Glad to see @HawleyMO introducing a plan to directly support parents, testifies to the fact that there's growing interest among conservatives to do something in this space. businessinsider.com/josh-hawley-ch…
That said, having a fixed threshold seems very unusual, and to be honest I don't really love this way of doing a work requirement at all. If you're gonna have a work rule, at least recognize the possibility of work by a non-married partner.
You don't have to give them the same benefit as marrieds, since I believe the goal here is to create a marriage bonus to offset penalties in other programs, but we should acknowledge the presence of non-married-partner work supporting a family.
So at a minimum, I think you really need a rule like "economically supportive parents" or something. Otherwise this puts stay-at-home spouses in a hugely bad bind if e.g. the relationship becomes abusive.
Sorry, why would you give two parents worth of benefits to a program you've explicitly said is a *parent* benefit, i.e. *not* a child benefit?
You can argue "parents don't deserve benefits!" and maybe you're right; tbh I think I agree with that view and benefits should be child-oriented.

But *if* you're going to do a parent bonus, doing it neutrally *per person in a public legal arrangement of parenting* seems fair.
The issue I see is that the work requirement wouldn't allow a stay-at-home parent with an abusive spouse to separate and continue to claim *any* benefit. He or she would lose 100% of it, ***even if they won a child support payment*** order.
So even though there's a working parent providing support, the non-working parent would get $0.
So the big problem here isn't really the single/married thing. You may dislike the idea of a per-parent payment (I don't love it), but it makes plenty of sense.

The big problem is the work requirement with an abrupt threshold.

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More from @lymanstoneky

27 Apr
THIS PAPER IS SO COOL!

They digitized millions of Wikipedia person-entries to create a "history of notable people." They show trends in the migration, gender ratio, industry background, geography, life expectancy, etc, of "notable people." ideas.repec.org/p/spo/wpecon/i…
So for example, here's the life of Erasmus: Image
Here's the history of notable people.

(It looks a lot like the history of population tbh) Image
Read 22 tweets
27 Apr
This NYT article by @ShawnHubler says that demographers are not surprised by California's slow growth (true) but 1) quotes zero demographers and 2) cites zero sources on dat and 3) says domestic migration isn't a driver (false). nytimes.com/2021/04/26/us/…
why would you title-check demographers *in the headline* without talking to any demographers???

before you say "writers don't make the headlines," the article text mentions what demographers think or say a few times too
feel like if you say a class of people thinks something in a publication for which you have been paid or received some other material benefit that you should be contractually obligated to cite *somebody*
Read 25 tweets
27 Apr
1) Erickson is clearly condemning that view
2) are we now saying that CPS are kidnappers?
If people want to argue CPS is too powerful, out of control, and needs to be reigned in, I’m here for that: but that’s... uh... folks that’s not just not a liberal talking point that’s like super-duper social conservative red meat material right there.
Once you’re at “Calling CPS on someone is aiding and abetting kidnapping” you’re at like ultra-trad politics of the family. Not what the OP intends.
Read 4 tweets
27 Apr
If you have low wages from work, and if shopping around or waiting leads to a lower price for comparable service, then it is *efficient* to wait!
Rich people pay for delivery, poor people do not.

This isn’t an *extra* burden on poor people, it’s just the definition of being poor. The use of money is largely the substitution of time costs!
Read 5 tweets
26 Apr
The Puerto Rico 2020 Census number is.... remarkable. The Census is saying they underestimated Puerto Rico's population by almost 100,000 people!
Their figure also makes an absolute hash of any of the population flows data we have for Puerto Rico.... egads.
By the way, Census' Demographic Analysis program indicated an estimated population of 332.6 million, range of 330.7-335.5. The true value at 331.4 is nearer the low range than the midpoint, so the US population figure should be seen as a slightly pessimistic indicator.
Read 27 tweets
26 Apr
Death update:

US deaths remain above normal levels, and are only very slowly inching towards normalcy. This is true even if you exclude Michigan's current outbreak from US totals.
Here's New York for example. The winter wasn't as bad as April, but was still very bad, and New York still hasn't returned to quite normal death rates.
Read 21 tweets

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