NEW with @BobWolfeSPS

Short and long reads on WTO and transparency as part of #WTOreform

It all be began light-heartedly here on trade Twitter. But digging deeper into the topic reveals the complexity. Transparency is more than it seems.

SHORT READ: tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2021/04/26/wto…
NEW: WTO, trade and transparency, with @BobWolfeSPS

“We have a particular interest in the prospects for successful reform of the WTO and its negotiations. Would more transparency help? Would less?”

LONG READ PART 1 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2021/04/26/wto…
…One minister insisted the draft mustn’t be released until approved. Next moment, delegates from that country were in the press room giving copies to favoured journalists…

What does this say about #WTOtransparency? And leaks?

Part 2 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2021/04/26/wto…

With @BobWolfeSPS
Why does @wto fishery subsidies chair @WillsSantiago🇨🇴 hold talks in triplicate—3 sessions, different participants, identical agendas?

The nature of negotiations, and implications for #WTOtransparency, #WTOreform

With @BobWolfeSPS

PART 3: Negotiations: tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2021/04/26/wto… Image

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More from @CoppetainPU

24 Apr
COVID-19 IN SWITZERLAND. Week to 24.04.2021—cases up, deaths down

Last easing April 19

Per 100K pop, total & last 2 weeks
● cases—7479 & 326⬆️
● in hospital—311 & 9⬇️
● deaths—115 & 0.9⬇️

R(e): down—1.0
Vaccinations: 2.3m (823K 2nd doses)

FOPH covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…

1/10 Screenshot of box on lab-co...Screenshot of box on lab-co...Screenshot of box on lab-co...Screenshot of box on reprod...
AND FOR THE PAST FORTNIGHT, R(e) since Sep28

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview

Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna mRNA vaccinations ongoing. J&J approved, not ordered. Supply picking up. Not yet approved: AstraZeneca, Curevac and Novavax. Switzerland has ordered over 30m doses for 8m people

2/10 Screenshot of box on lab-co...Screenshot of box on lab-co...Screenshot of box on lab-co...Screenshot of Reproductive ...
VIRUS VARIANTS detected

UK variant dominant

Public Health Office: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…
Science Task Force: sciencetaskforce.ch/en/nextstrain-…

3/10 Screenshot of list of varia...Screenshot of graph of esti...Screenshot: Task Force grap...Screenshot: Task Force grap...
Read 10 tweets
17 Apr
COVID-19 IN SWITZERLAND. Week to 17.04.2021—cases up, deaths down

Next easing April 19

Per 100K pop, total & last 2 weeks
● cases—7315 & 306
● in hospital—305 & 10
● deaths—114 & 1.1

R(e): up—1.14
Vaccinations: 2.0m (733K 2nd doses)

FOPH covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…

1/10 Screenshot of box on lab-co...Screenshot of box on lab-co...Screenshot of box on lab-co...Screenshot of box on reprod...
AND FOR THE PAST FORTNIGHT, R(e) since Sep28

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview

Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna mRNA vaccinations ongoing. J&J approved, not ordered. Supply picking up. Approval waiting: AstraZeneca, Curevac and Novavax. Switzerland has ordered over 30m doses for 8m people

2/10 Screenshot of box on lab-co...Screenshot of box on lab-co...Screenshot of box on lab-co...Screenshot of Reproductive ...
VIRUS VARIANTS detected

UK variant ~80%

Public Health Office: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…
Science Task Force: sciencetaskforce.ch/en/nextstrain-…

3/10 Screenshot of list of varia...Screenshot of graph of esti...Screenshot: Task Force grap...Screenshot: Task Force grap...
Read 10 tweets
10 Apr
COVID-19 in Switzerland. Week to 10.04.2021—numbers still rising

Next easing delayed

Per 100K pop, total & last 2 weeks
● cases—6851 & 285
● in hospital—287 & 10
● deaths—111 & 1.4

R(e): down—0.97
Vaccinations: 1.7m (645K 2nd doses)

FOPH covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…

1/10 Screenshot of box on lab-confirmed cases with data and chartScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed hospitalisations with datScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed deaths with data and charScreenshot of box on reproductive number Re (lag in calculat
And for the past fortnight, R(e) since Sep28

