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Patrick McKenzie Profile picture
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22 Apr, 4 tweets, 1 min read
Day 98 at VaccinateCA. By what I swear is coincidence, I think we'll have something fun to show off on Day 100.
And since I don't want to be a total tease, we took the embeddable map now backing e.g. Alameda County's health department and localized it into all eight languages we support.
Instructions for how to use that embed are here: blog.vaccinateca.com/put-vaccine-lo…

We welcome government health officials, politicians, community organizations, and other to use it to help accelerate the vaccination campaign in your community.
Now back to work on the Friday release.

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Patrick McKenzie Profile picture
20 Apr
Ballpark math here:

The first day of US's manufacturing capacity being redirected to vaccinate a new county ex-US will save +/- 1,000X more lives than the last day of the US's manufacturing capacity being reserved for the US.
I think the ethics of the situation are reasonably complex, but the useful takeaway from this should be "If you are waiting to get the vaccine because you perceive low personal risk, please get it *as soon as possible* to free up the spot for someone with much worse risk."
(We've had a great, great deal of suffering this year because people had a model which suggested "If I don't take this shot, someone else will get it" where that decision lead to others being delayed, for example during the initial phase of vaccinating healthcare workers.)
Read 4 tweets
Patrick McKenzie Profile picture
20 Apr
A lot of our innovations for VaccinateCA are *extremely* low tech. One that surprises folks: “web bankers.”

There are thousands of places vaccine information can be, including county FaceBook pages, the personal Twitter feeds of elected officials, in mind of pharmacists, etc.
We use a material amount of scraping, but we’re rate limited on how many scrapers we can write, and a county dropping a PNG of their PSF announcing a clinic to their Facebook page is not easily scrapeable.

Enter the web bankers, called that to distinguish from our phone bankers.
When we identify a page/FB page/Twitter/etc which is likely to have interesting updates on it in future, we put an automated watcher on it. When it changes, that goes into a queue for the web bankers.

They go read it, manually compare against what it had last time, and type up.
Read 5 tweets
Patrick McKenzie Profile picture
18 Apr
I enjoyed this conversation between crypto folks and founder of a retail focused options brokerage.

overcast.fm/+Rt6qS0-Fo

Similar jobs to be done (active trading as an entertainment product); good insight on how traditional brokerages with risk appetite would think of fees.
Also fun to hear people from very different worlds allude to very foundational views that they treat as axiomatic but that their counterparties don’t understand at that level.

Most prominently, when asked about the risks of crypto, brokerage said “What do I care? Cash product.”
Meaning: because they do not offer leverage on crypto, they do not have to do the risk management they have to do on options trades, leveraged stock positions, futures, or shorting stocks.

They never take credit risk regardless of market conditions or user behavior.
Read 4 tweets
Patrick McKenzie Profile picture
18 Apr
Largely agree with this taxonomy.

There are (and I know this is surprising to many peers) a lot of people who are acutely sensitive to complexity/difficulty/mental effort required to get through things.

We understand this in B2C conversion optimization and industry spends $$$$.
Meanwhile, the process of getting a vaccine is largely not optimized from a conversion perspective.

Indeed, partially through underinvestment and partially *as an intentional rationing measure* the process is often pessimized.
Sometime after the pandemic is over, when writing about what went less than awesome, I want to write about the game theory of having N distribution systems with fungible supply, overwhelming demand, and the overwhelming incentive to *not* have the best site.
Read 4 tweets
Patrick McKenzie Profile picture
18 Apr
Day 93 for VaccinateCA.com and I've got the update baton again.

We did again today what we do every day: call many potential vaccination locations and publish what their medical professionals tell us.

Lots in the works right now:
We're continuing to iterate on how we expose our data set to publishing partners, working with them to make both the data and the UX as valuable as possible to their users.

If you'd like to see some results of this work, and live in California, Google [covid vaccine near me].
We haven't talked about that one much, but quietly getting Google Maps the data they needed to launch that feature is one of the most impactful things we've done to date.

More stuff is in the pipeline; not all shareable yet, as is frequently the case.
Read 6 tweets
Patrick McKenzie Profile picture
12 Apr
PSA: If you’re an engineer and have not done the job search thing in a few years it may be time to ask Mr. Market what prevailing wages are, because the answer may surprise you.
That has been good advice over much of the last 15 years but, according to a number of conversations I have had recently, is particularly good advice at the moment.
The roaring bull market for equities and vast pools of capital coming into tech (at every level) have mechanically pushed up some parts of compensation, companies have adjusted, etc etc.

It’s very much a jobseeker’s market at the moment.
Read 4 tweets

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