1/ I've been helplessly watching the humanitarian crisis unfold in India. Friends' anxiety has turned to distress. Distress has turned to panic. Smart people in the US govt are working behind the scenes to help. But it's time for private deliberation to turn into public action.
2/ I'm no expert on public health or humanitarian crises, but I think there are at least four key elements of a response. First, we need to see senior U.S. leadership express solidarity with the Indian people. To Indians and Indian Americans, empathy will be welcome.
3/ Second, the US has the capacity to provide oxygen, ventilators, medication & emergency supplies. The public sector can galvanize private support. If the optics of the US Defense Dept delivering relief is problematic, there are other workarounds, including via 3rd countries.
4/ Third, access to essential vaccine materials. The DPA issue is real but hardly black & white. GOI, USG, Serum Institute -- their stories don't match up. Here's the good news: GOI has finally delivered a list of what it needs. Now USG can work the problem. It's messy but doable
5/ The goal of addressing India's DPA (& related) concerns should be to ensure that future vaccine production in India (for India and for the world) is not adversely impacted in any way. From the outside, it appears that both sides agree on this.
6/ Finally, vaccines. US is pivoting from domestic to international provision. The crisis may demand an interim arrangement for India. The supposed AZ stocks are shrouded in mystery. While these should be looked at, it seems to me the one-shot, easy storage J&J is even better.
7/ Diplomatic support and emergency response in the short-run. Then onto raw materials and vaccines. Let's be clear: the US is not the source of today's crisis. But it can and should be part of tomorrow's solution. But this is a five-alarm fire and the clock is ticking.

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More from @MilanV

23 Apr
.@gautambhatia88 reviews the tenure of Chief Justice Bobde--"Evasion, Hypocrisy, and Duplicity," reads the title. You can guess what comes next. But worth reading in full: indconlawphil.wordpress.com/2021/04/23/eva…
This is an especially infuriating paragraph, on judicial evasion in the context of challenges to the electoral bond scheme, indconlawphil.wordpress.com/2021/04/23/eva…
As is this para on judicial evasion: challenges to important constitutional cases--abrogation of 370, EWS reservations, Aadhaar Act, etc.--remain pending indconlawphil.wordpress.com/2021/04/23/eva…
Read 4 tweets
9 Jan
1/ As a Washington, DC resident for the better part of two decades, I experienced a visceral reaction to the events of January 6. Here's my attempt in @htTweets to make sense of them hindustantimes.com/opinion/americ…
2/ I think there are, for me, 4 big takeaways. First, the Trump era serves as a vivid illustration that institutions are ultimately only as strong as the social norms that underpin them, and the individuals who mobilise to support them hindustantimes.com/opinion/americ…
3/ Second, democratic accountability cannot be limited to the ballot box alone. Desperate talk of the need to protect the country from Trump to avoid further chaos in his final days only underlines the series of missed opportunities to hold him to account. hindustantimes.com/opinion/americ…
Read 6 tweets
8 Jan
1/ Interesting insights on the Indian economy in this note by Sajjid Chinoy. "India has broken the link between COVID proliferation & mobility much earlier & more successfully than many countries." Private sector activity levels jumped back up to 95% of pre-COVID levels by Oct.
2/ This is being complemented by the long-awaited pick-up in central government spending. Even as state government spending continues to contract, central government spending has surged.
3/ "A second phenomenon playing out in tandem, however, is labour market scarring...The recovery appears to be led by capital and profits, not labour and wages."
Read 9 tweets
16 Sep 20
1/ As the US election nears, our team is surveying Indian-American college students (and a parent) for a study on inter-generational differences in policy/political attitudes. If you're part of a campus organization or would like to get involved, email us: siaa-survey.com
2/ Here's a short video explaining our study's approach and why we think this survey is important:
3/ Or you can check out a short podcast @KhariBiskut, @sameer_nd & I recorded where we talk about our survey effort and what makes it unique: siaa-survey.com
Read 5 tweets
28 Feb 20
1/ In the latest issue of the Journal of Economic Perspectives, @AmartyaLahiri has one of the most comprehensive assessments of #demonetization I have seen to date. The piece is ungated and can be found here: pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/10…
2/ The bulk of the piece focuses on whether demonetization achieved its three stated goals:

1) Seizing the black wealth created through undeclared income

2) Increasing the tax base

3) digitizing the economy & reducing the reliance on cash

Lahiri analyzes all three.
3/ Because 99% of the currency was returned, we know that the direct method of capturing unaccounted wealth did not work. When it comes to indirect methods (tax), neither demonetization nor GST pushed the indirect tax/GDP ratio off its recent trend path.
Read 11 tweets
5 Apr 19
1/n Very interesting results from CSDS-Lokniti 2019 pre-poll. First, Modi's popularity has rebounded. Is back at May 2017 levels (and even higher than May 2014) lokniti.org/media/upload_f…
2/n Anti-incumbency sentiment against Modi government seems to have ebbed somewhat lokniti.org/media/upload_f…
3/n While Balakot does not rate among top priorities for voters, there is evidence it is *shifting* perceptions and behavior. Awareness of Balakot strike is blunting unemployment factor lokniti.org/media/upload_f…
Read 6 tweets

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