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Dave Weigel Profile picture
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2 May, 6 tweets, 2 min read
The Tarrant part of the district voted for Biden by 11 points; Dem candidates combined have about 40% of early vote there. Risk remains that they cannibalize vote and lock each other out.
Any Dem's path to a runoff is getting the most votes in Tarrant and getting enough in Ellis/Navarro to stay ahead of the GOP vote there - which is very possible if it's splintered like this.
And Ellis County comes in with Sanchez getting 1084 votes to 2050 for Wright, 2556 for Harrison, 3617 for Ellzey. Combined vote now puts Ellzey ahead, Wright out of runoff. Q is whether Trump helped Wright consolidate Tarrant County Rs and whether Sanchez did any better on e-day.
*Ellis County early vote
One reason you're seeing so much #TX06 scatter: This special election is the same day as a bunch of local elections. You've got a decent number of voters showing up for, say, the Arlington mayoral race and then just confusedly voting for some rando for Congress.
This explains the thousands of votes for John Anthony Castro, a candidate who put up billboards in the district but no other candidate ever saw in person. (He participated in one Zoom forum.)

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More from @daveweigel

Dave Weigel Profile picture
2 May
Some Dem disarray in #TX06: @RepRubenGallego, chair of CHC's BOLD PAC, says some groups (AFL-CIO, Collective PAC, 314 Action) "splintered our coalition" by backing Ds w no runoff path.

"Latino candidates are consistently second-guessed by progressive and Democratic groups."
Dem frustration has mostly focused on Lydia Bean, who went negative on Sanchez and had little support, but there were a ton of wasted votes for candidates who didn't seem to do anything but file for the ballot.
To be fair: Same on GOP side. I've already mentioned John Castro, who bought up a bunch of billboards and was never seen in person by any other candidate. He got 5.5% of the vote - give 400 more D votes to Sanchez, and that Castro locks Ellzey out of runoff.
Read 4 tweets
Dave Weigel Profile picture
30 Apr
Dark horse Criterion box set recommendation: The Collected Work of Bobcat Goldthwait. Every one is a banger. ("Willow Creek" too but I ran out of image tags.)
The premise of "World's Greatest Dad" is that Robin Williams, a frustrated writer/teacher, has a loser son who kills himself attempting autoerotic asphyxiation - so Williams starts passing off his bad poetry (and music tastes!) as the work of his secretly brilliant son
There's a running gag about Williams claiming his son was super into Bruce Hornsby and I still laugh about it.
Read 4 tweets
Dave Weigel Profile picture
30 Apr
Education reporters: Have you seen the stuff Senate Rs cite in their letter to DOE about "proposed priorities?"
I'm familiar w "disrupting the Western-prescribed nuclear family." That's language from national BLM's website, deleted last year but CTRL+F'd by some local educators.
A pretty common source of controversy is that activist language appears in some presentation - see the phrase "curriculum documents," which is broad - gets flagged by somebody on FB, blows up online. In many cases the language is not official.
For example, last week a proposal to rework Virginia's HS math program appeared in a presentation with a reference to "equity." The program hadn't changed and can't until 2025 - but one candidate for gov is saying he'll stop the plan to kill advanced math. washingtonpost.com/local/educatio…
Read 4 tweets
Dave Weigel Profile picture
29 Apr
Looking more possible that Democrats will lock themselves out of #TX06 runoff, despite Biden getting 48% of the vote in the district. 2018 nominee Jana Lynne Sanchez has the most local support, but two other candidates stayed in and raised $, and Latino Dem turnout has been weak.
The other two Democrats with campaigns are unsuccessful 2020 state lege candidate Lydia Bean, who won the AFL-CIO endorsement, and nonprofit leader Shawn Lassiter, who has thin political support but backing from groups that want to elect Black women and STEM candidates.
Lassiter's endorsements list tells that story - a bunch of national orgs that found her story exciting got behind her. Some groups see this as a chance to promote her for a future race, low-balling the risk of locking Dems out of this one. shawnlassiterforcongress.com/endorsements
Read 4 tweets
Dave Weigel Profile picture
27 Apr
The question Fox threw at Psaki about this has aged as well as an Al Jolson mixtape
"Every migrant child being brought to the shelter" - oops!
McDaniel, Cotton, and Doocey all leaned into the implication that Harris was getting paid taxpayer money for the purchases of her book - the purchases that did not happen
Read 5 tweets
Dave Weigel Profile picture
20 Apr
Missed most of the Maxine Waters discourse yesterday, but it's funny that after months of Dem hand-wringing about how they handled protests last year, the 82-year old chair of the Financial Services Committee committee decided protesters needed to hear from her
Waters turns 84 this term, part of this story is the "never retire" mindset that gave Democrats popular hits like a 6-3 conservative SCOTUS and Alcee Hastings's seat being vacant indefinitely
The problem here isn't a politician giving a speech to protesters - it happens all the time, you usually don't hear about it bc they're careful not to say stuff that would look bad if violence breaks out
Read 4 tweets

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