Over the last week, Covid has overtaken TB as the single most dangerous communicable disease in India, crossing the 1,000 daily death mark and moving into the 2,000 zone. Table below shows comparison of daily deaths in India and US in pre-Covid times. Short morbid thread (1/n)
2K Covid daily deaths (reported) on 26K daily deaths (pre-Covid) reflects close to 10% surge. In US, in early-Feb, 5K Covid daily deaths on 8K daily deaths (pre-Covid) reflected close to 60% surge. At that kind of a surge rate, India would have 15K Covid daily deaths.
Hopefully we don't get anywhere close to that. But the surge is going to continue past 2K. Attention to crematoriums and cemetery's, already on, will intensify. Cruel as it sounds, some planning on this end for the next one month would give some dignity to the suffering families
A related issue is to know how many died of Covid and not, for scientific research purposes. With the death surge, the death registration system gets affected. Imperative for the govt. to release all-cause death data on a timely basis (like we did 100 years ago) like the USA-CDC:
This public tweet thread is in a way a rehash of this November 1918 letter to the editor of the Times of India, during the Influenza outbreak (when 200K were dying daily across the subcontinent).

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More from @ChinmayTumbe

13 Apr
Building on this thread on company towns, a new thread on another form of urban governance structure, that we all have seen, visited and maybe even lived in: Cantonments! (1/n).
There were 59 Cantonments listed by Census 2001 and their distribution across India closely mirrors the history of British military pursuits....more dense between Calcutta and Delhi and very few in South India.
In 2011, 3 of them had a population of over 100K: Secunderabad (200K+), Kanpur and Delhi. Between 60K-100K: Meerut, Ramgarh, Mhow, Kirkee, Jabalpur, Pune. Median population was 20K. Map with labels shown below.
Read 7 tweets
12 Apr
Prompted by @CafeEconomics, a short thread on company towns in India like Tatanagar (Jamshedpur), Kirloskarwadi, Modinagar (all three pre-1947) and the ones that followed them. (1/n)
Urban governance structures in India are of various types, as shown in this table. Jamshedpur is today a Notified Area Committee (NAC). There were 36 Industrial Notified Areas/Townships in 2011. They have municipal functions, and can often raise taxes.
This map shows the 20+ Industrial townships (INA/ITS) that existed in 2001. Almost all are in Gujarat. The median population was only a few thousand people. In 2011, Raurkela was the biggest with a population of more than 100K, followed by BHEL Ranipur at 25K.
Read 8 tweets
28 Sep 20
While there are books on Maruti-Suzuki and ITC, we do need good business histories on Colgate, Asian Paints, Pidilite, Exide and Laxmi Machine Works which have all held market dominance for so long. A brief thread on Indian corporate biographies.
My favorite is Muthiah's 'The Spencer Legend'; Spencer was the pioneer with a pan-Indian retailing in early 20th c, aggressive M&A and lots of interesting strategies. On Indian retailing history, see our work at: emerald.com/insight/conten…
There's a lot on the TATAs; then there's Godrej, Bank of Baroda, and so on. More than 50 such corporate biographies are listed in this c.2004 Indian business history bibliography by N. Benjamin and P. N. Rath on pages 20-24. PDF available on this link: dspace.gipe.ac.in/xmlui/handle/1…
Read 5 tweets
16 Sep 20
That time of the year where students look for reference letters for applying for PhD abroad. A short thread on academics doing well, having done their PhD's in India (within past 20-odd years). Foreign PhDs are great. Indian too. #AtmaNirbharAcademia
Dr. Manu V Devadevan, winner of Infosys Prize 2019, PhD from Managalore University in 2011, now at IIT Mandi. Incredibly multi-lingual. Inspiring story. onmanorama.com/news/campus-re…
Reetika Khera, Economist, PhD from Delhi School of Economics, now at IIT Delhi (former colleague at IIMA). Expert on social policies. Only 3000+ citations to her work but more importantly, there's also a Wikipedia page.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reetika_K…
Read 5 tweets
25 Aug 20
Lot of trash history gets peddled on social media. So worth publicizing actual historical scholarship when it comes out. For over 5 decades, Indian Economic and Social History Review has been a great outlet for historians (esp. non-Marxist). Latest issue thread👇🏾 Image
Slavery had different forms in India. Richard Eaton and Indrani Chatterjee have a great edited volume on this. In this paper, new insights from a 13th c. text. Image
Histories of opium are usually about the 19th century. So what happened to it in the 20th c? Benjamin Siegel looks at this transformation. Image
Read 5 tweets
21 Aug 20
Kalyani Vartak and I have a book chapter on 'Migration and Caste' that came out a few months back. A very short thread with link to the article in the end. We review around 100 studies on this subject and our own work and propose a framework, as shown in this chart.
At the macro level, as observed in previous studies (esp. by @priyadeshingkar @ArjanDevDebate ), there is a broad positive relationship between caste rank and out-migration in longer duration migration streams and inverse relationship in shorter duration migration streams.
This feature + Historically, permanent migrations out of the villages to the cities have been dominated by the 'General' category=> Urbanization rates among General category, therefore, nearly double that of OBC, SC [Urban definition matters for this number but not ranking].
Read 7 tweets

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