Don't ask me for my exact reasoning. It's a bit of a mix between seeing the PA, some indicators and a gut feeling.
Of course it should be obvious this is no signal to all in long or go out of your regular trading risk management.
Just a though by me I wanted to share.
For everyone asking about how this would affect $alts:
$BTC and alts can move together but if BTC starts pumping out some big numbers each day, expect alts to go more risk-off and more money to flow into BTC.
ALT/BTC pairs may suffer a bit but USDT pairs should still be good.
Until $BTC breaks out of this massive range I'm not selling any $alts.
Just play them until they don't work anymore. Bit of a waste to sell them just on an assumption of what may happen while they are so strong vs BTC right now.
I'm mostly in alts myself still.
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1. You deposit 1 BTC and get 0.5 BTC bonus. 2. You first trade with the 1 BTC as usual. 3. If you were to lose your 1 BTC for some reason you'd move on to the 0.5 Bonus BTC. 4. ANY profits made with the 0.5 Bonus BTC are fully withdrawable. The 0.5 BTC itself isn't.
In Bitcoin's history, whenever a green Kumo twist has occurred (red to green), price has went on a big run.
This is a comparison between the 2013, 2017 and 2021 cycles.
Bonus Alpha at the end 📚
🔹Disclaimer
This is just a comparison between the three cycles.
I thought it would be interesting to see how previous results would translate into the current state of the market.
Do not use this as a way to determine your targets or entries. It's just one indicator with a low sample size. Always use other things and your own common sense as confluence. 👍
Going to share something I think is quite imporant which is profit taking into fiat. Yes fiat.
"Daan you must be crazy we're going to $1M!".
Maybe we are, maybe we aren't.
I know one thing and that is that I will be locking in profits this time.
Even if taking profit means that I am "missing out" on gains which I could have gotten if I kept on holding everything.
I've personally took quite a bit of profit already during this cycle and will continue to do so.
Taking profits secures a stack to work with and start investing into other sectors or buy back into Crypto during a bear market, at whatever time that may be.