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Peter Ungphakorn (also on Bluesky and Mastodon) Profile picture
@CoppetainPU
May 8, 2021 • 10 tweets • 9 min read • Read on X
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COVID-19 IN SWITZERLAND. Week to 08.05.2021—slight improvement

Last easing Apr 19

Per 100K pop, total & last 2 wks
● cases—7757 & 267 (⬆️)
● in hospital—321 & 8 (⬇️)
● deaths—117 & 1.2 (⬆️)

R(e): down—0.85
Vaccinations: 3m (1m 2nd doses)

FOPH covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…

1/10 Screenshot of box on lab-co...Screenshot of box on lab-co...Screenshot of box on lab-co...Screenshot of box on reprod...
AND FOR THE PAST FORTNIGHT, R(e) since Sep28

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview

Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna mRNA vaccinations ongoing. J&J approved, not ordered. Supply picking up. Not yet approved: AstraZeneca, Curevac and Novavax. Switzerland has ordered over 30m doses for 8m people

2/10 Screenshot of box on lab-co...Screenshot of box on lab-co...Screenshot of box on lab-co...Screenshot of Reproductive ...
VIRUS VARIANTS detected

UK variant dominant

Public Health Office: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…
Science Task Force: sciencetaskforce.ch/en/nextstrain-…

3/10 Screenshot of list of varia...Screenshot of graph of esti...
BY CANTON: LAB-CONFIRMED CASES IN the past fortnight per 100K population—Slight increase (but more testing). Worst still in Uri. Dark end of scale down from 1008 to 766.

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

4/10 Screenshot of map showing d...
BY CANTON: LAB-CONFIRMED HOSPITALISATION in the past fortnight per 100K population—Improving, down from 9.07 to 8.04. Mixed pattern. Worst in Uri and Appenzelll I. Dark end of scale down from 30 to 22

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

5/10 Screenshot of map showing d...
BY CANTON: DEATHS (which lag case numbers) tell yet another story—Overall numbers up slightly, from 1.1 to 1.2. Varied pattern. Uri now no deaths. Glarus and Thurgau worst. Far end of scale up from 2.9 to 5.

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

6/10 Screenshot of map showing d...
INTENSIVE CARE CAPACITY AND OCCUPANCY: all patients and COVID-19

Over 150 hospitals/clinics (Glarus, Appenzell Innerrhoden have no IC units)

All patients: improving in west

COVID-19: improving

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/hosp-capaci…

7/10 Map of occupancy rates: all...Map of occupancy rates: COV...Chart of COVID-19 and non-C...
R(e) ESTIMATES: national over time, cantons latest.

Falling. Only Luzern and Appenzell I >1. Obwalden and Uri <0.8

Estimate: 0.85 nationally (from 0.98)

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/repro/val

Note: Swiss schools have stayed open during lockdown

8/10 Chart of reproductive numbe...Map of reproductive number ...
VACCINATIONS

Acceleration, supplies up
Delivered: 3.7m=42% (from 3.1m/36%)
Administered: 3.0m=35% (from 2.6m/31%)
Fully (2 doses): 1.0m=11.7% (from 930K/10.8%)

covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…
covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…
(Includes demographics)

9/10 Screenshot: Chart of develo...Screenshot: map of administ...Screenshot: Chart of develo...Screenshot: map of fully va...
LATEST: Next possible relaxation May 26

Vaccinations accelerate to >53K/day

R number down further

Some cantons now vaccinating all adults (some over-16s)

A forgery-proof Covid-19 certificate available by the end of June

Current situation: swissinfo.ch/eng/covid-19_c…

10/10 Graphic of measures from Ap...

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More from @CoppetainPU

Peter Ungphakorn (also on Bluesky and Mastodon) Profile picture
Jun 9, 2022
🧵 On Sunday, the much-postponed 12th WTO Ministerial Conference #MC12 starts.

Here is another curtain-raiser, with @BobWolfeSPS

@wto Director-General @NOIweala believes it will be a success.

But what does “success” mean?

1/11 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2022/06/09/tou…
“Many gaps remain but we are making progress,” @NOIweala told members on Tuesday Jun 7

“The success of this whole endeavour is in our hands. Let us deliver. The people outside are waiting for us and, believe it or not, I really think we will do it.”

