A thread on the #NYG trade return relative to past draft trades around the same area of the draft, per Jimmy Johnson’s trade chart (not gospel)

(Future 1st rounders will be counted as the value of 32, 590 points...other future picks will be the 15th pick in that round)

cont...
The value based on the chart for the #Giants trade

2021

CHI received: Pick 10 (1300 pts)
Justin Fields

NYG received: Picks 20 (850), a 2021 First, 4th (70), 5th (35) (1545 pts)
Kadarius Toney, trade up for Aaron Robinson, TBD, TBD

New York +245

Outcome: TBD

cont...
The #Steelers made a similar trade in 2019 for Devin Bush...

2019

PIT: Pick 10 (1300 pts)
Devin Bush

DEN Picks 20 (850 pts), and 52 (380 pts), 1230 pts
Noah Fant, used in trade up for Drew Lock

Pittsburgh + 70

Outcome: Pittsburgh (Bush must stay healthy)

cont...
the #Saints trade up for Davenport

2018

NO: Pick 14 (1100)
Marcus Davenport

GB: 27 (680), 147 (33), future 1st (1303)
Used to trade up for Jaire Alexander, used in another trade, used to trade back

Green Bay + 203

Outcome: GB, Alexander is a top CB in the league

cont...
Great trade here for both teams, but Mahomes 👍🏾

2017

KC: Pick 10 (1300)
Patrick Mahomes (he good)

BUF: 27 (680), pick 91 (136), future 1st (1,406)
Tre’Davious White, traded to Rams (John Johnson), trade up for Tremaine Edmunds

Buffalo + 106

Outcome: It’s Mahomes
That same draft class for the #Texans

2017

HOU: 12th (1200)
DeShaun Watson

CLE: 25th (720), future one (1310) (not 590, we know the value, skews number)

Jabrill Peppers, Denzel Ward

Cleveland + 110

Outcome: Watson is too talented (everything else with him is TBD)

cont...
2016

TEN: 8th (1400), 176th (21), (1421)
Jack Conklin, traded

CLE: 15th (1050), 76th (210), future 2nd (450), (1421)
Corey Coleman, Shon Coleman, DeShone Kizer

Broke even numerically

Outcome: Ironically, Conklin is now a Brown, and none of those Browns are #Browns

cont...
Is the trade value chart antiquated, probably, but it does assign some numerical value to draft position. My method isn’t a perfect formula (all first round picks from teams aren’t worth the same), but we work with what we have...

cont...
Out of these 6 trades, the #Giants had the best numerical return of value by 42 points...

The future assets can be used to help the roster or for trade ammunition in a more certain 2022 draft...

Sounds great, but if Fields ends up like Mahomes, it certainly won’t feel good.

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