BJP will gain majority in #BengalElections2021 tomorrow, a thread on importance of Bengal for @BJP4India

1. Personal
- Bengal is close to leaders like Modi-Shah, due to origins of Jan Sangh having Bengali roots
-Provide BJP with organisational and ministerial leaders
Like Dilip Ghosh-Suvendu etc
- Bengal, like UP, will become ideological focal point for future BJP

2. Perception
-Dent any impact or farm/CAA protest in last 2 years
- BJP is one step closer to becoming pan India party
- Just like UP, Bengal will show the nation the good it can do while getting State power

3. Electoral
- Bengal will provide BJP rich lessons in winning states with similar issue-> strong regional leader, weak organisational strength, outsider perception etc
- BJP in position of strength to form government in Mah-Raj-Jhar
- BJP led NDA has 118/245 seats in RS, Bengal win will increase our tally via defection/future RS elections
- Winning a fresh state under Modi, makes it easier to win it in a post Modi political era
Tough part in any state is to find connect among voters across all constituency, doing that in Bengal under Modi ensures BJP does the hard part already.

4. 2024 LS elections
-WB alone can provide ~10 LS seats to BJP
- Offset few losses across Central/Western India
- Loss of another regional leader will remove 3rd front possibility. Remember, it was only the victory of Raj-Chat-MP that triggered opposition unity. Without victory, no 3rd front will gather steam
- Keeps morale of workers high for elections
5. Civilisational
- With LS-RS majority and control of over 15 states eventually, BJP in better position to clear few constitutional amendments
-Big set back to leftist-Islamist agenda with defeat of WB, being neighbouring state + 30% M population
- Coming together of H in WB will have ripple effect in other states, and change perception of Indian society with en bloc H voters emergence
- SC/ST voter firmly under H vote, voting for BJP is BIG takeaway for our H civilisation sustainability

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More from @rashivtripathi

19 Apr
This article by @ShamikaRavi analyses Bihar election results, in this thread I’ll highlight few points which I think is relevant for BJP in Bengal

brookings.edu/blog/techtank/…
Reason why BJP won Bihar
1. Poorest of the districts in Bihar are almost 4 times more likely to vote for BJP/NDA
a. This resonates well with what’s happening in Bengal, poorest and underdeveloped regions are voting heavily in favour of BJP. Eg JungalMahal region
2. Technological governance was key to swing poor/migrant workers vote towards BJP in Bihar
a. News of getting benefits via DBT/Aadhar spreads across villages in an age of migration. The Bengali overlooked classes know this, want it, and hence will vote for BJP
Read 4 tweets

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