Interesting reading in relation to the operational response to multiple infrastructure failures - but the crashworthiness of the HST is also under question.
The full list of factors being investigated is as follows (sorry for images rather than text):
Read and compare with my list of questions from immediately after the derailment, including on the need for clearer rules on the placement of derailment protection and vehicle retention devices (e.g. guard rails):
From this interim report, I think it is clear that this was a derailment that occurred as a result of operational failures (in challenging but not unforeseeable conditions)...
This is the area where we as an industry have most to learn but also where we can respond most rapidly.
I am sure all of us in the industry are looking forward to the publication of the full report as promptly as possible.
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By the end of the month, rail ridership will be at its highest level since the start of the pandemic (45%). I would be very surprised if it didn't reach 60% before the end of June, and I think it might be quicker than that.
What happens afterwards depends largely on London.
Here's a higher resolution version of the "traveller type" graph in that thread, using quarterly data...
You can see that, during the pandemic, London travellers ended up accounting for a *higher* percentage of rail journeys. Which potentially confounds a lot of predictions.
My question is not "will rail reach 75% of pre-COVID ridership by the end of the year?" but "will ridership top out before the end of summer and at what level?".