@CarnegieEndow Sr. Fellow + Director, @CarnegieSAsia. Host of #GrandTamasha podcast. Tweeting my views on political economy + India. RTs & likes ≠ endorsements
Apr 26 • 10 tweets • 4 min read
1/ Out now: the latest essay in our @CarnegieEndow #IndiaElects2024 series: Anirvan Chowdhury (@chyawanprash) examines the BJP's unique strategy of incorporating women into political spaces through the moral concept of "seva" carnegieendowment.org/2024/04/26/how… 2/ Historically, women’s turnout in India has lagged men's. This came to an end in the 2019 general elections. Furthermore, the assumption that women simply vote in tandem with men in their household has also been challenged carnegieendowment.org/2024/04/26/how…
Sep 15, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
1/ There's been a recent uptick in interest on Indian democracy on this website. Here's a new, draft paper that attempts to examine one aspect of this debate--the apparent weakening of "referee" institutions vaishnavmilan.files.wordpress.com/2022/09/vaishn…2/ This paper analyzes the behavior of three "referee" institutions—the Supreme Court, the Election Commission of India, and a clutch of horizontal federal accountability institutions—and their encounters with a new dominant political entity.
Sep 14, 2022 • 5 tweets • 5 min read
New #GrandTamasha out today: Relation between India and Pakistan are often thought of as “conflict unending”, but @clary_co would like to disagree. Chris is my guest on the show this week: grand-tamasha.simplecast.com/episodes/when-…
We discuss Chris’ terrific new book, “The Difficult Politics of Peace: Rivalry in Modern South Asia.” More information here: global.oup.com/academic/produ…
Nov 18, 2021 • 15 tweets • 9 min read
🇬🇧🇮🇳 1/ Today, we are releasing a detailed, new study on the political attitudes of British Indians. The Indian diaspora in the United Kingdom is now the largest immigrant group in the country. Yet, we know far too little about their political attitudes. bit.ly/3HwOPZF2/ This report—by @CEDuckworth21, Devesh Kapur, and me—draws on a new, nationally representative survey of nearly 800 British Indian eligible voters conducted w/ @YouGov in August 2021. The survey has an overall margin of error of +/- 3.5 percent.
Nov 17, 2021 • 4 tweets • 5 min read
On this week's #GrandTamasha: everything you wanted to know about #COP26 but were afraid to ask.
1/ Some interesting insights from latest JP Morgan note on COVID crisis in India.
First, while aggregate *reported* cases have stabilized at 350K, seeing a rotation in states (test positivity rates in MH, CH, MP stabilizing while WB, UP, DL rising) markets.jpmorgan.com/research/email…2/ Mobility/economic recovery indices have plummeted as rolling lockdowns become more prevalent markets.jpmorgan.com/research/email…
Apr 27, 2021 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
1/ New @CarnegieEndow product: how is the world reacting to Biden's first 100 days? Perspectives on the EU, Middle East, China, Russia, and--yes--India carnegieendowment.org/2021/04/27/wor…2/ Ashley J. Tellis' piece on US-India is well worth reading (as always). Key takeaway: "Trump’s defeat produced palpable uncertainties in New Delhi. One hundred days into Biden’s presidency, these doubts have not been erased, but they have been allayed." carnegieendowment.org/2021/04/27/wel…
Apr 25, 2021 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
1/ I've been helplessly watching the humanitarian crisis unfold in India. Friends' anxiety has turned to distress. Distress has turned to panic. Smart people in the US govt are working behind the scenes to help. But it's time for private deliberation to turn into public action.
2/ I'm no expert on public health or humanitarian crises, but I think there are at least four key elements of a response. First, we need to see senior U.S. leadership express solidarity with the Indian people. To Indians and Indian Americans, empathy will be welcome.
1/ As a Washington, DC resident for the better part of two decades, I experienced a visceral reaction to the events of January 6. Here's my attempt in @htTweets to make sense of them hindustantimes.com/opinion/americ…2/ I think there are, for me, 4 big takeaways. First, the Trump era serves as a vivid illustration that institutions are ultimately only as strong as the social norms that underpin them, and the individuals who mobilise to support them hindustantimes.com/opinion/americ…
Jan 8, 2021 • 9 tweets • 2 min read
1/ Interesting insights on the Indian economy in this note by Sajjid Chinoy. "India has broken the link between COVID proliferation & mobility much earlier & more successfully than many countries." Private sector activity levels jumped back up to 95% of pre-COVID levels by Oct. 2/ This is being complemented by the long-awaited pick-up in central government spending. Even as state government spending continues to contract, central government spending has surged.
Sep 16, 2020 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
1/ As the US election nears, our team is surveying Indian-American college students (and a parent) for a study on inter-generational differences in policy/political attitudes. If you're part of a campus organization or would like to get involved, email us: siaa-survey.com2/ Here's a short video explaining our study's approach and why we think this survey is important:
Feb 28, 2020 • 11 tweets • 4 min read
1/ In the latest issue of the Journal of Economic Perspectives, @AmartyaLahiri has one of the most comprehensive assessments of #demonetization I have seen to date. The piece is ungated and can be found here: pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/10…2/ The bulk of the piece focuses on whether demonetization achieved its three stated goals:
1) Seizing the black wealth created through undeclared income
2) Increasing the tax base
3) digitizing the economy & reducing the reliance on cash
Lahiri analyzes all three.
Apr 5, 2019 • 6 tweets • 4 min read
1/n Very interesting results from CSDS-Lokniti 2019 pre-poll. First, Modi's popularity has rebounded. Is back at May 2017 levels (and even higher than May 2014) lokniti.org/media/upload_f…2/n Anti-incumbency sentiment against Modi government seems to have ebbed somewhat lokniti.org/media/upload_f…