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview

Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna mRNA vaccinations ongoing. Supply picking up. Still waiting for approval: AstraZeneca, Curevac and Novavax. Switzerland has ordered over 30m doses for 8m people

2/10 Screenshot of box on lab-confirmed cases (past fortnight) wiScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed hospitalisations (past foScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed deaths (past fortnight) wScreenshot of Reproductive number since 28.09.2020
Vaccinations and virus variants

“Fully” = 2nd dose
Steady growth, deliveries up
Delivered: 2.2m=26% (from 2.1m)
Administered: 1.7m=20% (from 1.4m)
Fully: 645K=7.5% (from 577K)

UK variant ~80%

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…
covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…
covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

3/10 Screenshot of vaccinations data and graphics, past 28 daysChart of development over time of delivered and administeredScreenshot of list of variants and numbers identifiedScreenshot of graph of estimated proportion of relevant vari
Read 10 tweets
8 Apr
#TradeNerdsCorner

1. India has notified WTO members that it exceeded its trade-distorting subsidy entitlement for rice in marketing year 2019/20.

docs.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages/S…

1/4 Image
Developing countries’ limits for trade-distorting farm support = 10% of value of production.

India’s $6.3bn for rice exceeds the $4.6bn limit (10% of $46bn in footnote 2)

This was for buying into food security stocks, so it escapes legal challenge

docs.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages/S…

2/4 Image
#TradeNerdsCorner

2. Did Trump’s subsidies for American farmers exceed US limits in the WTO?

No, says the latest US notification for 2018/19. Total trade-distorting support was $13bn. The limit is $19bn.

Why?

docs.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages/S…

3/4 Image
Read 5 tweets
3 Apr
COVID-19 in Switzerland. Week to 03.04.2021—numbers still rise except deaths

Easing delayed

Per 100K pop, total & last 2 weeks
● cases—6851 & 278
● in hospital—287 & 8
● deaths—111 & 1.2

R(e): down—1.12
Vaccinations: 1.5m (577K 2nd doses)

FOPH covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…

1/10 Screenshot of box on lab-confirmed cases with data and chartScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed hospitalisations with datScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed deaths with data and charScreenshot of box on reproductive number Re (lag in calculat
And for the past fortnight, R(e) since Sep28

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview

Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna mRNA vaccinations ongoing. Supply picking up. Still waiting for approval: AstraZeneca, Curevac and Novavax. Switzerland has ordered over 30m doses for 8m people

2/10 Screenshot of box on lab-confirmed cases (past fortnight) wiScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed hospitalisations (past foScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed deaths (past fortnight) wScreenshot of Reproductive number since 28.09.2020
Vaccinations and virus variants

“Fully” = second dose
Steady growth, deliveries up
Delivered: 2.1m=23.9% (from 1.7m)
Administered: 1.4m=17.8% (from 1.2m)
Fully: 577K=6.7% (from 507K)

UK variant ~80%

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…
covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…
covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

3/10 Screenshot of vaccinations data and graphics, past 28 daysChart of development over time of delivered and administeredScreenshot of list of variants and numbers identifiedScreenshot of graph of estimated proportion of relevant vari
Read 10 tweets
27 Mar
A group of countries has proposed a WTO ministerial declaration on sanitary/phytosanitary (SPS) measures (food safety, animal/plant health) in trade

The target is the year-end ministerial conference.

The draft has some intriguing points … 🍗🥩

docs.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages/S…

1/4
1. The WTO SPS Agreement is “as relevant and applicable today as [ever], and [continues] to safeguard the right for Members to take measures necessary for the protection of human, animal or plant life or health”

The SPS Committee improves implementation via transparency

2/4
2. But the world is changing. The draft proposes a new work programme (don’t yawn)—but not negotiating new obligations or amending the SPS Agreement

3. Interesting: the countries NOT on the list—eg EU, Iceland, Norway, Switzerland, UK. Why? …

docs.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages/S…

3/4
Read 5 tweets

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