily be discussing is Elon Musk.
The behaviour may range from his public dissemination of unfounded conspiracy theories to his attacks on the science
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Musk is also an important figure (some would argue the most important) within a US administration that is laying siege to science and to scientific inquiry itself.
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researchprofessionalnews.com/rr-news-world-…
The new administration’s executive orders have restricted research, silenced climate scientists and cut funding, as part of a systematic targeting of the scientific community.
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insidehighered.com/news/governmen…
Read 37 tweets
Feb 28
The populist right is damaging US science.

Here's what I think we should be doing to ensure that the UK (and indeed other non-US countries) does not suffer the same fate.

🧵

1/37
The United States is currently witnessing an unprecedented assault on its scientists and scientific institutions, driven by populist agendas that prioritise ideology over evidence.

These orchestrated attacks threaten the foundations...

2/37

aaup.org/report/nationa…
... of evidence-based policy-making and scientific progress. Funding has been slashed, climate research censored, and public health is in jeopardy.

Watching the disaster unfold one step removed, UK scientists must not stand by but instead react to support our US colleagues

3/37
Read 37 tweets
Feb 21
Silence will not shield scientists from the consequences of an increasingly hostile political landscape.

UK and other non-US scientists must act to support our US colleagues.

Here's what I think we should be doing...

🧵

1/35
Science thrives on collaboration and openness.

The people who practice science are committed to seeking truth and combatting falsehoods.

2/35
In an era where political forces increasingly seek to distort, suppress, or co-opt scientific knowledge for ideological purposes, the global scientific community must recognise that staying silent in the face of these challenges is no longer an option.

3/35
Read 35 tweets
Feb 18
Fiona Fox’s recent article in Research Professional News cautions that expelling Elon Musk from the Royal Society could undermine public trust in science.
I disagree...
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researchprofessionalnews.com/rr-news-uk-vie…
I think that this perspective overlooks the critical role that scientific institutions play in upholding ethical standards and defending the integrity of science, especially at times when science and scientists are subject to threats and intimidation from political institutions
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It's imperative that scientists and their representative bodies actively engage in political discourse to protect scientific integrity, particularly when it is under direct threat, as has been clearly evidenced by recent developments in the United States
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iflscience.com/us-science-is-…
Read 25 tweets
Oct 15, 2024
After hearing some underwhelming testimony last month at the #COVIDInquiry on the use of respirators, @trishgreenhalgh and I decided to write a rapid response to the @bmj_latest to set the record straight.
Here's what we wrote...
1/15
bmj.com/content/386/bm…
"Respirators outperform surgical masks; fit-testing is desirable but not essential"

Professor Susan Hopkins (UK Covid Inquiry, 18th September 2024) claimed that evidence for the superiority of respirators (which are made to an industry standard and designed to fit ...
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closely around the face) over medical facemasks (which are not generally made to any quality standard and often fit loosely, leaving gaps around the sides) is “weak”.
She also claimed that respirators are of little use if they are not fit-tested.
3/15
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Read 17 tweets
Jun 25, 2024
As the UK’s general election campaign enters its final few weeks, we’ve already seen numerous examples of dodgy declarations, substandard stats and graph gaffs.

So I thought I'd write about the importance of numeracy to the functioning of democracy.
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We can expect to see more questionable claims in the run up to polling day.
The factor that all these all these missteps have in common is that they involve the manipulation or misrepresentation of numerical quantities.
One of the most hotly disputed figures of the campaign so far has been the Conservatives’ claim that Labour’s policies will, as Rishi Sunak put it, “amount to a £2,000 tax rise for everyone”. Labour have rebuffed this figure, arguing that...
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Read 29 tweets

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