46 days ago, Texas opened "100%" with no statewide mask mandate, 8 days after @GregAbbott_TX announced the new policy.
Blue checkmarks predicted the apocalypse.
It's now undeniably been long enough to declare that the apocalypse did not arrive. Instead, everything is better.
Since March 10th, when Texas reopened 100% with no statewide mask mandate...
✅Cases: DOWN 25.4%
✅Hospitalizations: DOWN 39.1%
✅% of beds used by COVID patients: DOWN 36.6%
✅% of patients that are COVID+: DOWN 35.2%
✅COVID ICU: DOWN 38.8%
✅Deaths through April 11: DOWN 70.4%
Cases (7-day statewide average per day) are:
✅Down 25.4% since Texas reopened 100% without a statewide mask mandate.
✅Down 50.6% since @GovAbbott made his announcement.
✅Down 88.2% since the January peak.
Latitudinal seasonality, folks.
Zooming out to the entirety of 2021, it's clear that "cases" are substantially down and have remained down for several weeks.
Today, Texas reported the fewest number of hospital patients testing positive for COVID-19 since June 15, 2020.
✅Down 39.1% since Texas reopened 100% without a statewide mask mandate.
✅Down 51.3% since @GovAbbott made his announcement.
✅Down 81.1% since the January peak.
Today, Texas reported the lowest percentage of hospital beds in use by COVID-19 positive patients (4.14%) since June 13, 2020.
✅Down 36.6% since Texas reopened 100% without a statewide mask mandate.
Today, Texas reached various lows dating to Summer 2020.
✅Hospitalized: June 15
✅Patients to Beds: June 13
✅COVID Patients to All Patients: June 13
✅COVID Patients to All Patients ( 7 day avg.): June 17
✅ICU: June 13
✅ICU (7-day avg.): June 16
✅Deaths (7-day avg.): June 13
46 days is plenty of time for blue-checkmark predicted doom to arrive.
It did not arrive.
COVID's future reemergence in Texas, or lack thereof, will have zero to do with mandates, rules, regulations, plexiglass, masks, or stickers on the ground that tell you where to stand.
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It has now been 52 days since @GovAbbott made his announcement that Texas would open on March 10th, "100%," without a statewide mask mandate.
It has been 44 days since Texas reopened 100% with no mask mandates.
The promised apocalypse has apparently been postponed yet again.
COVID-19 "cases," hospital patients, ICU patients, and deaths have all fallen in Texas in the 44 days since Texas opened 100% without a statewide mask mandate.
It has now been 26 days since March 10th, when Texas "reopened 100%" with no statewide mask mandate; it has been 34 days since @GovAbbott announced the reopening.
So far, so good.
"Cases," positivity rate, hospital and ICU patients with COVID-19, and deaths are all down.
"Cases" are noisy, bouncy, and uneven, for a variety of reasons. Holidays and three-day-weekends impact the reporting. They're a mess. But they're down since Texas reopened 100%, according to @TexasDSHS data.
Next, let's look at the seven-day-averages to get a clearer picture.
The seven-day-average of Texas "cases" of COVID-19:
-DOWN 30.5% from the day Texas "reopened 100%" with no more statewide mask mandate.
-DOWN 54% from the day @GovAbbott made his announcement.
The 7-day-average "case" level is down 87.9% from the peak back in January.
According to @TexasDSHS data, the number of patients in Texas hospitals who also tested positive for COVID-19: down 35.5% since Texas reopened "100%" without a statewide mask mandate.