This article by @ShamikaRavi analyses Bihar election results, in this thread I’ll highlight few points which I think is relevant for BJP in Bengal

brookings.edu/blog/techtank/…
Reason why BJP won Bihar
1. Poorest of the districts in Bihar are almost 4 times more likely to vote for BJP/NDA
a. This resonates well with what’s happening in Bengal, poorest and underdeveloped regions are voting heavily in favour of BJP. Eg JungalMahal region
2. Technological governance was key to swing poor/migrant workers vote towards BJP in Bihar
a. News of getting benefits via DBT/Aadhar spreads across villages in an age of migration. The Bengali overlooked classes know this, want it, and hence will vote for BJP
3. Women vote saved more of JDU seats than BJP
a. But the overlying idea is that, women voters across major states are behind Modi led BJP/NDA. Same will occur in Bengal too, no matter what people say about women voting for Mamta. They will be the first to vote against Mamta.

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More from @rashivtripathi

21 Apr
BJP will gain majority in #BengalElections2021 tomorrow, a thread on importance of Bengal for @BJP4India

1. Personal
- Bengal is close to leaders like Modi-Shah, due to origins of Jan Sangh having Bengali roots
-Provide BJP with organisational and ministerial leaders
Like Dilip Ghosh-Suvendu etc
- Bengal, like UP, will become ideological focal point for future BJP

2. Perception
-Dent any impact or farm/CAA protest in last 2 years
- BJP is one step closer to becoming pan India party
- Just like UP, Bengal will show the nation the good it can do while getting State power

3. Electoral
- Bengal will provide BJP rich lessons in winning states with similar issue-> strong regional leader, weak organisational strength, outsider perception etc
Read 8 tweets

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