In 2016, poor health strongly predicted Trump voting. A county's rate of diabetes, alcohol consumption, obesity, etc. predicted its propensity to vote Trump *even better* than race/education. thehealthcareblog.com/blog/2017/01/0…
I think of that grim relationship between Trump and sickness as I read the latest stories about how so many Republicans continue to refuse COVID vaccines. 2/x washingtonpost.com/health/2021/04…
As @DKThomp points out, vaccine refusal is especially strong among younger Republicans 3/x
The self-harm of Trump voters should concern us all. They are fellow human beings. And because their self-harm also drives them to dangerous political extremes, their self-harm is also an important civic matter too. BUT ... 4/x
... there's an issue of personal responsibility here too. A heroic scientific effort - achieved at huge cost - has delivered vaccines that are astonishingly effective at protecting life from COVID. So effective that we may not need to worry about herd immunity. If so ... 5/x
... If so, if the vaccines work as well as they seem to work, then vaccine refusal really does become a personal decision, like a motorcyclist refusing to wear a helmet.
I believe we ought to try to save people from self-harm. But there are practical limits to paternalism 6/x
Trump and the Fox leadership have vaccinated themselves of course. But they have a different message for their followers. They have persuaded them that it's a test of identity and loyalty to refuse COVID protection. 7/x
The gun issue is also one of self-harm and harm to loved ones. Almost 25,000 Americans a year use guns to end their lives. Thousands more are horribly injured in gun accidents that would never have happened without a firearm in the home. 9/x pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2019…
The people who voted Trump and watch Fox are victims of a slow-rolling national tragedy. But they are not *only* victims. They bear responsibility too for the harm they do themselves and their families. 10/x
In the earlier phases of COVID, we were all in it together. One person's reckless behavior endangered his or her more prudent neighbor. As highly effective vaccines spread, however, the harm of COVID denial increasingly falls almost wholly on the denier. 11/x
Eventually a free society reaches the limits of its ability to protect the ignorant and careless from themselves - and what a society cannot do, it can have no duty to do. END
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Those critics object that the unvaccinated can imperil others as well as themselves. Understood and accepted. That's true now - will be true for some time to come. 2/x
My thread was talking about a pair of hypotheticals:
1) "IF" the vaccines work as well as they seem to do; and
2) "IF" the US continues to make progress toward double vaccination of most of the population ...
3/x
@jbarro Trump got himself vaccinated early, in secret. But his rhetorical energy was concentrated on abusing the public-health professionals leading the vaccine effort.
Likewise ... 2/x
@jbarro Rupert Murdoch got himself vaccinated in December 2020 at a British NHS clinic, three weeks before even the Queen (and head of the British state). Yet Murdoch too has used his power to discourage others from protecting themselves as he protected himself.
Any follow-ups to report 4 days ago of theft - abduction? - of Darius, the world's biggest rabbit? This mystery cannot be left unresolved. bbc.com/news/uk-englan…
Some suspect the involvement of Dexter, the world's second biggest rabbit, who will inherit the championship title if Darius is not recovered.
I'm late to this fascinating report by @DemCorps - but it remains urgent reporting about the post-Trump GOP. It describes a bitterly divided party: 70% still in thrall to Trump, 30% against him democracycorps.com/republican-par…
@DemCorps Trump's defeat has left his supporters aimless, powerless, pessimistic, and alienated from politics. Real-world consequence: by spring 2009, the anti-Obama Tea Party had already come into being. There's no equivalent movement in 2021 to resist Biden.
@DemCorps Racially resentful pro-Trump Republicans find Biden unthreatening - and accordingly are reacting to Biden's recovery plans with interest and "what's in it for me?" curiosity rather than the fierce rejection with which they met Obama plans in 2009.
In 2020, Republicans dramatically gained votes among Latinos, especially men- and collapsed among whites, especially men. It’s not a very smart response to that predicament for Republicans now to make it harder for Latinos to vote. theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
Anyway, read the article, it's full of data points that Republican pollsters and strategists know, but that Republican lawmakers ignore because they rely on false information from racist TV hosts. theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
Maybe K-6 schools should cancel summer vacation in 2022 in favor of emergency catch-up reading and math programs?
Even pre-pandemic, summer vacation was a major cause of learning loss - and that loss (no surprise) hits weakest students hardest aera.net/Newsroom/Schoo…