Talha Ahmad Profile picture
Apr 25, 2021 13 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Amazing thread by @tequieremos about Amrullah Saleh's preposterous claims from his past.
Below is a [thread] on one of his latest preposterous claims about the Kabul University attack.
On November 2,2020, at least 22 people were killed & over 40 others were wounded after two 1/12
gunmen attacked the Kabul University. Soon after the attack, ISIS (Daesh) claimed the responsibility from the official channel even released images of the two attackers. Just a month before this barbaric attack,ISIS attacked an education center in Kabul killing 24. 2 similar 2/12 Image
attacks in Quetta & Peshwar were carried out in the same period, one of which was also claimed by ISIS-KP.
Despite ISIS officially claiming the responsibility Amrullah Saleh quickly released the statement he is personally investigating the case. Taliban instantly denied 3/12
Infact blamed the Afgh govt for facilitating the attack. Here is Taliban spokesperson Zabiullah Mujahid statement "Our Mujahideen never carry out attacks on educational institutes, public spaces or areas that have no military target" 4/12
But things took an interesting turn.
- Fake Video of ISIS surfaced on the internet claiming "We are not that Brutal, we deny any involvement in the Kabul attack" Majority of Afghan analysts called it fake including the famous Bilal Sarwary.(came before the official video) 5/12 Image
In no time "Anti-Peace Talks" banners in Kabul University & roads of Kabul appeared. This practice of posting banners & pictures of criminals in Kabul was started by none other than Amrullah Saleh. Saleh resigned during Karzai after he initiated talks with Taliban in 2010 6/12 Image
Hold on this is not the end Authorities released images of the crime scene with Taliban Flag & Graffiti as if the barbarians went not for the attack but for a political rally. This whole campaign was building up & part of this campaign was 7/12
Image
Image
ISIS fake video being sponsored on social media especially on different Facebook Pages. when was the last time any of you heard about ISIS running ads on Youtube & Facebook? Days after this Saleh as expected appeared claiming that NDS has arrested the mastermind of kabul 8/12 Image
University attack & It turned out to be a member Haqqani Network ( Faction of Taliban Saleh claims that is supported by Pakistan's ISI), A year later 9/12 Image
This year Afghanistan supreme court gave the ruling as per the statement "five other collaborators of the attack were sentenced to various jail terms on charges of treason, transfer of explosive materials and cooperation with Daesh". The court order mention no detail of any 10/12 Image
involvement of Pakistan, Taliban/ Haqqani Network as claimed by Amrullah Saleh.
But the Anti-Talks campaign, Fake video, Pakistan bashing, Graffiti & Flags had nothing to do with Saleh taking charge of Kabul Security Chief just weeks ago before all of this. But apart from 11/12
that CIA backed Milliti under Amrullah command of NDS, like of Khost Protection Force (KPF), often feed US wrong intel resulting in civil deaths in Airstrikes & Drone strikes in Afghanistan. 12/12
*Militia, *Civilian

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More from @talhaahmad967

Aug 26
Hezbollah's response [Thread]
Hezbollah's response to assassination of Fuad Shukr mirrors Iranian true promise operation, where the goal was demonstration of offensive capabilities rather than carrying out a high impact strike. In the normal circumstances, this could have
-1/n
Helped established deterence, but since it was unfolding in a volatile regional environment, it was not well received, especially when Israel considered it in relation to the existential war it is waging. Initially, Israel delivered the signal through Isfahan.
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Which was either downplayed or entirely ignored by IRGC. IRGC believed that true promise was enough to establish new rules of engagement, especially wrt IRGC officials, advisors, and mainland. These new Rules of Engagement (ROE) were totally unacceptable to Israel.
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Aug 6
Sinwar as Head of Hamas Political Bureau [Thread]
The appointment of Sinwar as head of political bureau, after the assassination of Haniyeh, might be surprising for many, but it is a strategic decision based on the security and political realities of the region and beyond. -1/n
When Hamas planned Al-Aqsa Flood (Oct 7), it knew it was a strategic manoeuvre having serious long-term implications, and there would be no coming back afterwards. One implication was the end of rapprochement with West and Gulf via the political bureau.
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especially when one of the objectives was to block US backed Arab-Israeli normalization having no Palestinian stakes. External pragmatism no longer offered any gains in the changing regional dynamics. Now it's just one package: "either you are with us or against us"
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Read 12 tweets
Jul 2
For defeatists & pacifists (Engineer Co) it's not the lack of understanding about changing realities but optimism for Status Quo.
How I am reading the strategy is quite obvious; this current Israeli structure with this ontological paradox can't exist for more than 5 years. -1/n
However, it's difficult to elaborate in layman's terms how psychological, tactical, political and socio-economic factors are adding to the strategic chessboard and the ongoing war for the last half a year is enough to predict the end game, keeping the current factors as
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constant. Psychological, military, & political barriers were breached, and the myth of Israeli invincibility was shattered. The social fabric got shattered, and Most importantly the security dilemma introduced means it will always remain in a state of war even in future.
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Read 7 tweets
Apr 20
Gaza was a triggering point of global conflicts. Regional dynamics are rapidly changing. Soon, Pakistan has to make strategic decisions. These decisions will have serious long-term implications for its future, not just as a state but where it fits into the emerging order.
-1/n
Both at the regional and Global level. Strategic depth has collapsed, and challenges from traditional to non-traditional security are eating up the foundations. Hopes are dwindling and unprecedented paralysis across state functionaries is staggering.
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It's not hard to forecast the future under these circumstances. The problem at the core is the distance between Geo-Strategy and Geo-economics they both are poles apart. It is not hard to understand the natural schemes of things. The cascading effect defines the
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Read 7 tweets
Apr 15
Summary Iran's attack on Israel [Thread]
Earlier, I wrote about the scope of upcoming possible retaliation and the options Iran has in terms of its arsenal. Now let's analyze the overall retaliation (operation) and strategic and tactical gains if any. -1/n
- Firstly, considering the distance between the two; an element of surprise would always be rare in wartime/hostile regional environments. So it's important to keep in mind that Iran carried out an attack when Israel was on full alert. -2/n
- Secondly, Iran was not up against Israel's air defence. It was a multilayer air defence involving the US Navy, RAF, and Jordanian air defence, though the attack was multi-front it was primarily by Iran.
-3/n Image
Read 11 tweets
Apr 11
Israel and Haniyeh [Thread]
The composure of Haniyeh tells a very overarching story. The grandchildren aged 10, 8, and 4 were killed on Eid while meeting with relatives in Shati camp. Israel's brutality does not deter hamas. In fact, it empowers and motivates them.
-1/n
This is not the first time Israel has targeted the families of hamas leaders. The problem is that Israel is still occupied with thought that it can force Palestinians into subjugation with sheer military brutality. It didn't worked and it will never work.
-2/n
Regardless of that, the whole narrative by Israel and it's zionist allies in region that Hamas leadership, including Haniyeh, enjoys the lavish lifestyle in Qatar while Gazan pays the price though never had legs but now has completely collapsed.

-3/n
Read 6 tweets

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