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30 Apr, 5 tweets, 2 min read
A recent peer-reviewed scientific paper showed the carbon 'budgets' for 1.5C, 1.75C, and 2C are either 'tiny' or else already at zero (virtually zero for 2C).

We may yet limit the damage, but only if we acknowledge that the planet we think we're living on no longer exists.
1. See here for details:
2. We're living through an Ecological Catastrophe.

It's not too late to take emergency individual-collective action to change consumption and production, organising for political and economic system change away from growth & corporate crimes.

Ideas here:
Explanatory article here (doesn't mention 1.75C could already be gone, or that 2C is a tiny budget).

carbonbrief.org/guest-post-ref…
4. 'Tiny' is the word used by of one of the report's contributors (an IPCC lead author) :

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More from @ClimateBen

Ben See Profile picture
1 May
The likely destruction of both the Amazon Rainforest and summer Arctic sea ice by 2035 heralding ecological and climate chaos as species vanish and global crop failures loom threatening decent human survival is the biggest story in history according to everyone except the media.
1. Likely, but not 100% certain..

It's not too late to take emergency individual-collective action to limit the damage by changing consumption & production while organising for political system change away from economic growth & corporate crimes.

Ideas:
2. Until media conviey these extraordinary threats and the public grasps them, we are unlikely to see the extraordinary international cooperation now needed.

The Amazon Rainforest :
Read 9 tweets
Ben See Profile picture
30 Apr
The Amazon Rainforest will enter into a sustained death spiral by the 2030s if deforestation isn't completely stopped in the next 48 months.
Amazon destruction surged 21% in 2020.

At that rate the rainforest 'will reach a tipping point in 10 to 20 years, after which it will enter a sustained death spiral'.

"It is mandatory to reach zero deforestation in all of the Amazon in less than 5 years".mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/id…
“We are scientists who have been studying the Amazon for many decades. Today, we stand exactly in a moment of destiny: The tipping point is here, it is now"

TO DO
reforestation
raise quality of life in Amazonian cities
develop bioeconomy
stop agribusiness
news.mongabay.com/2019/12/the-ti…
Read 7 tweets
Ben See Profile picture
30 Apr
Abrupt climate change will produce permanent catastrophic consequences in the tropics by the 2020s, and in the rest of the world by the 2040s according to the 2013 peer-reviewed study which was the first to integrate all prior scientific research.

THREAD
1.
'From now on, efforts to reduce climate-change will be efforts to reduce the extent of the catastrophe, not to prevent the catastrophe.'

It will neve be too late to strive to limit the damage. m.huffpost.com/us/entry/40897…
2.
Ecological and societal disruptions as climates shift beyond historical analogues

Climate moves to a state continuously outside bounds of historical variability:

2047 (±14yrs) business-as-usual scenario

2069 (±18yrs) emissions stabilization scenario
nature.com/articles/natur…
Read 4 tweets
Ben See Profile picture
29 Apr
More than half of the world's 60,000 tree species are now vulnerable to potential extinction threats like accelerating deforestation and unprecedented levels of heat by the 2030s with staggering implications for all life on Earth.
1. This is an Ecological Catastrophe.

However, it's not too late to take emergency individual-collective action to change consumption and production, organising for political and economic system change away from growth & corporate crimes.

Ideas here:
2. 'At the current pace of warming, much of the world will be inhospitable to forests as we know them within decades.. And some recent research suggests that, in 40 years, none of the trees alive today will be able to survive the projected climate..'insideclimatenews.org/news/25042020/…
Read 12 tweets
Ben See Profile picture
28 Apr
Even today, without runaway climate change, we're already suffering. We don't want people to be hopeful, we want people to be angry and we want people to act.

~ @mitzijonelle

co-founder of Youth Advocates for Climate Action Philippines
A lot of room given to a climate justice activist in this @NiranjanAjit article. Great to see.

The 2 big omissions:

*this is a capitalism/ neocolonialism/imperialism crisis or catastrophe

*this is an ecological crisis or catastrophe
dw.com/en/climate-col…
I find it remarkable to mention nuclear weapons without confirming that total collapse at any time is possible and has been for many decades. A nuclear war would collapse civilization and kill pretty much everything.
Read 4 tweets
Ben See Profile picture
28 Apr
CO₂

1. We're at 417ppm
Dr J. Hansen: that's 3.5°C eventually

2. We face 427ppm by 2025
That's like climates +3M yrs ago

3. Business plans: +450ppm by 2035
Scientists: worst impacts likely

4. Trajectory: 550ppm by 2047
Decent human survival threatened

5. Action: now or never
We're in an Ecological Catastrophe.

However, it's not too late to calmly take emergency individual-collective action to change consumption and production, organising for political and economic system change away from growth & corporate crimes.

Ideas here:
More information to explore in these threads :

Read 4 tweets

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