A thread on the #NYG trade return relative to past draft trades around the same area of the draft, per Jimmy Johnson’s trade chart (not gospel)
(Future 1st rounders will be counted as the value of 32, 590 points...other future picks will be the 15th pick in that round)
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(Future 1st rounders will be counted as the value of 32, 590 points...other future picks will be the 15th pick in that round)
cont...
The value based on the chart for the #Giants trade
2021
CHI received: Pick 10 (1300 pts)
Justin Fields
NYG received: Picks 20 (850), a 2021 First, 4th (70), 5th (35) (1545 pts)
Kadarius Toney, trade up for Aaron Robinson, TBD, TBD
New York +245
Outcome: TBD
cont...
2021
CHI received: Pick 10 (1300 pts)
Justin Fields
NYG received: Picks 20 (850), a 2021 First, 4th (70), 5th (35) (1545 pts)
Kadarius Toney, trade up for Aaron Robinson, TBD, TBD
New York +245
Outcome: TBD
cont...
The #Steelers made a similar trade in 2019 for Devin Bush...
2019
PIT: Pick 10 (1300 pts)
Devin Bush
DEN Picks 20 (850 pts), and 52 (380 pts), 1230 pts
Noah Fant, used in trade up for Drew Lock
Pittsburgh + 70
Outcome: Pittsburgh (Bush must stay healthy)
cont...
2019
PIT: Pick 10 (1300 pts)
Devin Bush
DEN Picks 20 (850 pts), and 52 (380 pts), 1230 pts
Noah Fant, used in trade up for Drew Lock
Pittsburgh + 70
Outcome: Pittsburgh (Bush must stay healthy)
cont...
the #Saints trade up for Davenport
2018
NO: Pick 14 (1100)
Marcus Davenport
GB: 27 (680), 147 (33), future 1st (1303)
Used to trade up for Jaire Alexander, used in another trade, used to trade back
Green Bay + 203
Outcome: GB, Alexander is a top CB in the league
cont...
2018
NO: Pick 14 (1100)
Marcus Davenport
GB: 27 (680), 147 (33), future 1st (1303)
Used to trade up for Jaire Alexander, used in another trade, used to trade back
Green Bay + 203
Outcome: GB, Alexander is a top CB in the league
cont...
Great trade here for both teams, but Mahomes 👍🏾
2017
KC: Pick 10 (1300)
Patrick Mahomes (he good)
BUF: 27 (680), pick 91 (136), future 1st (1,406)
Tre’Davious White, traded to Rams (John Johnson), trade up for Tremaine Edmunds
Buffalo + 106
Outcome: It’s Mahomes
2017
KC: Pick 10 (1300)
Patrick Mahomes (he good)
BUF: 27 (680), pick 91 (136), future 1st (1,406)
Tre’Davious White, traded to Rams (John Johnson), trade up for Tremaine Edmunds
Buffalo + 106
Outcome: It’s Mahomes
That same draft class for the #Texans
2017
HOU: 12th (1200)
DeShaun Watson
CLE: 25th (720), future one (1310) (not 590, we know the value, skews number)
Jabrill Peppers, Denzel Ward
Cleveland + 110
Outcome: Watson is too talented (everything else with him is TBD)
cont...
2017
HOU: 12th (1200)
DeShaun Watson
CLE: 25th (720), future one (1310) (not 590, we know the value, skews number)
Jabrill Peppers, Denzel Ward
Cleveland + 110
Outcome: Watson is too talented (everything else with him is TBD)
cont...
2016
TEN: 8th (1400), 176th (21), (1421)
Jack Conklin, traded
CLE: 15th (1050), 76th (210), future 2nd (450), (1421)
Corey Coleman, Shon Coleman, DeShone Kizer
Broke even numerically
Outcome: Ironically, Conklin is now a Brown, and none of those Browns are #Browns
cont...
TEN: 8th (1400), 176th (21), (1421)
Jack Conklin, traded
CLE: 15th (1050), 76th (210), future 2nd (450), (1421)
Corey Coleman, Shon Coleman, DeShone Kizer
Broke even numerically
Outcome: Ironically, Conklin is now a Brown, and none of those Browns are #Browns
cont...
Is the trade value chart antiquated, probably, but it does assign some numerical value to draft position. My method isn’t a perfect formula (all first round picks from teams aren’t worth the same), but we work with what we have...
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Out of these 6 trades, the #Giants had the best numerical return of value by 42 points...
The future assets can be used to help the roster or for trade ammunition in a more certain 2022 draft...
Sounds great, but if Fields ends up like Mahomes, it certainly won’t feel good.
The future assets can be used to help the roster or for trade ammunition in a more certain 2022 draft...
Sounds great, but if Fields ends up like Mahomes, it certainly won’t feel good.
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