It seems a little counter-productive for Mike Ashley to file an anti-competition law suit with arbitration still ongoing. Arbitration is about a pathway to acquisition. A damages case is a defeatist move from an owner fighting for compensation not a sale.
Key line in anti-competition suit reads, “[Ashley has] lost the immediate sale, or lost likely opportunity of an immediate sale of its shares... to the Consortium.”

This isn’t accurate if arbitration ongoing. & was #NUFC who added most significant delay by challenging Beloff.
Yes, arbitration & anti-competition cases can run concurrently... but if MA wins arbitration and PIF-led consortium assume control then he clearly isn’t going to win the other case so why start it?... unless perhaps there’s been a price drop or new time delay we don’t know about.
Similarly if arbitration is lost (or abandoned... now very possible) and the consortium don’t take control MA still pockets 17m. That is compensation in itself.
My reading of MA’s anti-competition lawsuit is it’s not just a ploy to further punish EPL, but a very personal battle to gain something from what increasingly looks like a failed takeover. The timing of the new damages case doesn’t bode well.
We won’t necessarily know if #NUFC arbitration is abandoned. Currently there is no suggestion of this. But there is no cause for MA to also now seek damages if he’s confident arbitration will forge a pathway to a sale and quickly.
And for balance, I do appreciate those who think the opposite... that this is a power play move using every legal tool possible to complete the takeover, attack the EPL and gain compensation. That’s another valid theory... just not my own reading of it.
Obviously one advantage of an anti-competition case of this nature is disclosure, & info would be forthcoming long before the case itself ends. But the key would still be whether anything (however damning) would fall under arbitration’s terms of reference and arrive quick enough.
A final thought: an anti-competition case could result in an injunction to reconsider the takeover... but again if the stated issue is separation, and #NUFC are confident of winning on this point, then they don’t need one. Thing to remember is arbitration is comparatively quick.
Unless anti-competition case is expedited, and legal sources I have spoken to don’t see this as likely, any kind of final outcome (other than disclosure) could take years. PIF have waited a year. I don’t see them waiting 1-2 more.

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More from @JacobsBen

5 Mar
A 🧵on #NUFC's failed High Court bid to remove Michael Beloff as chair of arbitration panel. Firstly, it's confirmed #NUFC trying to clear a path via arbitration to complete Saudi-led takeover. However, regardless of when hearing ends, PIF won't return until post-season/safety.
I am told this is due to a variety of (pretty obvious) factors. Firstly, should relegation occur the EFL would have to green-light the deal. But, more importantly, the terms would need to be renegotiated with a price drop (should Mike Ashley agree) of 85-100 million.
We now know the arbitration remit & panel. Terms of reference are broader than just separation alone. #NUFC maintain PIF are separate from Saudi State & thus gov. should not be listed (& tested) as a Director. But they are also challenging EPL's conduct & "lawfulness" of process.
Read 25 tweets
5 Mar
One point that’s been overlooked regarding Michael Beloff being “biased” against #NUFC is Beloff is also part of Blackstone... Nick DeMarco’s firm. So “Messi of sports law” is arguing against “Godfather of sports law” despite Blackstone saying he’s “always a joy to work with.”
The reason there is no conflict is because Beloff is now retired, but still listed on the Blackstone website.
So... #NUFC say past advice given to EPL constitutes a conflict & makes him susceptible to bias yet he will have undertaken far more work for Blackstone than EPL.
Also... Beloff may have offered EPL historical advice, but he's also gone up against them in arbitration alongside Nick De Marco. That was in 2007 when Blackstone was instructed by Fulham in a joint case v EPL to try and 'deregister' Carlos Tevez.
Read 4 tweets
5 Mar
Newcastle confirm arbitration is broader than the separation issue alone & that they are also challenging the “lawfulness” of the EPL’s approach (or “conduct” as previously reported).
The delay in a resolution is party down to the club challenging the panel chair for “bias”.
The Judgment, to try & remove the panel chair, has been made public allowing #NUFC to explain their position. My sense is this is just another opportunity to attack EPL/cast doubt over integrity of arbitration. It’s a very bullish approach showing club clearly feel hard done by.
However... of all the hurdles club/consortium face, separation is hardest to tie to a lack of integrity in process. They are arguing an entity with a .gov website & MBS as chair (& with autonomy) has no gov. influence. Yet PIF’s own portfolio summary argues otherwise... Image
Read 8 tweets
3 Mar
The @Gazzetta_it story is correct. PIF have explored a minority stake in #InterMilan. Told Yasir Al Rumayyan involved in talks. Up to 30% investment discussed which, based on Suning's highest valuation would be €300m (260m). Nothing agreed but may give Suning an out not to sell.
I am told PIF don't want to buy Inter outright, contrary to the approach of BC Partners & Fortress. A halfway approach might be to partner with Fortress, who did toy with a joint bid alongside UAE's Mubadala Investment Company in February. But nothing came of this in the end.
Conflicting reports as to whether BC Partners are still the frontrunners or talks have fallen through in a reported €800m deal. Told Suning would still prefer to find a way not to sell the club, hence the appeal of PIF. But all early stages unlike talks with BC Partners.
Read 7 tweets

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