BREAKING: Arizona will not gain a 10th congressional seat
Texas will gain 2 new House seats, while Colorado, Florida, Montana, North Carolina and Oregon will each gain one seat.
Arizona has gained at least one seat in every census since the 1960 census. This is the first time since the 1950 census that we won't gain a seat.
We've all kind of just assumed that a 10th seat was a given. Apparently not.
This is quite the plot twist for redistricting. Everyone has been trying to figure out where the 10th seat might be. Now we can focus on trying to figure out how the current map will be redrawn.
Arizona's population per the 2020 Census is 7,158,923, which is a bit lower than recent estimates had pegged us at.

The Census Bureau previously estimated our 2019 population at 7,278,717, and our 2020 population at about 7.4m.
In the Census Bureau's rankings it uses to apportion House seats, Arizona's prospective 10th seat was at 440. A seat has to be within 435.
Essentially, we were close to the mark, but there were still four more states with a higher "priority value" for another seat than Arizona had for the 10th seat we all expected.
Here's the official population and apportionment table from the 2020 Census: www2.census.gov/programs-surve…
The last time we redrew our congressional map in 2011, when we increased from 8 to 9 seats, each new district had a population of about 710,224.

Under the new population numbers, each of our 9 districts will have a population of about 795,435.

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More from @jeremyduda

28 Apr
There’s 20 tables where 3-person teams are examining ballots. Each table has a turntable with 2 stands where they put the ballots. Each ballot spends 11-15 seconds on the stand as counters examine them and mark down their findings. #azauditpool
One of the tables has a bracket with a camera they’re using to take images of both sides of the ballots, which appear on a laptop screen. Every counting table had a laptop, but it looks like only one is being used to examine images of the ballots. #azauditpool
At 6 other tables, workers take photos of one side of the ballots with cameras mounted on brackets, and the images go to a laptop. Then another person shines a UV light on it. Then the ballot goes into the cardboard box it was originally stored in. #azauditpool
Read 17 tweets
27 Apr
The Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission is about to begin today's meeting. You can watch here:
Here's today's agenda. We'll hear a discussion of the 3 mapping consultants and a possible decision on which firm they'll hire. publicmeetings.az.gov/sites/default/…
While the commissioners were shooting the breeze before the start of the meeting, we learned that Commissioner Mehl's father was a basketball star at the University of Cincinnati.
Read 28 tweets
23 Feb
Senate Approps now debating @WendyRogersAZ's SB1653. The bill would create a study committee to examine the possibility of creating a new county out of the northern, predominantly tribal regions of northern Apache and Navajo counties.
This idea has been around for a long time. I covered a similar proposal in 2013. It had some tribal support, most notably from the Navajo Nation president. The new Sitgreaves County would be eligible for state-shared revenue, which tribes aren't.
Gov. Bruce Babbitt vetoed a similar proposal in 1982, saying, "it purports to divide territory. But, what it really divides is people" by drawing county boundaries along racial lines.
Read 5 tweets
23 Feb
First up in Senate Approps is a striker to SB1411 that would increase Arizona's unemployment benefits from $240 to $320, and up to $400 once the state's unemployment insurance fund is fully funded.
Senate President @FannKfann is personally testifying in favor of the bill. “I think the COVID made everyone realize that Arizona is behind the times when it comes to unemployment benefits.”

Arizona has the second lowest unemployment benefits in the US, behind only Mississippi.
The bill also reduces the amount of time Arizonans can receive unemployment benefits from 26 weeks to 20 weeks if unemployment is below 6%.
Read 6 tweets
14 Jan
The first meeting of the new Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission begins in a few minutes. Their first order of business is to choose a fifth member who will serve as the independent chair. You can watch the meeting here: facebook.com/SecretaryHobbs…
Here's the agenda for today's #AIRC meeting azsos.gov/sites/default/…
The meeting has begun. @SecretaryHobbs tells the commissioners, "I wish you all the very best of luck as you begin this work."
Read 60 tweets
9 Nov 20
.@FannKfann asks @SecretaryHobbs to have independent expert evaluate all data related to tabulation of votes in 2020 general election, says she's not alleging fraud but others are, and says investigation go a long way toward alleviating those claims.
To be clear, this would be a statewide investigation into election fraud claims that aren't supported by any evidence to speak of
Fann: "Assuming the allegations of fraud are without merit, an independent analysis would help to restore credibility and hopefully end the current controversy over fairness in the election process in Arizona."
Read 5 tweets

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