1/5
We finally published study on impacts of tightening the #EUETS in line with #EUGreenDeal on power sector #decarbonization sciencedirect.com/science/articl…

In short:
1. Carbon prices in the ETS would triple to ~130€/tCO2 in 2030, effectively phasing out coal power in the EU by 2030
2/5

2. CO2 prices would also reduce gas-based generation by 40% in 2030 already

3. The power sector would reach zero emissions by 2040

4. Renewable share in electricity >74% in 2030, with average yearly wind + solar scale-up over 2020-2030 in Europe: 80GW/year
3/5

5. Balanced Wind / PV split, plus hydrogen electrolysis & turbines allow seasonal matching of demand & supply;
long-distance grids, batteries and hydrogen turbines manage shorter fluctuations

6. Unavailability of nuclear/fossil CCS power plants does not affect results
4/5

7. Total power system costs would increase by only 5%

8. Full electricity prices would increase in the next years by <2ct/kWh, but go down again after 2025 and eventually return to prices seen over the last decade
sorry - this should read "2. CO2 prices would also reduce gas-based generation to 40% of 2015 value in 2030 already".

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