I updated my prospect process to "define" the process over the past several months
I imported the grades into my ADP trends database
I define a faceplanter as losing more than 12 spots in startup ADP from May to May per @DLFootball ADP
Here's the last few classes
Lets Dive In
2019 was a super weak class
2018 had some major star power.
NINE bulletproof players in round 1 of 2017. That is absurd.
2016 was such a hilariously weak class.
2015 had some pretty some strange stuff happening. All of the bad players gained value and then with the exception of a fluke season by DeVante Parker they all went on to bust in epic fashion.
2014 was a special as it looked at the time. And gave us easily the most bizarre Generational prospect of all-time.
The things I learned...
1) Bulletproof+ is both bulletproof in terms of production AND yr1 value gains.
2) bad prospects gain value at a remarkable rate after yr1 to then come crashing down to earth shortly thereafter. IE, hope springs eternal.
Remember that face planting is basically a fantasy death sentence. That is a key part of my sophomore comps and plays a big role in my rankings on Patreon.com/BulletproofFF
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One of the best ways to win fantasy football championships is by rostering the RB that breaks out out of nowhere
This is a hard feat to pull off as there are approximately 3700 options
I would like to introduce you to one of the bets that you simply have to make
Sean Tucker.
From a size and athleticism perspective Sean Tucker looks the part. Per @rotounderworld in the screen shot above Tucker measured in at a fairly robust 5-9 and 207 pounds while running a 90th-percentile 4.44 40.
We like that very much.
@rotounderworld Was Sean Tucker a one-dimensional runningback in college or was he trusted in all aspects of the game?
As evidenced by his 75th-percentile college dominator and his 95th-percentile target share, it is pretty clear that the offence in Syracuse ran through Sean Tucker.
If y'all want me to say, "Voldemort has peripheral metrics that suggest that he might be better than the 10% target share and 8 fantasy ppg player that he's been" then Ill admit it.
I am in fact expecting him to have greater than 10% targets and 8 fantasy ppg this season.
There are two things at play here.
#1 - The binary notion of is he "good or evil" at football.
#2 - Regardless of #1, is he a good pick in any format?