2/The first good thing about capital gains taxes -- as opposed to corporate taxes or payroll taxes or sales taxes -- is that you can make them very progressive, so they mostly tax high earners.
Biden wants to do exactly this.
3/The second good thing about capital gains taxes is that they won't throw the country back into recession.
Capital gains taxes are macroeconomically safer than most other kinds of taxes.
4/Opponents of capital gains taxes claim that they'll reduce financial investment.
But at a time when people are throwing mountains of cash at Dogecoin, I don't think a scarcity of financial capital is something we need to worry about.
6/And how about the impact on real business investment? There's evidence showing that dividend tax cuts (which are sort of like capital gains tax cuts) don't boost business investment.
7/In fact, capital gains taxes could even STABILIZE financial markets by discouraging over-trading, thus making them more attractive places for long-term patient capital to invest.
8/But capital gains taxes DO raise a lot of revenue.
A recent paper by @NatashaRSarin, @omzidar, et al. shows that these taxes are good at raising money:
We need research to tell us how the world really works. Suppressing results for ideological reasons doesn't just damage the credibility of the scientific process; it leaves us less capable of actually making the world better.
Listening to @rauchway's "Why the New Deal Matters", I' once again struck by FDR's characterization of democracy not simply as a procedure for electing leaders, but as a deep and pervasive ideology that could and should define all aspects of society.
This is something I think we've lost, and need to regain: Democracy as a way of life, not just a process of elections. Democracy in social relations, democracy in business, democracy in culture.
FDR also believed that democracy was the only ideology that could stand up to fascism and make a better world. He was right. Communism, despite its battlefield victories in WW2, ended up looking much like fascism after a while. Democracy, in contrast, built a better world.
2/In the 1980s, as Japan threatened to overtake the U.S., many observers were wowed by the Japanese government's performance in directing the country's economy.
In 1989, Bill Emmott wrote a book pointing out some of that government's mistakes.
3/In fact, Japan's bureaucracy and industrial policy had never been infallible; the cracks in the model appeared decades before we started to notice it, and decades before they had real macro consequences.
I mean, what is the conservative plan for the future of our country? Moar tax cuts? Anti-trans legislation? Border wall and deportation sweeps?
Who gets up in the morning and is excited to fight for that?
Conservatism has a total lack of ideas and vision right now. In 1980 you knew the kind of country conservatives wanted to build -- Christianity, family values, tax cuts and deregulation, etc etc. Now what do they want to build? I don't even know.