2/11 wto.org/english/news_e…
Fingers crossed, there might even be a deal on fisheries subsidies, she and the talks’ chair @WillsSantiago said.

But despite “cautious optimism” WTO spokesperson Dan Pruzin warned journalists to expect ministers to meet late into the night at #MC12

3/11 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2022/06/09/tou…
Read 12 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn (also on Bluesky and Mastodon) Profile picture
May 29, 2022
Was it worth the time looking at the UK’s big deal with Indiana? The one the government hails as a “milestone” and the minister calls a “US trade deal”?

They wants us to take it seriously. So I did. Let’s say I did it so you don’t have to.

1/8 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2022/05/29/mil…
TL:DR it's not a trade agreement.

It's a memorandum of understanding, a non-binding statement of intent.

The only trade barrier that might get tackled is govt procurement.

Indiana's state-level entities have no commitments on procurement in the WTO

2/8 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2022/05/29/mil…
Indiana “will actively work towards” (not a commitment) treating UK suppliers the same as suppliers from other US states except those neighbouring Indiana.

“That’s the weirdest MFN clause I’ve ever seen,”—@Lorand_Bartels

3/8 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2022/05/29/mil…
Read 10 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn (also on Bluesky and Mastodon) Profile picture
May 27, 2022
“Agreement with Indiana marks milestone in UK’s trade with the US”—the UK government proclaims

Read on

It's a memorandum of understanding on what the UK and Indiana want to develop in their trade and economic relations. That stretches the meaning of “agreement” quite a lot

1/9
Good question⬇️. Short answer: no

So, all we know is what the UK government press release says.

2/9
This is what it says:

“The MoU creates a framework to remove barriers to trade and investment, paving the way for UK and Indianan businesses to invest, export, expand and create jobs.”

Remember: all major trade barriers are handled in Washington

3/9 gov.uk/government/new…
Read 10 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn (also on Bluesky and Mastodon) Profile picture
May 22, 2022
It’s been clear for some time that WTO members are unlikely to agree on anything substantial on agriculture—despite declaring it a priority—when their ministers meet in Geneva Jun 12–15

Information from trade sources on a meeting last Thu May 19 reinforce that assessment🧵

1/11
The focus has changed in recent months—the Ukraine war has increased concerns about food security.

But the best binding decision that can be expected is to exempt the World Food Programme’s humanitarian purchases from export restrictions—still opposed by India & Tanzania.

2/11
Expect some non-binding/“best-endeavour” statement on food security, eg, the UK-led proposal⬇️, which draws on familiar themes of keeping supplies flowing, increasing transparency, minimising market disruption.

Even transparency is a problem…

3/11 docs.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages/S…
Read 11 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn (also on Bluesky and Mastodon) Profile picture
May 20, 2022
Another day, another WTO topic where members find themselves under pressure to reach agreement within days.

Today: fisheries subsidies, at the end of a “Fish Week” of talks in various formats on curbing harmful subsidies that encourage overfishing.

1/8 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/wto-fish-talks…
Chair @WillsSantiago briefed the media after a stock-taking meeting of the membership.

Sandwiched between plenaries Mon and Fri, were sessions in various formats. Wills said 30-40 delegations were involved in each of those sessions, total about 50.

2/8 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/wto-fish-talks…
@WillsSantiago said the talks were constructive with good signals that need to be turned into agreement.

He announced a “Fish Decision” week from May 30, giving members a fortnight to resolve their differences.

3/8 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/wto-fish-talks…
Read 8 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn (also on Bluesky and Mastodon) Profile picture
May 19, 2022
WTO members on all sides were urged today to sort out their reservations over the proposed compromise, so that a deal on waiving some intellectual property protection for COVID-19 can be struck by the Jun 12-15 Ministerial Conference, trade sources say.

1/14 #TRIPSwaiver
In an informal meeting of the WTO intellectual property (TRIPS) council, Director-General @NOIweala said WTO members have no option but to produce a result for the #MC12 Ministerial Conference, even if that means negotiating round the clock, the sources said.

2/14
Today's meeting was held to take stock of the first two days of real negotiations on the compromise text⬇️, on Mon&Wed, May 16&18. During those sessions, @NOIweala urged delegates to be prepared to compromise: "the perfect is the enemy of the good"

3/14 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/text-g4-trips-…
Read 15 tweets

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