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Lewis Goodall Profile picture
@lewis_goodall
May 9, 2021 • 11 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
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NEW: Conservatives hold Adur Council (West Sussex)
More very good results for the Greens, this time in Stroud- 5 gains from Tories and Labour. A real 3 party council now.
NEW: ANOTHER Conservative council gain from Labour in the Midlands. This time Amber Valley in Derbyshire. Was controlled by Labour until this elections. Has exchanged hands on and off for decades. Labour shouldn't be losing it. 9 straight swaps between the parties.
Labour is losing Sandwell and gaining Chipping Norton. That’s the political world we’re now in.
Here's the flip side to the Amber Valley result. Worthing in East Sussex is a Tory hold but with 6 Lab gains. They're now in spitting distance of taking the council. It's never been Labour. Only a few years ago it didn't have a single Labour councillor. Realignment the other way.
Problem for Labour is the realignment is still relatively asymmetric. Worthings are relatively few compared to the much speedier realignment towards the Tories in the north and midlands.
And sorry Worthing is of course West Sussex- long few days
Good result for the Lib Dems- they've gained St Albans Council. Won the seat in 2019. Last controlled the council in 2011.
Still waiting for all the results to come in but the Greens are having a cracker in Bristol
Looks like the way it’s going the Greens might have a good shot at becoming the biggest party in Bristol
Add to this- Labour just gained a Ward in Witney, David Cameron’s old constituency.

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More from @lewis_goodall

Lewis Goodall Profile picture
Jul 16
The story of the last time a former president was shot and lived to tell the tale🧵

In October 1912 President Teddy Roosevelt was running for an unprecedented third term in office. He'd left the presidency four years before. On the 12th he was campaigning in Milwaukee. Image
Roosevelt had left the Republicans to found the Progressive Party, also known as the 'Bull Moose' Party.

On the night of the 12th October he was dining at the Gilpatrick Hotel, owned by a supporter. After eating he left to give a speech at the Milwaukee auditorium.

En route he was approached by a man called John Schrank, a German-American tavern owner, originally from Bavaria.Image
Shcrank opened fire on the former president with a Colt revolver. He was quickly wrestled to the ground but not before a bullet penetrated Roosevelt's body.

Fortunately, the bullet hit something else first- TR's glasses case and the folded up copy of his speech, some 50 pages long entitled "Progressive Cause Greater Than Any Individual"- both of which in his coat pocket.
Read 6 tweets
Lewis Goodall Profile picture
Jul 15
NEW: Donald J. Trump is officially selected as the Republican candidate for president at the RNC in Milwaukee.

He becomes the first person since FDR in 1940 to win his party’s nomination three times on the trot (though unlike Trump he won each time).
The GOP has travelled a long way since those early Never Trump days. It’s indisputably his party now, in personnel, in ideas, in culture and the way it does politics.

That’s despite his refusal to accept the outcome of a presidential election, which led to an insurrection, and the fact he’s been convicted of a crime. It is a political journey without parallel, both personally and for his party.
The selection of Vance again shows the grip on the Republican party Trump now enjoys. In 2016 Trump was forced to choose a more establishment VP (Pence) to try and unite the party behind his candidacy. In Vance he chooses someone in his image, a prodigal son of America First.
Read 6 tweets
Lewis Goodall Profile picture
Jul 14
The assassination attempt on President Trump is the 1st attempted attack on a presidential candidate for 52 years.

Political violence has a long pedigree in America's history. It haunted its politics in the 1960s. The landscape is darkening again and has been for some time.
Goes without saying that the attempt on Trump's life is heinous and deplorable. There is a lot of blame to go round for the now toxic nature of American politics which long predates Trump personally. However, while the descent of American politics towards renewed political violence did not begin with him it can't be denied he has his own significant part to play. His politics has always been predicated on the idea of existential threat. Of American enemies within and without. He mocked the attack on Nancy Pelosi's husband, downplayed the kidnap plot on Gretchen Whitmer. And then there is the big lie and January 6th which continues to fray the bonds of American democracy.

In other words, Trump has been part of this change in US politics, of the turn to extreme aggression in US politics, which will probably outlast him. It doesn't justify anything in any way, but it does help to explain part of the context of a democracy which increasingly feels a couple of wrong moves from complete disaster. You can't understand that without Trump and the unique way he does politics.
In the meantime, with only four months to go until the US election, this will reframe everything, especially with the RNC about to get underway.

Trump's position within the Republican Party will be solidified even further. That picture will become a symbol of political martyrdom.
Read 7 tweets
Lewis Goodall Profile picture
Jul 8
Understand that Angela Rayner told DLUHC staff today that “she won’t be doing a Rees mogg with passive aggressive notes, those days are over.”

Also said dept will revert to its former title of “Ministry for Housing, Communities and Local Govt.”
If you're in Whitehall and have stories/intel about what the new administration is doing in your dept, let me know. DMs open and anonymity guaranteed.
Official in Dept for Biz: "We've had clear steers on departmental priorities especially in regard to EU. Genuine sense of political cover to seek agreement on issues like recognition of professional qualifications. Reynolds v clear and personable in address to the department."
Read 7 tweets
Lewis Goodall Profile picture
Jul 5
IF YOU'RE JUST WAKING UP 🧵

LABOUR LANDSLIDE.

THE WORST TORY DEFEAT IN HISTORY. COLLAPSE EVERYWHERE

LIB DEMS REVIVE BEST RESULT FOR THIRD PARTY SINCE 1923

SNP IMPLOSION. LABOUR DOMINANT IN SCOTLAND AGAIN.

MUSLIM VOTE FOR LABOUR COLLAPSES

INDEPENDENTS ELECTED IN SAFE SEATS
Labour first

Keir Starmer is a huge election winner. Becomes only the fourth Labour leader to win a majority for his party.

Will be just shy of the 97 victory..

Party result the northern wall in its entirety, in Wales and in Scotland and won dozens of new seats in the south.
Labour will be dominant in the next parliament. Starmer will be the most powerful prime minister we've seen since Blair in 2001-05.

The vote was perfectly distributed across the country. Labour is the biggest party in England, Scotland and Wales.

But the vote was thin. Starmer may come to office on the smallest share of the vote of any winning party in history- less than 35%.
Read 20 tweets
Lewis Goodall Profile picture
May 22
Did someone say febrile
It seems very weird to allow rumours to build up and not clarify them before PMQs where the PM can be asked about them directly on the floor of the Commons. Not least when in news management terms you have a rare good day and decent story to tell on inflation…
Two scenarios at this point. He calls it today which given immigration figs tomorrow is, well, a big call. Or it’s been allowed to build for no reason, political journalist class annoyed and the rest of the week is dominated by “Sunak isn’t good at politics” narrative.
Read 4 tweets

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