Sometimes research tells us things we don't like to hear.

That's not a good reason to suppress the publication of that research.
The paper in question found that when people's parents are imprisoned, their children do better along some dimensions.

That's obviously not a conclusion I want to hear. But science means we can't shy away from unpleasant conclusions.

We need research to tell us how the world really works. Suppressing results for ideological reasons doesn't just damage the credibility of the scientific process; it leaves us less capable of actually making the world better.
John Pfaff, who studies and writes about prison reform for a living, and who is a dedicated opponent of mass incarceration, has the best take IMO:

We don't have to choose between seeking the truth and trying to make the world a better place. The two goals are complements; they are not in competition.

(end)
I wrote a post to follow up on this thread, laying out my views on science and politics in greater detail:

noahpinion.substack.com/p/why-politica…

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More from @Noahpinion

1 May
1/Let's have a little chat about capital gains taxes, shall we?

Biden wants to raise capital gains taxes for high-income people. This is a good move.

bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
2/The first good thing about capital gains taxes -- as opposed to corporate taxes or payroll taxes or sales taxes -- is that you can make them very progressive, so they mostly tax high earners.

Biden wants to do exactly this.
3/The second good thing about capital gains taxes is that they won't throw the country back into recession.

Capital gains taxes are macroeconomically safer than most other kinds of taxes.
Read 10 tweets
30 Apr
Listening to @rauchway's "Why the New Deal Matters", I' once again struck by FDR's characterization of democracy not simply as a procedure for electing leaders, but as a deep and pervasive ideology that could and should define all aspects of society.

amazon.com/Why-New-Deal-M…
This is something I think we've lost, and need to regain: Democracy as a way of life, not just a process of elections. Democracy in social relations, democracy in business, democracy in culture.
FDR also believed that democracy was the only ideology that could stand up to fascism and make a better world. He was right. Communism, despite its battlefield victories in WW2, ended up looking much like fascism after a while. Democracy, in contrast, built a better world.
Read 5 tweets
29 Apr
War durations:

Seven Years' War: 7 years ✅

Nine Years' War: 9 years ✅

Thirty Years' War: 30 years ✅

Hundred Years' War: 116 years ❌
Eighty Years' War: 80 years ✅
6 Day War: 6 days ✅
Read 4 tweets
27 Apr
1/Let's talk about perceptions of Chinese government omnipotence, versus the reality.

noahpinion.substack.com/p/chinas-gover…
2/In the 1980s, as Japan threatened to overtake the U.S., many observers were wowed by the Japanese government's performance in directing the country's economy.

In 1989, Bill Emmott wrote a book pointing out some of that government's mistakes.

amazon.com/Sun-Also-Sets-…
3/In fact, Japan's bureaucracy and industrial policy had never been infallible; the cracks in the model appeared decades before we started to notice it, and decades before they had real macro consequences.

amazon.com/Can-Japan-Comp…
Read 20 tweets
22 Apr
Why do all the young dictators look like grad students to me
The cute EE guy who spends all night in the cleanroom and yet somehow has time to date a different girl each month Image
The econ guy who's going to get a top job even though his research is totally average Image
Read 13 tweets
21 Apr
This post seems to just be saying that liberals are much more fired-up than conservatives these days. Which seems true! But why?

My hypothesis: Conservative ideology has drifted toward things that it's difficult for most people to get fired up about.

richardhanania.substack.com/p/why-is-every…
I mean, what is the conservative plan for the future of our country? Moar tax cuts? Anti-trans legislation? Border wall and deportation sweeps?

Who gets up in the morning and is excited to fight for that?
Conservatism has a total lack of ideas and vision right now. In 1980 you knew the kind of country conservatives wanted to build -- Christianity, family values, tax cuts and deregulation, etc etc. Now what do they want to build? I don't even know.
Read 9 tweets

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