In case anyone wondered what Chauvin judge was talking about at the end when he talked about "Blakely":

The statutory max for 2nd degree murder in MN is 40 yrs, but MN has fairly strict sentencing guidelines, which set the default at 12.5 yrs.

Takes some work to something more.
It used to be judges operating under guidelines like MN's could do some post-trial fact-finding. If they found aggravating facts, they could impose above-the-default sentences. If they didn't find them, they couldn't.

In Blakely v Washington, SCOTUS threw a wrench into this.
The details of case itself, and the somewhat chaotic and at times infuriating cases that got to it, aren't so important (tho I wrote my dissertation on it, so... if you want them...).

What matters is that it declared judicial fact-finding like MN's unconstitutional.
Post-Blakely, if state guidelines said that certain facts HAD to be found to impose a higher sentence, then those facts had to be found by a jury beyond a reasonable doubt (before judges found them by something less).

That's what is happening here.
MN has filed its intent to prove aggravating factors: mncourts.gov/mncourtsgov/me…

So in a few weeks, there will be a mini-trial to determine if these facts exist. If the jury says they do (and if there aren't offsetting mitigators), the judge CAN, if he wants, go above 12.5 yrs.
Finding the aggravators doesn't COMPEL the judge to impose the tougher sanction. But they give him the option to impose any sentence up to the statutory maximum.

(The defense will surely push for a downward departure too.)

So that's the "Blakely" hearing mentioned at the end.
Ah, didn't catch this part. Guessing his lawyers are thinking that if the jury convicted this quickly, they aren't his friend, and maybe he has a better chance with a judge.

There's data to back this up.

mncourts.gov/mncourtsgov/me…
Sentencing juries--which exist in a handful of states--are thought to be distinctly harsher than judges.

Which makes sense: judges see a wider range of cases, making any defendant's case seem far more "normal" to the judge than to the once-in-a-lifetime juror.

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More from @JohnFPfaff

22 Apr
The Supreme Court decided today that judges do not even have to determine if a child "incorrigible" before imposing a life without parole sentence on that child.

Before looking at what is wrong with that opinion, it may help to see what other countries allow this.

None. Image
The core problem with the opinion is that the question it's asking should not even be asked.

The question: do judges need to make a formal finding of "incorrigibility" before sentencing a child to die in prison.

But that question... defies asking.
The Court ITSELF admits we can't really answer it. That we simply lack the ability to predict whether a child is beyond hope at the time of sentencing that child.

The solution, then, is... to make it EASIER for judges to do... what we know... they can't do well?

Mind-boggling. Image
Read 9 tweets
22 Apr
Shackling women during labor is illegal. It's been illegal since 2009. Yet it keeps happening over and over and over again.

To be clear: it's illegal in NY, and about 20-some other states too. Still completely legal in a lot of states. Image
Shackling a woman giving birth: if you can't see what this says about the system from this, I... I don't know what to say. It's such an unambiguous act.

It demonstrates, SO clearly that everyone MUST be able to see it, how we view the people in the system as less than human.
What does it mean to shackle a woman by her hand and foot while she's giving birth?

It means you view her as an animal. You see her as someone who doesn't feel pain, who has inhuman strength, whose drive to escape is so feral she'd jeopardize her own newborn to achieve it.
Read 5 tweets
20 Apr
Our data here is, unsurprisingly, weak, but when I looked at the numbers a while back, weed was abt 1% of prison pops. Bet it’s less now.

That’s 10,000-15,000. Not millions.

And bet it gets even trickier when we dig into the full story.
We shouldn’t arrest ppl for weed. We should legalize and regulate it. We should expunge all past weed records.

But weed isn’t directly driving prison pops. And bet it’s indirect effects are weaker than most think too.
“How many ppl in prison not for weed had weed as a prior? How many weed arrests destabilized a life and thus led to later, more serious crime?”

TOTALLY fair questions.

But, overall, bet less than we might think. Imagine a world without weed arrests....
Read 6 tweets
20 Apr
I've been thinking about this graph a lot lately, and I think it misstates the nature of policing in the US.

The issue isn't the SCALE of policing in the US, but its NATURE.

In terms of police PER CAPITA, the US appears to be... BELOW average, even compared to most of Europe.
Comparing spending is tough, bc so much police spending is wages:spending reflects things like union power, purchasing power parity, etc., etc., etc.

Per capita policing seem like a more apples-to-apples comparison.

Our staffing is middling. Which means the issue is APPROACH.
There are, of course, some major gaps in the UN ODC data (available here: dataunodc.un.org/data/crime/Pol…). Most obv are the missing big countries: China (1), India (2), Indonesia (4), Pakistan (5), Brazil (6), Nigeria (7), and Bangladesh (8).

But the US/Euro comp is informative.
Read 6 tweets
19 Apr
So: the FL protest bill DeSantis just signed is, I think, the first (of many pending) to target defunding.

If a city cuts police funding, DA or other officials can appeal to the gov, who will refer the budget to an Admin Commission, which can restore funding without appeal.
By my count, there are at least ten other states with these bills working their way thru the lege, most in states w GOP trifectas.

Some threaten funding cuts, TX demands cities keep up w inflation, AZ allows sheriffs to take over.

Preemption is coming for reforms.
Some states are expanding supersession laws, which allow the state AG to take cases away from local DAs.

Others are altering local sovereign immunity standards, I think to make it easier to sue cities that don’t crack down hard enough on protests.
Read 5 tweets
6 Apr
Looking through my tweets, I've attacked Cotton tweets making this claim in 2016 and 2018. Now 2021. It's like a cycle for him.

Here's the main rebuttal: so small a fraction of ppl committing crimes end up in prison that the problem isn't there. It's earlier.
People don't trust the police, or don't think reporting to the police is worth their time, or have other reasons to fear going to the police (like immigration status).

55% of non-lethal violent crimes go unreported, and 65% of property crimes.
Of those crimes that the police hear about or witness themselves, the percent that result in an arrest are below 20% for property crimes, and often below 50% for violent offenses... and that's after those low reporting rates.
Read 12 tweets

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